Stupid Donald Trump Question: How is Trump’s proposed wall different from what we have built already?

Friends on Facebook, when they aren’t comparing Donald Trump to Adolf Hitler, may complain that Trump’s proposal to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border is un-American and/or immoral. Yet Wikipedia indicates that we have already built 580 miles of such a wall. It seems obvious that Trump is proposing a longer wall, but how is that qualitatively or morally different than what we’ve already done? With a quick Google search I found “History of Border Walls in the U.S. and Around the World,” which says that the Mexico-U.S. wall dates back at least to 1990:

In 1990, the United States constructed a 66-mile (106-kilometer) fence along the California coast from San Diego to the Pacific Ocean to deter illegal immigration. Arrests of illegal immigrants in the San Diego region declined sharply as a result of the fence, but increased nearly 600 percent in Arizona, where the number of accidental deaths also climbed as Mexicans attempted to traverse the harsh desert environment.

In 1996, President Bill Clinton signed the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act. The act increased fines for illegal aliens, provided additional funding for border patrol and surveillance, and also approved the installation of an additional 14-mile (22-kilometer) fence near San Diego.

With respect to his advocacy of a border wall/fence, what is different about Donald Trump than our 1990s political leaders?

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Picasa syncing to Google Photos seems to be broken; what to use instead of Picasa?

Folks:

Although Picasa continues to run on my Windows 10 desktop computer, one of the things that I liked best about it has stopped working. Adding a photo to an album that is specified to sync to the web no longer results in an automatic update. Telling Picasa to sync a new folder to the web first results in an annoying prompt for a username and password (these credentials used to be saved for months if not years). Then there is a spinning uploading icon. Then there is apparently a silent failure because the album doesn’t show up in Google Photos (but if you retry 10 times it might).

Back in February I posted about Google killing off Picasa and it seemed that there was no obvious replacement in terms of a seamless desktop/web application or a web-only application that actually does what Picasa used to do.

What about now? Has anyone found a good solution? What can the Adobe tools do? I pay for them every month but I haven’t comprehended even 1 percent of the features!

[Separately, a superstar programmer friend who recently quit Google says that the Alphabet reorganization will result in big changes: “Here is their trick: cut out big pieces of google, e.g., fiber, verity life sciences, x labs, etc. At first all of the org charts point to larry, the people are comfortable. then a few months ago, the org charts no longer reported to larry. Eventually they will put in firewalls and then start layoffs and squeezing, unit by unit. So google fiber will probably get a huge layoff. They’ll probably spin off the car company from x labs and squeeze that with ‘make money or die.'” He estimated that more than half of the Google staff could be fired without an impact on revenue or product development. But so far my personal experience is that Google is killing great products that shouldn’t cost a lot to maintain.]

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Burning Man meets the Default World

“How Was Burning Man” is this week’s must-view (4 minutes).

Separately, I sat down with a friend for lunch this week to find out what happened during his Burn. We compared text messages on our phones. My exchange with a woman included “Costco list?,” “Pears but no organic bananas,” and “Glad to hear that you skipped the fruit snacks.” (I made the trip to Costco with an almost-3-year-old in the middle seat of the Honda Odyssey.) His exchanges with women at Burning Man cannot be reprinted in a family weblog…

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ITT Technical Institute: good for teaching investors

People can debate the quality of the tech education offered at ITT Technical Institute, but the stock price chart is a great lesson for investors. It seemed to be a recession-proof stock, reaching over $120 per share in early 2009. Now that the shower of federal money has been shut off the stock is worth pennies.

Separately, what will these folks do with the corporate shell? Presumably they aren’t solvent due to real estate obligations, such as leases for campus buildings.

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Peter the Great: His Life and World (what was Moscow like back then?)

I found a book that should be required reading for anyone traveling to St. Petersburg (as I did): Peter the Great: His Life and World. (And remember that September and October were the guides’ recommended time of year to see St. Petersburg without the crazy crowds.)

The book is great for putting Peter the Great into context, explaining what life in the various European countries was like back then and what other monarchs were doing.

Here’s an explanation of life in Moscow:

In the third quarter of the seventeenth century, the traveler coming from Western Europe passed through this countryside to arrive at a vantage point known as the Sparrow Hills. Looking down on Moscow from this high ridge, he saw at his feet “the most rich and beautiful city in the world.” Hundreds of golden domes topped by a forest of golden crosses rose above the treetops; if the traveler was present at a moment when the sun touched all this gold, the blaze of light forced his eyes to close.

Entering Moscow through its walls of earth and brick, the traveler plunged immediately into the bustling life of a busy commercial city. The streets were crowded with jostling humanity. Tradespeople, artisans, idlers and ragged holy men walked beside laborers, peasants, black-robed priests and soldiers in bright-colored caftans and yellow boots. Carts and wagons struggled to make headway through this river of people, but the crowds parted for a fat-bellied, bearded boyar, or nobleman, on horseback, his head covered with a fine fur cap and his girth with a rich fur-lined coat of velvet or stiff brocade. At street corners, musicians, jugglers, acrobats and animal handlers with bears and dogs performed their tricks. Outside every church, beggars clustered and wailed for alms. In front of taverns, travelers were sometimes astonished to see naked men who had sold every stitch of clothing for a drink; on feast days, other men, naked and clothed alike, lay in rows in the mud, drunk.

On the riverbank itself, near the new stone bridge, rows of women bent over the water washing clothes. One seventeenth-century German traveler noted that some of the women selling goods in the square might also sell “another commodity.”

At noon, all activity came to a halt. The markets would close and the streets empty as people ate dinner, the largest meal of the day. Afterward, everyone napped and shopkeepers and vendors stretched out to sleep in front of their stalls. With the coming of dusk, swallows began to soar over the Kremlin battlements and the city locked itself up for the night. Shops closed behind heavy shutters, watchmen looked down from the rooftops and bad-tempered dogs paced at the end of long chains. Few honest citizens ventured into the dark streets, which became the habitat of thieves and armed beggars bent on extracting by force in the dark what they had failed to get by pleading during the daylight hours. “These villains,” wrote an Austrian visitor, “place themselves at the corners of streets and throw swinging cudgels at the heads of those that pass by, in which practice they are so expert that these mortal blows seldom miss.” Several murders a night were common in Moscow, and although the motive for these crimes was seldom more than simple theft, so vicious were the thieves that no one dared respond to cries for help. Often, terrorized citizens were afraid even to look out their own doors or windows to see what was happening. In the morning, the police routinely carried the bodies found lying in the streets to a central field where relatives could come to check for missing persons; eventually, all unidentified corpses were tumbled into a common grave.

As Moscow was built of logs, Muscovites always kept spares on hand for repairs or new construction. Logs by the thousand were piled up between houses or sometimes hidden behind them or surrounded by fences as protection from thieves. In one section, a large wood market kept thousands of prefabricated log houses of various sizes ready for sale; a buyer had only to specify the size and number of rooms desired. Almost overnight, the timbers, all clearly numbered and marked, would be carried to his site, assembled, the logs chinked with moss, a roof of thin planks laid on top and the new owner could move in. The largest logs, however, were saved and sold for a different purpose. Cut into six-foot sections, hollowed out with an axe and covered with lids, they became the coffins in which Russians were buried.

Relations between the sexes (the author doesn’t explain what happened regarding gender dysphoria or gender ID) were structured:

A married woman was never bareheaded. Indoors, she wore a cloth headdress; when she went out, she donned a kerchief or a rich fur hat. They daubed their cheeks with red to enhance their beauty, and wore the handsomest earrings and most valuable rings which their husbands could afford. Unfortunately, the higher a lady’s rank and the more gorgeous her wardrobe, the less likely she was to be seen. The Muscovite idea of women, derived from Byzantium, had nothing of those romantic medieval Western conceptions of gallantry, chivalry and the Court of Love. Instead, a woman was regarded as a silly, helpless child, intellectually void, morally irresponsible and, given the slightest chance, enthusiastically promiscuous. This puritanical idea that an element of evil lurked in all little girls affected their earliest childhood. In good families, children of opposite sexes were never allowed to play together—to preserve the boys from contamination. As they grew older, girls, too, were subject to contamination, and even the most innocent contact between youths and maidens was forbidden. Instead, to preserve their purity while teaching them prayer, obedience and a few useful skills such as embroidery, daughters were kept under lock and key.

Usually, a girl was married in the full bloom of adolescence to a man she had not met until all the major parties to the marriage—her father, the bridegroom and the bridegroom’s father—had made the decision final. The negotiations might have been lengthy; they involved critical matters such as the size of the dowry and guarantees of the bride’s virginity. If, subsequently, in the not necessarily expert opinion of the young bridegroom, the girl had had previous experience, he could ask that the marriage be voided and the dowry returned. This meant a messy lawsuit; far better to examine carefully in advance and be absolutely sure. When everything was settled, the young wife-to-be, her face covered with a linen veil, was summoned into her father’s presence to be introduced to her future husband. Taking a small whip, the father struck his daughter lightly on the back, saying, “My daughter, this is the last time you shall be admonished by the authority of your father beneath whose rule you have lived. Now you are free of me, but remember that you have not so much escaped from my sway as passed beneath that of another. Should you not behave as you ought to toward your husband, he in my stead will admonish you with this whip.” Whereupon the father handed the whip to the bridegroom, who, according to custom, nobly declared that he “believes he will have no need of this whip.” Nevertheless, he accepted it as a gift from his father-in-law, and attached it to his belt. [Amber Heard would have had an easier time establishing her domestic violence claims back then.]

When her husband had an important guest, she was permitted to appear before dinner, dressed in her best ceremonial robes, bearing a welcoming cup on a silver tray. Standing before the guest, she bowed, handed the cup, offered her cheek for a Christian kiss and then wordlessly withdrew. When she bore a child, those who feared her husband or wanted his patronage came to congratulate him and present a gold piece for the newborn.

This isolation of women and disdain for their companionship had a grim effect on seventeenth-century Russian men. Family life was stifled, intellectual life was stagnant, the coarsest qualities prevailed and men, deprived of the society of women, found little else to do but drink. There were exceptions. In some households, intelligent women played a key role, albeit behind the scenes; in a few, strong women even dominated weak husbands. Ironically, the lower a woman stood in the social scale, the greater her chance for equality. In the lower classes, where life was a struggle for simple existence, women could not be pushed aside and treated as useless children; their brains and muscle were needed. They were considered inferior, but they lived side by side with men. They bathed with men, and ran laughing through the snow with men, completely naked.

The part of the house reserved for women was called the “terem” (same root as “harem”?):

In various ways, Peter made serious efforts to improve the customs and conditions of Russian life. He acted to raise the status of women, declaring that they must not remain secluded in the terem, but should be present with men at dinners and on other social occasions. He banned the old Muscovite system of arranged marriages in which bride and groom had no choice in the matter and did not even meet each other until the marriage service was being performed. In April 1702, to the immense joy of young people, Peter decreed that all marriage decisions should be voluntary, that the prospective partners should meet at least six weeks before their engagement, that each should be entirely free to reject the other, and that the bridegroom’s symbolic wielding of the whip at wedding ceremonies be replaced with a kiss.

Divorce was not the package offered to American women:

To divorce his wife, an Orthodox husband had simply to thrust her, willing or not, into a convent. Once his wife was “dead,” a husband was free to remarry, but this freedom was not unlimited. The Orthodox Church permitted a man two dead wives or two divorces, but his third wife had to be his last. Thus, a husband who had violently abused his first two wives was likely to handle his third with care; if she died or ran away, he could never marry again.

Peter the Great’s half-sister Sophia nonetheless managed to rule Russia as regent while a young Peter was nominally co-tsar with his half-brother Ivan (Wikipedia places her in charge from 1682-1689; she was age 25-32 at the time). A bunch of inconvenient folks had to be killed to make this happen.

Only one person had the intelligence and courage to attempt to overthrow an elected tsar. No one knows the exact extent of her involvement in the plot and the terrible events that followed; some say it was done on her behalf but without her knowledge. But the circumstantial evidence is strong that the chief conspirator was Sophia. … Although she was filling a vacancy which she and her agents had created, Sophia was now in fact the natural choice. No male Romanov had reached sufficient age to master the government, and she surpassed all the other princesses in education, talent and strength of will. She had shown that she knew how to launch and to ride the whirlwind of the Streltsy revolt. The soldiers, the government, even the people now looked to her. Sophia accepted, and for the next seven years this extraordinary woman governed Russia.

Apparently Sony sensors ruled the digital world even in the 17th Century because Russians chose a man named “Nikon” as their religious leader:

Nikon was a stern enforcer of discipline on both laity and clergy. Attempting to regulate the daily life of the common people, he banned cursing, card playing, sexual promiscuity and even drinking. Further, he insisted that every faithful Russian spend four hours a day in church. Against the erring clergy, he was relentless.

Do you agree that children shouldn’t be allowed to play

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Best moderately priced smartphone right now?

Now that the iPhone 7 excitement has abated slightly, what about phones for people who don’t have money to burn?

A friend wants a phone with dual SIM cards. He used to be an iPhone user but reduced financial circumstances have forced him to leave Apple’s garden (after a few years of marriage with two kids his wife sued him and a Massachusetts court has ordered him to pay roughly 80 percent of his after-tax income in child support; the legal fees consumed most of his retirement savings). He would be able to use any smartphone operating system, but probably shouldn’t be spending more than $200.

What’s his best option right now?

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Corporate inversions help management and punish long-term investors

Boring but important: “The Cost of Keeping Companies in the United States” (nytimes)

Some excerpts:

… in our zeal to keep companies in the United States, we have created policies where inversions benefit some shareholders at the expense of others. Perversely, the inversion rules are more likely to punish American investors and long-term investors to the benefit of senior executives, recent investors and tax-exempt investors, including those overseas.

Fifteen percent to 20 percent of shareholders in the deals we studied were made worse off from inversion. The anti-inversions tax rules are especially bad for long-term investors who have higher capital gains because they have seen their shares appreciate significantly over the years.

In effect, one group of shareholders writes a large check to the government for all shareholders to reap the benefits of lower corporate income taxes in the future.

Foreign shareholders also benefit, as the I.R.S.’s special tax rules don’t apply in other countries.

There’s a third group that benefits: corporate executives. We found that the chief executive’s wealth increases 3 percent to 4 percent, despite the personal tax consequences of inversion. This is in part because stock options, unlike shares, are not subject to capital gains tax at inversion. In 2004 the government added a tax on pay for executives of inverting companies but the companies began reimbursing their executives for this expense, passing the cost along to shareholders.

My personal take: It seems that whenever the government creates anything complex it opens up a new way for one group of Americans to steal quietly from another. Maybe this is why the Europeans lean so hard on the value-added tax.

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Low-effort parenting in Massachusetts via METCO

I hope that readers are enjoying the Back to School season. Who is celebrating like Homer and Marge Simpson (“You’re the government’s problem now.”)?

Is it in fact possible to substantially turn a child over to the government, though? Surely you can’t get out of cooking breakfast for the kids, arranging after-school care, and supervising homework, right? Well… talking to a schoolteacher whose class is just outside 128, the Boston ring highway, I learned that the METCO kids get picked up by a government-provided bus at around 6:00 am from Boston, are served breakfast by public school employees, then attend class with the local kids. After school officially ends, the METCO kids are supervised by a government-paid teacher who nags them into doing homework. If they don’t play sports they’ll be placed on a 5:30 pm bus and be home around 6:30 pm (or never, depending on Boston traffic). If they are on a sports team they will catch a 7:30 pm bus and thus the parents will have been relieved of responsibility for their children from 6:00 am through 8:30 pm every weekday. What about cooking dinner? If children are told to eat big meals when the taxpayers are buying and reminded that Sumo wrestlers can reach 600 pounds on just two meals per day it seems to me that a parent’s culinary efforts on behalf of offspring could be limited to purchasing apples and cheese sticks for self-service at-home snacks.

What are the practical first steps toward unloading a child into METCO? This page explains the criteria. (The officials behind the page list “race” as the last and perhaps least important criteria, but people with whom I have talked say that children are sorted first by skin color. As one of the goals of the program is to “increase diversity, and reduce racial isolation” (home page), children are selected for having a different skin color than children in the suburbs. Essentially this means that parents of children whom government officials identify as “white” are out of luck due to the fact that Boston suburbs are already mostly white.)

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Medical School 2020, Year 1, Week 3

From our anonymous insider…

Each week our class discusses a new patient that parallels the scientific theme(s) from lecture. Most medical schools are pushing away from the conventional medical school format: two years of basic science education followed by two years of clinical rotations in the hospital shadowing residents and attendings. The newer approach is integrating clinical experiences and lectures during the first two years.

This week we reviewed a patient with a metabolic muscle disorder who became addicted to pain medications and heroin. The case paralleled this week’s lecture topics of muscle structure, contraction and metabolism, including the dreaded Krebs cycle. A public health official came in to discuss the country’s opioid epidemic. In 2014 the CDC recorded 28,647 deaths, triple the 2010 number, from opioid overdoses (prescriptions and heroin combined). We learned that “among new heroin users, three out of four report having abused prescription opioids prior to using heroin.” (http://www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/data/heroin.html) Most heroin comes from Mexico: “Researchers believe the border detection rate hovers around 1.5 percent — favorable odds for a smuggler.” (Washington Post). Mexican heroin is unlike the “black tar” Southeast Asian variety of the 1970’s. Mexican heroin is close to pure and frequently laced with potent fentanyl, a synthetic opioid over 100x as powerful as morphine manufactured in cartel labs. (Prince overdosed on fentanyl.) Overdoses rise when fentanyl is in the mix.

Week 3 went by fast because of a few firsts in anatomy. We continued dissection of the gluteal region and the posterior lower leg. I saw a nerve for the first time — it was huge! The sciatic nerve runs through the thigh until it branches into the tibial and fibular nerve at the popliteal fossa (posterior knee joint). The sciatic nerve is about the diameter of a large pen with translucent threads firm to the tough running along its axis. This observation shattered the notion that nerves interact only at the microscopic level. I can imagine how hypertrophy or herniation of nearby muscles could constrict the sciatic nerve causing radiating pain down the leg. Interestingly, the tibial nerve lies superficial, above the arteries/veins, at the back of the knee. You do not want to cut yourself here… One of my teammates for our cadaver cut her hand with a scalpel, the fifth incident in three dissections. She was trying to isolate semitendinosus, a muscle of the hamstrings, with a scalpel and her hand instead of a probe.

Statistics for the week… Study: 8 hours (5 hours devoted to anatomy); Sleep: 6 hours/night; Fun: 4 nights out. Example fun: A fellow classmate (let’s call her “Jane”) and I joined the Hawaiian-shirted locals at the weekly outdoor swing-dance downtown. Dancing to the brass-heavy “beach music” band and wearing a thrift-store Hawaiian shirt, I would have fit in except for being 35 years younger than the average dancer.

The Whole Book: http://tinyurl.com/MedicalSchool2020

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Movie: Hell or High Water

I escaped the kids last night and saw Hell or High Water, which starts out with two brothers in the Texas midlands who (1) are squeezed between a bank and a child support plaintiff, (2) need cash, and (3) have a lot of guns. All four of us (age range 19-60) were impressed by the film, but the retired Wall Streeter wondered “Why couldn’t they get a loan?”

Readers: What did you think?

[How realistic is the child support squeeze under Texas family law? The state caps child support profits, which means that the revenue from a one-night encounter with a high-income Texan is less than the median income of a college graduate. On the other hand, when a low-income or medium-income defendant is sued, the Texas guidelines are not that different from other U.S. states. The state government is aggressive in enforcing court orders against the losers of the state’s winner-take-all custody system (recent example: “Texas to Tie Car Registration Renewal to Child Support”).

How realistic is the reverse mortgage squeeze? nolo.com explains reverse mortgages. It looks as though a reverse mortgage can be undone by paying a big lump sum when the original homeowner dies (source).]

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