The cost of owning a house in the U.S. can go up 1,000% and it would have no effect on the government’s official inflation rate, updated this morning to 3.5 percent. That’s because the cost of an owned house is included in CPI by asking homeowners, who aren’t landlords, how much they think they would get if they became landlords (usually not much because nobody wants to move into a single-family house with a one-year lease and then get kicked out at the end becuase the owner decided to do something else with the property). BLS:
The expenditure weight in the CPI market basket for OER is based on the following question that the CE Survey asks of consumers who own their primary residence: “If someone were to rent your home today, how much do you think it would rent for monthly, unfurnished and without utilities?”
ChatGPT says that OER rose by 31% from year-end 2019 to year-end 2025 (citing FRED).
What happened to actual costs? Nobody knows because the government doesn’t bother to measure them (see above). The Wall Street Journal, however, has a recent article on an attempt to quantify the rise in costs. It’s 39% rather than the BLS fantasy number of 31% if one considers someone who bought a house in 2025 vs. in 2019:
OER is about 26% of CPI so the effect of using OER instead of actual costs has been to understate inflation by about 0.3% per year over the 2019-2025 period coverd. That doesn’t sound like a lot, but it is about one-sixth of the Fed’s 2% inflation target (how are brightest technocrats doing on that, by the way? https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/business/economy/inflation-cpi.html has a chart showing six straight years of failure to meet this target; six years is “transitory”?).
Related:
“Comparing Past and Present Inflation” (Larry Summers, 2022): “we find that current inflation levels are much closer to past inflation peaks than the official series would suggest”
A Mexican national whom we are informed was shot at random by ICE (they were looking for an undocument migrant and shot the unfortunate Mr. Lorenzo Salgado Araujo for no reason and, as it happened, Mr. Araujo was also an undocumented migrant (what are the odds in a country where we’re informed that only a tiny percentage of residents are undocumented migrants?)):
Lindsey Graham, whose entire life can be reduced to, simply, “Trump Ally”:
Democrat connections on Facebook are filling up their feeds with glee regarding Senator Graham’s death. Some examples:
“I’ve never wished a man dead, but I have read some obituaries with great pleasure.” — Clarence Darrow, “The Story of My Life”, 1932
According to Dante, Lindsay’s final destination would be Antenora.
X users who previously expressed support for the Gazans and hatred of Israel are also happy. Example from someone affiliated with the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee:
I know we’re supposed to feign sadness over everyone’s death. If I can’t do that, I generally don’t say anything.
I find it impossible to do that in the case of Lindsey Graham, who used his position of power to relentlessly advocate for war, often successfully, and exhibited no…
The mere existence of an American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee seems like something that evolved during Lindsey Graham’s adulthood (until Hart-Celler in 1965, Arabs generally weren’t eligible to immigrate to the U.S.). Let’s look at what else has changed since Lindsey Graham was born in 1955.
Lindsey Graham served in the USAF for 33 years, including in Iraq and Afghanistan, and, unusually, did not become disabled by his work at a desk. VA Benefits cost $4.5 billion in 1955. Adjusted for inflation, that’s about 55 billion 2026 mini-dollars. That’s during a period where nearly 100% of American men were veterans of three brutal wars (WWI, WWII, and Korean). The population was smaller because we hadn’t discovered the miracle of open borders and, thus, the U.S. was home to only about 22 million living veterans in 1955. Today, VA benefits, not including military pensions earned via length of service, cost about $440 billion. There are only about 16 million living veterans and a high enough percentage of them are classified as “disabled”, thus forcing taxpayers to pay out more than $200 billion in disability compensation, e.g., to Graham Platner in Maine. The average American who actually pays any significant federal income tax will work approximately 2-3 hours per week to fund payments and services to veterans, despite the fact that it is tough to think of any war that we’ve won since Korea. ChatGPT: “real federal spending per veteran has risen by substantially more than a factor of eight”.
(Note that we will soon be spending more on disability payments to veterans than the Chinese spend on their entire active-duty military. The majority of disabled veterans were never in combat so we can’t blame our enemies becoming tougher for this epidemic of disability. A majority of veterans who left the U.S. military during the Biden-Harris administration were classified as disabled. There are some tough-to-quantify costs of these disability ratings. Veterans who receive TDIU (Total Disability based on Individual Unemployability) can’t work without risking the loss of the taxpayer cash. Veterans who are rated 100 percent disabled, such as Graham Platner, pay no property tax on a primary residence in Florida (imagine if this fearless fighter were to move into Ron DeSantis terrirtory!).)
Lindsey Graham started out wanted to give nearly every undocumented migrant in the U.S. “amnesty” and a passport. The percentage of immigrants in the U.S. has risen from about 5 percent when Lindsey Graham was born to at least 15 percent today (Pew). If we were to look at “immigrants plus children of recent immigrants” the growth would be much more dramatic due to the U.S. having closed its borders in 1924. If we corrected Pew’s numbers with the 2X likely population of undocumented migrants that Yale found, the percentage of the U.S. population that was foreign-born would likely be around 20 percent (and maybe 30 percent for immigrants plus children of recent immigrants since immigrants have higher fertility than the native-born Americans whom they are definitely not “replacing”).
Not in any way related to this enrichment via immigration, the cost of an existing single-family house (i.e., not one in some exurb) relative to median income, is now 2-3X what it was in 1955, relative to median male worker’s earnings, depending on how one adjusts for square footage.
Graham was, like all members of Congress, responsible for setting federal spending levels. Federal debt was about 65 percent of GDP in 1955, not too long after massive borrowing to fund WWII. Today it is 125 percent of GDP. Federal spending has grown from 16.5 percent of GDP to about 23 percent (don’t forget state and local as well!). ChatGPT: “The decline in military spending since 1955 was more than fully absorbed by the growth of Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, veterans’ benefits, other transfers, and interest on the debt.”
Due to the magic of the Jones Act, it would be illegal for a German-built ship such as the magnificent Norwegian Joy to do an Alaska cruise from Seattle and stop only at U.S. ports, even if operated by a U.S.-based cruise line and staffed with an American crew. One perverse consequence of the Act is, therefore, that U.S. law requires all of the passengers to be unloaded at a Canadian port and spend their money in Canada rather than in the U.S. for at least one day. This turns the trip into an international one, which can legally be run in a foreign-made ship.
Victoria, British Columbia, is getting enormously rich as a conseqeunce of this 1920 law. We stopped there at the end of May 2026.
Walking toward town, Fishermen’s Wharf:
We summoned an Uber for the 30-minute drive to Butchart Gardens, created circa 1906 by the wife of a cement baron in his former limestone quarry and run today by the family.
There’s something for everyone here, including fountains, totem poles, restaurants, a carousel, etc.
The shocking price of $44/adult ($31 in USD; 10 years of supercharged immigration, more carefully selected for skills and education than immigrants to the U.S., has made the Canadian economy so strong that the exchange rate vs. the USD has collapsed) doesn’t keep the place from being crowded on a sunny Sunday. They sell a membership to locals and the gardens are dog-friendly so maybe that’s part of it, but most of the visitors seemed to be tourists. It was challenging at times to get through the rose garden.
It all started with a Japanese garden in 1906:
Why is it virtually impossible to buy stone lanterns in the U.S.? Here are some beautiful ones, including an unusual one that is made, perhaps, from concrete logs?
I asked ChatGPT “Why aren’t Japanese-style stone lanterns made in China and shipped to U.S. garden stores by container/truck and then sold at a reasonable cost?” Our AI overlord says that the wholesale cost in China might be around $100, but…(1) containers are weight-limited, (2) “Breakage and missing parts are a killer”, (3) the port-to-store or port-to-house shipping is going to be expensive for a heavy object, 4) #tariffs #blameTrump, (5) stone lanterns don’t sell fast enough for a garden center, (6) Americans are tasteless and will accept a cast concrete or “cast stone” substitute.
I don’t dream of the winter that makes these rhododendrons and Japanese maples possible, but they are beautiful in spring!
Inspiration:
What do you get when you mix some of the New Canadians’ food traditions with Legacy Canada? Butter chicken poutine ($26 in fake money):
Artur, an immigrant from Turkey, had taken us out to the gardens. Wasim, an immigrant from northern India, brought us back to downtown Victoria.
The fountain across from the British Columbia Parliament Buildings celebrates the provinces and territories of Canada, which won its independence without a traitorous rebellion, unlike some countries…
We didn’t invest in the guided tour of the provincial parliament since, among other things, the idea of the capital not being in Vancouver seems ridiculous.
The Empress, a railroad-built hotel, is reached by walking past a statute of Emily Carr, a Canadian artist and writer unknown to Americans. She is the perfect inspiration for today’s immigration enthusiasts since she never got married or had children (though she had a dog Billie and a pet monkey Woo). Certainly she’s been replaced many times over!
At the opposite edge of the hotel’s block:
A passion for history required that we visit Rogers’ Chocolates, founded in 1885 by a man born in Massachusetts. This particular store dates to 1903.
Next stop: Munro’s Books.
Readers can perhaps guess that I headed straight for the children’s section.
Back in the adult area:
Of course, the staff was masked as well as allergic to cinnamon (see above):
The historic Chinatown surely has some great food, but we’d already stocked up on poutine at the garden.
Puzzle Lab was our favorite store. Laser cutting the “jigsaw” wooden puzzles enables them to cost a fraction of what a Stave costs (What would I do if Elizabeth Warren would follow through on her promise to steal Elon Musk’s $1 trillion and then give it to me (the second part isn’t included in her promise, but it seems only fair)? Order a bunch of Stave puzzles, which are perhaps $3,500 each.).
As part of an outdoor visitor orientation map, the government-run museum acknowledges that it is on stolen land:
Thanks to the miracle of spectacular immigration-fueled population growth, the city will be approving the replacement of an unsightly light-hogging single-family home with a beautiful 6-story apartment building:
At the extreme western end of the Trans-Canada Highway, there is a Mile 0 sign and a poignant statue of Terry Fox who tried to push through his cancer and run the entire distance. He died at 22. “Dreams are made possible if you try.” Well, I guess that’s true when you consider what happens to those who don’t try.
Then a walk back to the ship with views of the Olympic Mountains across the water, most famously traversed by enricher Ahmed Ressam in 1999.
Was ChatGPT helpful in planning this stop?
With 8 AM–6 PM, don’t burn the day on Butchart Gardens unless you particularly want gardens; it is farther from the cruise port. For your family, I’d walk from Ogden Point along the breakwater/Dallas Road waterfront to Beacon Hill Park, then continue to the Inner Harbour, Parliament buildings, and back. Victoria Trails describes Ogden Point Breakwater as a walk near the cruise terminal with harbor and Strait views. Independent cruise guides estimate the Empress/Inner Harbour area at about 1.5 miles from the cruise dock, so this is very doable as a half-day walk.
No. Butchart Gardens is a work of genius. Downtown Victoria is reasonably nice, but crowded with tourists and not filled with important architecture. Buying 3 lbs. of chocolate at Rogers’ and then reading through a stack of 2SLGBTQQIA+ books at Munro’s would be delightful, but doesn’t fill an entire day. ChatGPT frightened us further in a follow-up by saying that we wouldn’t be able to get an Uber back from Butchart. We got one within about 3 minutes (Wasim was dropping someone else off).
“The Post‑COVID Decline in the Labor Share” (by a group of Federal Reserve Bank economists) shows that, as the percentage of immigrants in the U.S. population increased (we opened our borders starting in 1965, but the effects were gradual at first), the percentage of income captured by labor decreased:
Even if American IQ doesn’t continue to fall, if Americans continue to become relatively less capable than machines every year shouldn’t we expect the labor share to continue to fall? A robot or NVIDIA server is a capital investment, after all, and the fruits of the work by the robot/server would, absent a heroic transferist government, ordinarily end up primarily in the hands of the investors who paid for it.
Llosely related…
They said we couldn't build AI because intelligence is too complex to understand, so we just built AI that we don't understand either.
These low-resolution (1280×768) displays were tweaked during coronapanic by adding touch sensitvity (a mixed blessing in a machine that is subject to turbulence), but essentially Garmin has been offering the same system for 17 years… until today. The web site for Garmin AXIS doesn’t offer any resolution spec in pixels, which is disturbing, and it continues to mention panning and zooming (not the best activity for a pilot trying to control aircraft attitude!). Maybe Garmin actually hasn’t caught up to 1080p, a place that HTC managed to get for its Android phones in 2012.
Why does an airplane need box after box of avionics given that a modern smartphone has an AHRS, a GPS, multiple radios, a high-res display, a massive database of charts, and nearly everything else that anyone would want in an aircraft panel? I haven’t made it all the way through the 23-minute launch video, but I don’t think resolution is mentioned:
For those of us limping along with late-1990s Garmin 430s, the beauty of this new Garmin system is that the capabilities of the insanely expensive and absurdly low-res GTN750Xi nav/com (about $25,000 installed; offers to show approach plates, but they’re unreadable) are folded into the back of the display. It looks as though the financial savings could be significant. The PFD with all of the features of the GTN750Xi is priced at roughly the same cost as the GTN750Xi. From Sarasota:
Presumably two of these “fattened displays” would be required for a Cirrus or similar “real IFR” aircraft so as to have a backup GPS, 2nd COM, etc.
This is, of course, ugly news for Brand A. Avidyne only a year ago got its retrofit reasonably-modern larger-but-low-res PFD/MFD certified. The Avidyne system needs high-cost high-bulk connector-rich separate nav/coms, which Garmin has now folded into the backs of their PFD/MFD.
Update: I found the resolution in pixels in the manual. It is 1080p, 1920×1080 pixels, a huge upgrade from the G500TXi and also much higher resolution than Avidyne’s Vantage. If 1080p has arrived in $60,000 aircraft panels 21 years after arriving in consumer living rooms and 14 years after arriving in consumers’ pockets (HTC Android phone), does that mean the dawn of 8K TVs is near? It’s tough to imagine that aviation isn’t at least two generations behind what consumers can buy for $500.
If we consider $1,000 to be the post-Bidenflation equivalent of $500, maybe it will be 2027 before 8K TVs, two generations ahead of these $20,000 Garmin displays, have come down enough to create a conventional split in price. (How much more general and video-related computing power do we think an 8K TV has compared to all of the computers in a glass panel aircraft put together?)
Photos from Day 2 (yesterday) of PBI’s reincarnation as DJT (“Donald J. Trump International Airport”)…
A nod to Donald Trump’s famous passion for fine art:
Purely functional signage:
Note that the (1988) terminal remains dedicated to Navy fighter pilot David McCampbell, who became famous by shooting down airplanes (maybe not the best possibility to remind passengers of as they check their bags?) and then retired to Palm Beach County:
The history of the airport is preserved:
The renaming is a rather bizarre turn of events given that Trump has been the airport’s worst enemy ever since he purchased Mar-a-Lago, notably in obstructing the expansion of 10R/28L to accommodate “real airplanes” and, thus, add flights (now it is just 3214×75′ vs. 10001×150′ for 10L/28R). Mar-a-Lago is indeed almost directly in line with 10R so Trump’s fight against the airport wasn’t irrational. This article describes a history of conflict going back to 1995:
A 1995 lawsuit by Trump over airport noise ended with the county agreeing to lease Trump the land where he later built Trump International Golf Club. A 2010 lawsuit by Trump over airport noise was dismissed.
Here’s the geometry that makes the conflict inevitable:
Happy World Population Day, except to Elon Musk who says that humans are going extinct and should have more children, while simultaneously Elon refuses to make a Tesla self-driving minivan. In honor of this glorious day, set up after the Earth’s population reached 5 billion in 1987 (due to population collapse, Earth now has only about 8.2 billion humans (or maybe 10 billion)) , let’s take a look at a population on the other side of an ocean from us…
Gemini says Climate Change is real. Prompt and answer:
Is Climate Change real from a European perspective? I.e., is Europe hotter than it was 50 years ago and is it almost certain to become yet hotter 50 years from now?
Yes and yes. From a data-driven, scientific perspective, the physical reality of climate change in Europe matches both of your conditions.
When I asked Gemini “Create a poster for Americans to show solidarity with European heatwave victims by turning their thermostats up from 72 to 74” (no mention of skin color), it produced the following:
Note that the U.S. is a mixture of skin tones while everyone in Europe seems to be nonwhite. Could this reflect Gemini’s belief that European leaders have chosen a Climate Change adaption strategy of replacing their heat-intolerant subjects with imports from Africa and the Middle East who are, presumably, accustomed to hot weather.
Note closely related, but I love the “feels like the inside of a McDonald’s Apple Pie” phrase:
Even though France is experiencing a heatwave that feels like the inside of a McDonald's Apple Pie, the Minister of Ecology is firmly against air conditioning.
Stingy bitch Monique Barbu said that A/C does nothing to address climate change and people should adapt to global… pic.twitter.com/0kyDoQOx2r
Also, European Union regulations require that animals being transported cannot be exposed to a temperature higher than 30C, perhaps with a +5C tolerance. The European Food Safety Authority, however, says that horses cannot be exposed to temperatures higher than 25C (i.e., about 20C cooler than temps inside upper-floor Paris and Berlin apartments when it was 40C outside?).
We stopped into Ketchikan, Alaska, our last port in the Great Land. The first thing I found was the MV Malaspina, an Alaska Marine Highway ferry launched in 1963 that I took in 1993. She’s a Jones Act survivor that remained in service through 2022. Her sister ship, MV Matanuska, was launched in 1962 and remains in service! Malaspina is used as seasonal housing now:
A former paper mill at the Ward Cove cruise facility has been turned into a massive souvenir mall:
Downtown was mobbed, as you might expect from 19,000 cruise ship passengers being unloaded into a town of about 8,000.
What used to happen on Creek Street (above right)?
Tired of cruise ship food? Here’s the line for lunch at 11:17 am. Keep in mind that all 19,000 tourists have been on unlimited 6 meals per day plus 24-hour room service.
Commercial fishing boats with the real money-makers behind them:
Walking for 20 minutes to the Totem Heritage Center, run by the city, gets one away from most of the cuise ship crowd. The museum reminds us that Native Americans are natural stewards and protectors of the environment from the rapacious white man. Curiously, when I was in Alaska in 1993 the clearcut forests on Native Corporation land was pointed out as a contrast to the National Forest, in which white administrators wouldn’t permit clearcutting.
There was quite a bit of fragmentation in the “late nineteenth century”:
White do-gooders today want young Native Alaskans to invest a huge amount of time and energy in learning their ancestral languages, now of no practical value:
I asked a local native what he thought about this. “It would be a lot better to learn Spanish or Chinese,” he said, “after learning English. Or maybe Arabic.” He pointed out that things were simpler in his youth when the white man wanted Indians to learn English and white culture. “There are so many immigrants from India, China, Vietnam, Latin America, the Middle East, and God knows where else that, in addition to our native culture we have to learn about languages, religions, and cultures from 10 or 15 different countries just to get through a day in the U.S.”
Speaking of keeping traditions alive, the local salmon hatchery is still closed for coronapanic:
A short walk down a creek passes by the Trail of Tears, updated for the 21st century: Married Man’s Trail.
The second facility for the city museum welcomes visitors with a land acknowledgement and pilots with an E6-B.
The local bookstore is next door and is ready in case a Black or indigenous (Palestinian?) 2SLGBTQQIA+ customer comes in:
Meanwhile, the store features a work by John Muir, a renowned racist (“advocated for white supremacy and promoting the race through eugenics, which called for forced sterilization of Black people and other minority groups”) who founded an anti-immigrant organization (“From 1989 – 1996, the Sierra Club had a national policy to greatly limit immigration”).
The kindness section of town: “Saving one cat will not change the world, but for that one cat … the world will change forever.” (Mindy the Crippler, our golden retriever, might adjust this slightly…)
The main shopping drag isn’t a bad place to prepare for Christmas:
It also works for hunting and gun nuts:
Back to our ship for the 1.5-day trip to Victoria, British Columbia:
What had ChatGPT recommended?
Norwegian uses Ward Cove, not the downtown Ketchikan docks. Ward Cove says the complimentary shuttle runs between Ward Cove and downtown Berth IV and takes about 20 minutes each way.
Do not assume Rainbird Trail is available. The Ketchikan Gateway Borough says Rainbird Trail is indefinitely closed because of the August 2024 landslide.
For a forest walk, I’d look at Ward Lake / Frog Pond instead. Ward Lake Trail is described as a mostly flat lake-circumference trail, wide gravel, with bridges over Ward Creek. AllTrails lists Ward Lake as a 1.5-mile loop near Ward Cove, generally easy, about 44 minutes. That means you could combine: Ward Cove → Ward Lake/Frog Pond area → shuttle downtown → Creek Street/totems → ship
This was useless advice. The trailhead suggested by ChatGPT is a 3-mile walk from the cruise dock along a main road and there aren’t rental cars available at Ward Cove. As it happens, the rest of the family enjoyed a fishing excursion in a 6-passenger boat (plus the captain’s two Australian shepherds). It was too early for salmon, but they caught some rockfish and then had a bbq on an island. I didn’t join because it would have been much sitting in an uncomfortable boat (spoiled by the Norwegian Joy!).
Today is a dark day for billionaire Democrats who’ve been avoiding New York City and New York State income tax by living 183 days per year in Palm Beach. Their Gulfstreams are now parked at “DJT”, President Donald J. Trump International Airport. Google is #Resisting. If you say that you want to fly from an airport named after the worst U.S. president ever to one named after the best U.S. president ever (JFK gave us the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Vietnam War, and open borders (Lyndon Johnson had to finish the last two)), Google Flights responds that nothing is available and that one must fly instead from “PBI”:
(Maybe because the IATA code won’t officially update until August? On the third hand, the site could silently fix the discrepancy and simply display flights from what is still “PBI” for baggage tags.)
Airnav’s budget is smaller than Google’s, but their site is fully up to date with today’s change:
Garmin pilot shows that a new FAA VFR chart is apparently available:
Where did the Huna Tlingit Indians forced by Climate Change to evacuate Glacier Bay circa 1800 end up? Just across Icy Strait in Hoonah. Right next to their town, after salmon canning became unprofitable, they set up a theme park for cruise ships called “Icy Strait Point”:
What did our AI cruise director suggest?
Icy Strait Point has a built-for-cruise feel, but it is also one of the better places for whale watching or kayaking because the tour boats don’t have to spend a lot of time just reaching wildlife areas. The port’s official site emphasizes the old salmon cannery setting and excursions tied to the natural setting and local history.
For a no-excursion plan, do the Icy Strait Point Nature Trail, beach, cannery area, and maybe walk/ride into Hoonah. The Nature Trail is short—about 1.1 miles, easy, roughly 0.5–1 hour—so it won’t satisfy your “couple of hours in forest” goal by itself. If you want a more substantial activity here, this is a good port for a guided wilderness hike, kayak, or whale-watch rather than improvising deep woods, partly because Chichagof Island is serious bear country.
Here’s the overview map:
We bought tickets from the ship for the Sky Peak gondola, which rises 1,600′, and arrived in the middle of a cloud for a bilingual talk by a tribal elder (not Elizabeth Warren):
Was waiting in line for the gondola worth it? 100 percent! Where better to practice outdoor masking than on top of a mountain in Alaska?
Remember to have your coffee before getting off the ship. The line for the shack at the top of the gondola wasn’t pretty:
The trail to a long boardwalk carried some warnings:
Who wouldn’t be happy to be out in the fresh air with a 12-gauge shotgun? One of these guys was from Indiana(!) and now makes his year-round home in Hoonah:
Were the guns necessary? The guides/guards said that the bears were all down closer to the water because there was an ample food supply down there during the late May time of our visit. The bear-free boardwalk:
The weather cleared when we got back to the top of the gondola:
There was a 30-minute line to get onto a free gondola that saves a 20-minute walk into Hoonah:
Hoonah with multiple ships in port is at least as crowded as Manhattan and with comparable restaurant waiting times.
Instead of waiting in the line, we hoofed it back to our ship and ate lunch on board.
I enjoyed seeing Serenade of the Seas, the Royal Caribbean ship that was home for me and mom on my very first ocean cruise (Baltic 2016). She’s also a product of Meyer Werft.
For fans of the costs of government regulation, a Jones Act Alaskan Marine Highway ferry, M/V Hubbard. She was built in Alaska and took 17 years from being “envisioned” to completion, i.e., enough time for the Chinese to build a few cities and associated shipyards for Neopanamax container carriers. The cost might have been as high as $100 million, including crew quarters that were added, for this Ketchikan-built 5,000-ton vessel that carries 53 cars. With her sister ship, in other words, the cost was higher than what our Chinese brothers, sisters, and binary-resisters charge to build a Neopanamax container ship of 15,000 TEU capacity and 135,000 gross tons. Do the Chinese need 17 years? ChatGPT says closer to 1 year, though this can stretch to 3-4 years depending on the shipyard’s backlog.
If we returned to Icy Strait Point we’d book a whale watch.