“Reports of Attacks on Women in Germany Heighten Tension Over Migrants” (NYT, January 5, 2016) describes how women in Germany are subject to attacks based on their sex. Would any German woman therefore now qualify for asylum in the U.S. under the “credible fear” standard that our government puts forth?
If so, would a German woman want to emigrate to the U.S.?
Germany has a higher labor force participation rate (source), an indication either that work is better in Germany or there are fewer ways to collect money without working. Digging further into the data, it looks as though “prime working age women” are substantially more likely to have jobs in Germany than in the U.S. This may be due to the fact that, as one high-income German put it, “it is a lot easier to work your pussy in the U.S. than in Germany.” According to the German lawyer whom we interviewed the international chapter of Real World Divorce, alimony has been difficult to obtain in Germany since 2009. With child support revenue in Germany capped at $6,000 per child per year, having sex with a dermatologist or two does not lead to the spending power of a dermatologist, as it would in Massachusetts or Wisconsin. [Note that, according to a jet-owner at NBAA, some German women already move to the U.S. in order to secure the jurisdiction of a U.S. family court and then collect child support at U.S. rates.]
Germany has a lower GDP-per-capita than the U.S. (CIA), suggesting that a German immigrant could live with more material prosperity here. German-Americans earn more than the U.S. average (Wikipedia), further enhancing the material advantages to a move.
The German K-12 system leads to a superior education (PISA scores) compared to the U.S., which should put a German immigrant, despite the language handicap, at a further advantage to native-born Americans in the workforce.
How about open space? Even before the latest crush of migrants, Germany had a population density of 591 per square mile (Wikipedia), compared to 85 in the U.S.
OECD publishes a “better life index” for Germany and the U.S. with comparisons on some additional axes.
Readers: What do you think? Can a German woman show the Times article and perhaps some YouTube footage to a U.S. official and get asylum? If so, should she take it?
[The OECD page shows that median after-tax household income in Germany is $31,252 per year. That’s $601 per week. The Massachusetts child support guidelines worksheet shows that, without working at all, a female refugee who had sex with any man earning more than $3,315 per week, or $172,380 per year, would have a higher spending power than if she had remained in Germany and worked for wages as part of a median-income household.]
Philip, this is one of those “notsapostas” Barney Frank used to warn about. You’re not supposed to use logic to create a factual juxtaposition which would reveal the inconsistency of the people in charge and of what they would have us believe. Logic is only supposed to be used when it supports what they want to do to you (which is why, in recent decades, logical argument has been seen less and less in public discourse).
Well, I don’t think that anyone is considering to leave Germany just because of the incidents in Cologne. And aside from that a more interesting question would be if the USA is seriously a state of law, because I think one wouldn’t leave a state of law for a non-state of law on first sight.
Carsten: I don’t know if we are a “state of law” but we certainly have more and better-paid lawyers than you do in Germany! And a woman would not need to leave Germany “just because of the incidents in Cologne”; the incidents in Cologne would potentially give a woman who did want to leave Germany for any reason the automatic entitlement, under U.S. law, to settle in the U.S.
Other than the child support/alimony opportunities, there is little reason for the average German woman to come to USA.Let me summarize the pro’s and con’s from what I assume would be a woman’s perspective (assuming she works).
Germany pro’s
1) Employees get 30 days vacation (+10 public holidays, if accumulated overtime is returned, add another 10 days)
2) Job security after 6 months probation period (very hard to fire you!).
3) Six weeks paid sick leave at 100% salary, then 70% salary after that
4) Paid pregnancy leave (six weeks before the birth and eight weeks afterwards)
5) Paid parental leave (both parents) for up to 14 months (12 months can be carried over until age 8!)
6) Cheap childcare (eg. preschool 6 hours per day, 80 euros per child per month, lunch meals cost an additional 80 euros)
7) Monthly Kindergeld or child allowance (190 euros per child from the state until 25 years old)
8) Healthcare is affordable and generally providing good service (after giving birth women usually stay one week in the hospital).
9) Free university for them and their kids (but keep in mind German universities are not top in the international rankings)
10) No “live-to-work” culture. Most jobs, even professional jobs, end at 5pm. Maximum 45 hour work week. Weekends are sacred.
Germany’s cons
1) Can’t live off alimony/child support, must actually hold a J-O-B.
2) Hard to be an entrepreneur and make a lot of money in Germany. Generally, a savvy go-getter culture is not well supported here. Try finding a Theranos story in Germany.
According to this website: http://www.nationmaster.com/country-info/stats/Crime/Rape-rate rapes occur three times more frequently in the U.S. than in Germany.
Work that pussy!
Neal: I don’t trust the statistics you linked. Sweden has a rate of 63.5 while Norway is at 19.2 and Denmark is at 6.4?!?! One of them numbers has got to be wrong!
To answer your own question, read the page you link to.
“Q. What is a Credible Fear of Persecution?
A. A “significant possibility” that you can establish in a hearing before an Immigration Judge that you have been persecuted or have a well-founded fear of persecution on account of your race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion if returned to your country.”
There were just over 8,000 reports of sexual assaults in 2012, and around 7,400 in 2013. So the 90 reported incidents from Cologne would probably be a little more than 1% increase assuming all other things being the same.
So the possibility of a woman being sexually assaulted in Germany is not meaningfully greater after the Cologne incident, and as another commented pointed out, already a third of the chance in the U.S (based on Wikipedia statistics for 2010).
I would say that is not a “significant possibility” nor would someone making such a claim demonstrate a “well-founded fear.” There’s no such thing as “automatic entitlement”, based on what I am reading from the page you linked to on how the U.S. determines who qualifies for asylum.
Using your logic, everyone in France would be welcome here after the recent terror attack. That’s not happening either.
The incidence of rape is higher in Sweden than in Germany and the other Scandinavian countries. But it’s a complicated field of study as this long Wikipedia-article will attest to
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rape_in_Sweden
Sweden is a mess
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3317978/Torn-apart-open-door-migrants-Sweden-seen-Europe-s-liberal-nation-violent-crime-soaring-Far-Right-march-reports-SUE-REID.html
But you’ll find career options in Refugee Nation
http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-norway-refugee-crisis-profiteers/
Instead of emigrating and claiming asylum status to collect child support, why not pop some Clomid, fly to Logan Airport, stay in the International terminal, go into the first class departure lounge, give a “family bathroom” blowjob to a first class passenger, spit into a cervical cap, and return to Germany that evening with the “donor’s” business card. Nine months later, fill out a form at http://www.mass.gov/dor/child-support/apply-for-services/ and wait for the checks to arrive in Dusseldorf.
Thanks Quickstop. Stupid me, why didn’t I think of that when I was young and better looking?