Why does birth tourism to middle class foreigners bother Americans, but millions of children of millions of TPS foreigners don’t concern anyone?
A post on X about birth tourism that turned middle class Hondurans into Americans was exciting enough to get over 750,000 views:
Stories about Chinese birth tourism “rings” also reliably generate interest/outrage. Anyone with enough money to participate in a birth tourism scheme is from at least a middle class family in a foreign country and, therefore, is unlikely to become the founder of a multi-generational welfare dynasty. (Statistically, those who grow up in self-sufficient households are likely to be adults in self-sufficient households.)
Meanwhile, the US citizens being birthed by foreigners here “temporarily” under Temporary Protected Status, some since 1990, aren’t of interest. Neither Gemini nor ChatGPT could even begin to estimate how many foreigners, total, have spent time in the U.S. under TPS. Partly because of that, neither AI could begin to estimate how many children they’ve had, each one with a U.S. passport. The best that the AIs can do is come up with 1.3 million foreign TPS holders in the U.S. right now and possibly 390,000 U.S. citizen children living with them. Gemini estimates that the majority of TPS households with children are on what used to be called “welfare” (“safety-net participation”), but even AI probably can’t see into all of the state-run programs for which immigration status isn’t relevant, e.g., health care in California, public housing in Maskachusetts, etc. Our AI overlords say that the majority of children who in welfare-eligible households will grow up to adults living in welfare-eligible households (i.e., multi-generational welfare is the expectation, though at just over 50 percent). These stats are somewhat complicated by non-welfare welfare programs, e.g., the various below-market-rate rent schemes in New York City that cover more than half of rental units there.
During the entire time that the above-described Honduras-to-US pipeline was running, there was a 26-year “temporary” program to allow some favored subset of Hondurans to live in the U.S. There were over 100,000 Hondurans granted TPS during the program’s launch in 1999. Gemini says that almost no Honduran ever went back before Donald Trump ended their status and that almost none went home after the September 2025 termination either:
The termination of TPS did not grant Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) the right to summarily deport people. To be removed from the country, individuals who do not leave voluntarily must be issued a Notice to Appear (NTA) and go through the formal immigration court system.
With immigration courts already facing massive multi-million case backlogs, processing thousands of long-term residents with clean criminal histories and significant family equities in the U.S. takes years, effectively leaving them in a prolonged state of legal limbo within the United States.
So a handful of pregnant Hondurans with the family resources (maybe from U.S. relatives) to pay for roundtrip airfare to Boston generates outrage due to the resulting 10+ U.S.-born anchor babies. Not a single one of these kids has ever been on welfare, to my knowledge, unless we consider the taxpayer-funded hospital payments to be welfare. But perhaps 100,000 births to Hondurans here under TPS, nearly all of which were similarly paid for by taxpayers and then resulted in welfare eligibility for at least 18 years, aren’t interesting.
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