The Florida insurance bubble seems to be deflating

Our HOA has cut fees for 2026. Digging into the budget, it looks like one savings is insurance, which has fallen from $55,000 to $40,000 per year. This covers a substantial clubhouse with gym, a pool, and a playground. Holiday lighting has fallen from $6,000 to $4,000 so maybe the “Big Lighting” cartel has been broken up? Xfinity will get more money, $94,000 instead of $89,300. That covers television only for about $725 per house; residents pay for Internet separately.

Despite the apparent improvement in insurance rates, the big multi-state companies, e.g., State Farm and progressive Progressive, still don’t want to write coverage for our neighborhood (about 2.5 miles inland and, therefore, moderately exposed to hurricanes).

How are things back in Massachusetts? In response to the meme “90% of modern real estate is trying to avoid blacks while not admitting you are trying to avoid blacks”, a friend responded “I have never tried to avoid blacks”. He lives south of Boston in a town that Google AI says is less than 0.5% Black. It is about the same distance from Boston as Brockton: “Brockton became the first majority-Black city in New England in 2020, a major demographic milestone.” (Google AI)

Some parts of our exchange:

  • (him) Brockton is a sh*thole
  • (me) So you didn’t avoid Blacks, you just avoided looking at any houses in places where Blacks live. You paid about 3X per square foot to live in [nearly-all-white town], which is 0.5% Black and is inconvenient, rather than in Brockton, which is 50% Black and blessed with many walkable neighborhoods.
  • It is 0.05% African American, not 0.5%. I am just saying I have never once had the thought enter my mind.
  • (me) That makes it even worse. Your racism is so deeply embedded that you aren’t even aware of your racism. You need to camp out at the local public library and read every book on anti-racism.
  • (another friend chimes in) Your decisions prove structural racism because they are proxying racist behavior. It is like claiming that your equestrian community welcomes all races.
  • (the guy who says he hasn’t tried to avoid Blacks) I have never seen a single black person in my town. Not even working as a landscaper. I guess I have as UPS driver.
  • (me) I thought you didn’t see color?

(One thing that I do like about our corner of Florida is that it is common to see Black and white people working together and, sometimes, living in close proximity and with both groups paying market rents (in MA Black people inhabit a parallel society and if they live in a white area it is usually as wards of the taxpayer).)

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Christmas spirit in Palm Beach County

The prospects for a white Christmas and our neighbor’s front yard this morning receiving emergency professional lighting enhancement:

Our mayor’s house:

A few houses in our neighborhood:

Earlier this month, picking up a tree from Home Depot (Alton/Palm Beach Gardens) in the Rolls-Royce:

Sadly, the pre-Christmas shopping rush in Palm Beach Gardens has been marred by a recent arrival from Georgia, Antonio Moore. He murdered Rita Loncharich, aged 65, at the Barnes & Noble. He later admitted that he stabbed the victim in the back without any motive and despite not knowing her. Fox:

Despite the tragedy, let me wish a Merry Christmas to all readers, even those who don’t celebrate.

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Art Miami Miami 2025

You’ve read in this space about Art Basel Miami (officially “Art Basel Miami Beach”), which isn’t in Miami. There’s also Art Miami, which is in Miami and, having started in 1991, predates Art Basel Miami (2002). Art Miami happens in a huge waterfront tent and is connected to CONTEXT Miami, which features less-established artists. Art Basel and Art Miami are connected by the Venetian Causeway and also by an every-10-minutes water taxi service organized by the cities (if a city doesn’t spend all of its tax dollars on migrants, those who choose to refrain from work, and migrants who refrain from work, there is plenty left over for public services!).

My companion and I had a late lunch at Motek Miami Beach and then took the water taxi over:

We quickly learned that it is okay to cover your Ferrari in fur, but don’t leave it unattended!

Art Miami seems to have art by bigger names than Art Basel, with less emphasis on what’s newest. Here’s a Yayoi Kusama to go in your $200 million house:

Any house with kids should have this work by Mr. Brainwash (confusing because almost the same work is attributed to Banksy):

If you’re Christmas shopping for an elderly photographer/engineer, how about this Rolleiflex 35mm camera embedded in Lucite from François Bel?

On the CONTEXT side, a vaguely similar idea (no acrylic, though) from John Peralta ($28,500; unlike at Art Basel most of the pieces at Art Miami and CONTEXT had price tags):

A view from the smoking terrace:

An Israeli gallery showed up with some huge glass works and a few original Yaacov Agams (remarkably, still alive at 97):

Speaking of Israel, here’s a photorealistic work by Yigal Ozeri that would be perfect for the redecoration of Gracie Mansion for incoming Mayor Mamdani. The intifada could easily be globalized if Israeli women loved Ayatollah Mamdani as much as progressive white American women!

Here’s some more work from Israel for Mayor Mamdani, all from Natan Elkanovich (he says that he uses “kitchen and sewing utensils to drizzle and sculpt plastic materials on canvas”):

If you are a peasant with a house worth less than $200 million, Art Miami is probably a better place to shop than Art Basel. If you want to find out what’s exciting to art nerds, Art Basel is perhaps better. But if you’re doing Miami Art Week, both are well worth visiting.

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Art Basel Miami Beach 2025

Here’s my report from this year’s Art Basel. All photos from the iPhone 17 Pro Max.

Because paying $1,000 per night for a basic hotel room is just a rounding error for me… I stayed across the bay at the Marriott Biscayne Bay. This turned out to be a blessing in disguise because it was right next to Art Miami, which I hadn’t heard about and which I’ll cover in a later post, and also because it’s right next to a former Episcopal Church that has converted to Rainbow Flagism, consistent with Santiago de Compostela and End Stage Christianity.

If you don’t want to get stuck in traffic, the Miami Citibike system isn’t a bad way to get around. The bikes don’t seem to be in great shape and they don’t fit a 6′ rider that well, but the terrain isn’t hilly.

In Art Basel Miami Beach (2018) and Art Basel Miami 2021, UBS featured female victimhood and celebrated the handful of women who’d manage to overcome the “imbalance” and “make a difference”. The commitment to social justice seems to have evaporated and now UBS promotes getting richer:

Speaking of rich, the most talked-about installation echoed the UBS theme of rich-meets-art. Busts of Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, and Mark Zuckerberg on robot legs interacted with Andy Warhol, Picasso, and the creator of this work (Mike Winkelmann; a.k.a., “Beeple”). (Given Picasso’s fondness for teenage females, could he have survived today’s moral rectitude?)

Here’s Andy Warhol (the most famous gay person not famous for being gay?):

The Wall Street Journal says that $200 million is the new minimum for a decent house and there were quite a few pieces for sale that would have required a spare thousand square feet or two. Here’s an example from Anne Samat titled “The Unbreakable Love… Family Portrait.” It includes plastic swords, keys, wine corks, etc.

A work by Yinka Shonibare that inspired me to stop complaining for a few minutes:

I looked him up on Wikipedia: “At the age of 18, he contracted transverse myelitis, an inflammation of the spinal cord, which resulted in a long-term physical disability where one side of his body is paralysed.” If someone who is half-paralyzed can make it to Art Basel, what’s wrong with the rest of us?

Feel better about your middle-school dioramas (by Mondongo, a husband-and-wife team in Argentina):

Here’s a technique that I enjoyed, hand cut paper by Ariamna Contino (or maybe by her assistants?):

At the opposite end of the effort spectrum, Erika Rothenberg’s 2018 work America, A Shining Beacon to the World:

Only the Weinstein Gallery (they haven’t changed their name?) was crass enough to put prices on labels. Here’s a modest-sized $3.5 million Leonor Fini work from 1936 (imagine what it would cost to get an original oil painting by an artist that people have actually heard of!):

Some practical advice… pay a little extra for the 11 am entry tickets and go in right at 11 rather than at noon. The venue gets crowded by 1 or 2 pm. A 2:15 pm Friday image:

From 1:22 pm:

You don’t have to spend a lot to bring a souvenir home from the event. For only $5,500, for example, you can get a nice Taschen book of David Hockney pictures (printed in Italy):

Don’t worry about charging for your electric Rolls-Royce:

There are quite a few additional art events in Miami Beach and, covered in a later blog post, across the bay in Miami proper.

Here’s a Mayan pyramid made from Coleman coolers at SCOPE (Victor “Marka27” Quinonez of Mexico):

Finally, you can just walk around South Beach:

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The Brightline experience (low-speed high-speed rail in Florida)

High-speed rail in China stretches for 31,000 miles and, in my personal experience, runs at about 190 mph. High-speed rail in Florida is Brightline and boasts 235 miles of rail at an average speed of 70 miles per hour (about 3.5 hours from Miami to Orlando including stops at Aventura, Fort Lauderdale, Boca Raton, and West Palm Beach. This is about my first Brightline experience, a trip home from Art Basel/Art Miami to Jupiter, Florida by way of West Palm Beach (tragically, some years ago, Jupiter rejected the offer of working with Brightline on a station).

I paid up for Premium, which worked out to $95 one-way for a 1-hour 16-minute trip. At 8:37 pm on a Sunday evening, Google maps says that the same trip would take 1-hour 8-minutes by car (73.3 miles, station to station).

The non-Premium areas of the Miami station are clean and comfortable:

The Premium lounge has unlimited free food (bizarrely, Chinese, which is not something that most people in Miami understand how to cook) and booze:

The Premium seats aren’t especially comfortable and seem overly upright even in the most reclined position:

Maybe because my train left at 8:45 pm or maybe because they don’t serve full meals on the short legs between Miami and West Palm Beach, I was offered drinks and snacks.

Hanukkah and Christmas are the two holidays that are officially celebrated by Brightline in the West Palm Beach station:

It would be insane to pay Brightline prices for a family trip, but it could make sense for one person given the unpredictability of travel by automobile in a country that is absurdly overpopulated. Here’s a Facebook post that I stumbled on just as I was getting off the train at 10 pm (an accident, apparently):

Screenshot

Conclusion: Brightline is one of the things that makes West Palm Beach one of the best places to live in the U.S. The station is walking distance from the part of town that has been spruced up by Stephen Ross. Orlando and Miami are then easily reached with hourly trains.

(Like the Florida East Coast Railway that opened up St. Augustine, Palm Beach, Miami, and Key West to rich New Yorkers, Brightline seems to lose money on its operations and make money on real estate development around its stations. However, unlike with Flagler’s 19th century railroad, Brightline serves places that are already mostly developed. So it is unclear that the real estate good times can make up for epic annual operating bad times.)

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Remembering Roy Black

“Roy Black, Defense Lawyer for William Kennedy Smith and Epstein, Dies at 80” (New York Times, July 24, 2025):

Roy Black, a nationally prominent defense lawyer … died on Monday at his home in Coral Gables, Fla. He was 80. … it was the acquittal he won for Mr. Smith — a 30-year-old nephew of President John F. Kennedy and Senators Robert F. and Edward M. Kennedy — that gave Mr. Black a national profile, in a case that tested the outer limits of power and influence.

Today is the 34th anniversary of the acquittal that Roy Black, a legend among Florida attorneys, secured for William Kennedy Smith.

The New York Times description of how that acquittal happened is completely at odds with a law professor’s account. The NYT says that it was a class struggle, perhaps one that the election of politicians from the Democratic Socialists of America could address:

The trial pitted the word of an accuser — later identified in the news media, including by The New York Times, as Patricia Bowman, whom Mr. Smith had met at a local bar — against the word of a member of one of America’s most powerful families. Mr. Black made full use of the disjunction between accuser and accused, eliciting emotional testimony from Senator Edward Kennedy and from his nephew. … In fact, Mr. Black’s strategy in the key cross-examination of Ms. Bowman’s friend Anne Mercer had been to posit the utter unlikeliness that so presentable a young man as Mr. Smith could be capable of rape.

The law professor, Molly Bishop Shadel, of the University of Virginia, tells a different story in Law School for Everyone, lectures from the Great Courses (available on Audible). The damaging cross-examination of Anne Mercer had nothing to do with William Kennedy Smith being “presentable”. Here are some excerpts from the trial transcript, which the professor somehow got a copy of (I can’t find it with Google). The background is that Ms. Bowman called her friend Anne Mercer and asked her to go to the Kennedy Palm Beach mansion (recently sold for $70 million) and retrieve her shoes.

You say you went to the Kennedy home on the early morning hours of March 30th. Is that correct?

Yes.

Your friend says that she was raped. Is that right?

Yes.

What she tells you is that she wants her shoes? Is that correct?

Yes.

Several times, she was worried about her shoes.

Yes.

So you went into the house. Is that correct?

Yes.

Into the house where the rapist is, Right?

I guess you could say that. Yes.

It’s dark in there?

Yes.

You go through the kitchen, right?

Yes.

Into this little hallway?

Yes.

It’s dark in this hallway, isn’t it?

Right.

You meet up with this man who your friend says is a rapist, isn’t that correct?

I was not afraid of him. No. I was not afraid of him.

No, that’s not my question, Miss Mercer. You understand my question? My question is Did you meet this man who your friend says is the alleged rapist?

Yes.

In this dark hallway. Is that right?

Yes.

And you ask him for help. You ask the rapist to help you find her shoes. Is that correct?

Yes.

And her turns around and he goes with you out of the house, is that right?

Yes.

Through the dining room to begin with, is that correct?

Yes.

It’s dark in that house, right?

Yes.

You’re walking through the dining room with this man. Is that correct?

Yes.

The man who is allegedly a rapist, right?

Yes.

You go out the door of the dining room don’t you to a little patio area?

Patio.

With this man who is the alleged rapist?

That’s right.

You go out past the patio and onto the law, is that right?

Right.

It’s dark out, right?

Right.

With this man who’s the alleged rapist?

Yes.

You go across the lawn with him, is that right?

Yes.

Towards the beach?

Yes.

As you go across the lawn you get to a place where there are hedges and a concrete wall. Isn’t that right?

Yes.

And you’re still with this man who is the alleged rapist is that right?

Yes.

The four women and two men on the jury (this was in 1991 so there weren’t any nonbinary jurors) deliberated for only 77 minutes before acquitting William Kennedy Smith. The story wasn’t quite over, though…

Taking on the William Kennedy Smith case ended with an added unexpected benefit: his marriage to Lisa Lea Haller. Black and Haller, a cosmetics manufacturer who served on the Smith jury, bumped into each other the night after the verdict in Palm Beach. Soon after, they appeared on the Donahue show together, again by coincidence. Then, nine months later, they crossed paths again at Doc Dammer’s in Coral Gables. Not long afterward, they began dating. Black married Haller in 1995, and the two went to work renovating one of Coral Gables’ most lavish homes, the erstwhile residence of the city’s founder, George Merrick.

At the opposite end of the legal spectrum, here’s a recent deposition excerpt:

Q. Where are you located right now physically?
A. At home in Jupiter, Florida.
Q. Is there anyone in the room with you?
A. Yes.
Q. [after attempt to hide discomposure] Who is in the room with you?
A. Mindy the Crippler.
Q. And who is that?
A. She’s a golden retriever.

Related:

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Ask Me About My Pronouns T-shirt not effective

We had a dinner guest from Manhattan the other night. In order to make him feel comfortable and at home here in Florida I wore my “Ask Me About My Pronouns” T-shirt from Target in Watertown, Massachusetts. I neglected to take it off before heading out on a neighborhood golden retriever walk and we happened to meet two relative newcomers to the neighborhood, refugees from Ann Arbor, Michigan. So I had a 20-minute conversation with them while wearing this shirt. During the entire time… they never asked me about my pronouns!

Ask Me About My Pronouns T-shirt
Ask Me About My Pronouns T-shirt from Target

Related… Happy National Pansexual Pride Day to those who celebrate.

Related… let me give a shout-out to Gretchen Whitmer for keeping our neighborhood property values robust. Because she made it illegal for this new neighbor to go into work he was able to keep his high-level job with a Detroit-area company despite having moved to tax-free Florida. Google AI:

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer implemented some of the strictest and longest-lasting lockdown measures in the Midwest through numerous executive orders. These policies generated significant controversy, facing both praise for prioritizing public health and fierce criticism over their scope and economic impact.

Whitmer issued nearly 200 executive orders to contain the virus spread. The primary order was the “Stay Home, Stay Safe” order (EO 2020-21), effective March 24, 2020, which: Required all residents to stay home unless they were part of the “critical infrastructure workforce”; Banned all public and private gatherings of any number of people from different households; Ordered all non-critical businesses to temporarily close in-person operations.

In May 2021, Whitmer faced criticism and apologized after a photo showed her at an East Lansing restaurant with a large group, in violation of her own administration’s standing health orders at the time which required social distancing and limited table sizes.

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Harry Potter Pinball Machine Review (and the Free Play Florida experience)

I attended Free Play Florida in Orlando last month and the machine that everyone loved and wanted to play was the new Jersey Jack Harry Potter design. It has a fascinating and frighteningly intricate flow (I can’t imagine it being successfully maintained in an arcade and there were a few stuck balls). The lighting is much brighter and better than on some previous Jersey Jack designs where it is tough to follow the ball without strong ambient room light. The typical attendee was older, male, and white, but there were some kids and also some women (central Florida and, therefore, the nonbinary weren’t strongly represented):

Speaking of nonbinary, if you can overlook J.K. Rowling’s heresy against Science, i.e., her position that there is a distinction to be made between male and female humans, this would be an awesome home machine. I’ve never read the Harry Potter books and I can’t keep the movies straight, but I loved it!

On the flip side of the Jersey Jack world, they also had the Avatar machine. I thought the movie was dumb and the pinball machine is underwhelming. It ranks #32 in the Pinside Top 100 while Harry Potter is near the top (ratings for the CE version). There was never anyone waiting to play either of the two Avatar machines while there was always at least one person waiting to play one of the three Harry Potter machines. Speaking of waiting, there was no official policy but I never saw anyone play more than one game on a machine for which someone was waiting. It seems that in a society with shared values there is no need for an explicit rule. Everyone was super polite!

The Jersey Jack Godfather was also there. Although it is a great and still-relevant movie (Somalis in Minnesota seem to have been following “A lawyer with his briefcase can steal more than a hundred men with guns”), its underwhelming #70 ranking on the Pinside Top 100 seems justified.

What else happens when old white guys organize a convention? A classic computer area! Here’s an emulator for the PDP 11/70 that I used in 1978 as a Fortran programmer at NASA:

Lots of classic home computers as well:

And a luggable:

I would love to thank the person who built this enormous skee ball machine with 5-gallon buckets for the slots:

The convention featured pinball tournaments as well as a charity drive for Florida-based Project Pinball, which places and maintains machines in children’s hospitals nationwide. There were a moderate number of classic machines, but various commercial arcades have more and better-maintained collections.

The most unusual video game was this Jubeat rhythm game from Japan. You play against others around the world, I think, and log in using a Tokyo Metro card. The gal playing in this photo is an Orlando local who apparently loves Japan so much that she just happened to have a Tokyo Metro card with her. I played it and learned that I have no rhythm.

After the Sunday 4 pm wind-down for the convention, I zipped over to Celebration, a Disney-designed New Urbanism community. It’s only a few years older than our beloved Abacoa, but it seems uglier except for the lake. Here’s on example of the architecture:

As in our neighborhoods, they decorated for Christmas before Thanksgiving:

Some photos of the best that Celebration can look:

In a 15-minute walk, I encountered at least three women covered according to Islamic tradition, so that would make Celebration a better place for finding a Muslim community than Abacoa (I’ve never seen even a hijab, much less a burqa; teenage and adult females in Abacoa may wear short skirts, halter tops, bikinis, and other un-Islamic outfits):

Celebration has a distinctly non-Halal outpost of Tampa’s Columbia Restaurant, founded in 1903. Pork, bacon, and alcohol lurk everywhere on the menu, e.g.,

Finally, Happy Gazpacho Day to those who celebrate!

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Meet at Art Basel in Miami Beach on Friday for lunch? Or breakfast in Miami?

It’s Art Basel time again here in Florida. See Art Basel Miami Beach and Art Basel Miami 2021 for some photos of earlier versions. Who wants to meet at the event on Friday for lunch? Please email philg@mit.edu with a subject line of “Meet at Art Basel” if interested. Alternatively, we can meet near my hotel for breakfast on Friday. Paying $2,000/night to be with all of the fabulous people in the heart of Miami Beach is a mere rounding error for me, which is why I’ll be across the Venetian Causeway next to Trinity Cathedral. I’ll be blasting back north via Brightline in the evening.

A prescient work by Christine Wang from 2021:

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The lazy Floridian’s Halloween and Christmas lighting

Happy Official Beginning of Christmas Season for those who celebrate. (I guess younger Americans think it is okay to decorate for Christmas even before Thanksgiving.)

Gretchen Wilson and lyricist John Rich in “Redneck Woman”:

And I keep my Christmas lights on, on my front porch all year long

It turns out that HOAs aren’t huge fans of this approach. Traditionally people get cheap strings of outdoor-rated lights and put them up themselves or hire professionals to do it for $thousands. The light strings then have to come down after New Year’s. The typical Florida house, however, is built with a lot of exterior light sockets. There are recessed cans underneath loggias, for example, and the typical house has plenty of loggias where people can sit outside in the shade. There will be some sort of front entrance light, perhaps coach-style lights with candelabra bulbs. There may be flood light sockets that can hold PAR38 bulbs.

Why not turn the house itself into the holiday light display? Replace all of the existing bulbs and recessed trims with RGB WiFi, Zigbee, and/or Thread bulbs? This is a report on our 2025 mostly-Govee solution.

We opted for an all-WiFi approach because we wouldn’t have to plug in a bridge, e.g., the one required by Philips Hue. Also, we have reasonably good WiFi coverage even outdoors thanks to TP-Link Omada (still going strong after 3.5 years, though it doesn’t even try to do most of the stuff that Unifi offers to do).

The front of our house has 6 candelabra bulbs that we replaced with Govee ($10/bulb). The 8 recessed cans we filled with Govee trims at $30 each. Govee, unfortunately, doesn’t make anything in PAR38 so we got Feit RGB WiFi bulbs at $15 each. For a table lamp inside we replaced a three-way bulb with a $20 Govee 1200 lumen RGB bulb. We already had some entryway recessed bulbs (BR40 and BR30) on the Philips Wiz system (their ghetto-level WiFi bulbs for people who don’t want to invest in Hue). I installed everything myself after borrowing a neighbor’s ladder for the floods and had it all connected up in less than two hours, including setting on/off schedules for each group of bulbs.

For a little more visual pizazz we indulged in two Govee light strips ($120 each for 100′) that we can hide in the bushes, but will likely have to roll up and store until next fall in order to keep them safe from the landscapers. These required some extra work because their power supplies aren’t waterproof so I purchased waterproof boxes from Home Depot. Finally, I tried to find a use for a 50′ string of Govee “permanent outdoor lights”, intended for under-eave attachment, that I’d previously tried out around a loggia in a failed experiment. These too have a non-weatherproof power supply.

The Govee app has a few built-in holiday schemes and, of course, lights can be infinitely customized by the patient or simply set to a solid color of one’s choice. Loyal readers won’t be surprised to learn how disappointed I was that there is no Pride festival scheme.

The Feit app is more basic and, as far as I can tell, doesn’t have even a Christmas scheme. The Wiz V2 app is perhaps somewhere in the middle in terms of power/complexity. It probably makes the most sense to stick with either all-Govee or, if money is no object, Philips Hue.

How did it work out? The flood lights ended up being a mistake. A bright light of color (not a hateful “colored light”) pointing at the viewer’s face isn’t useful. We got plunged into a world of tech support hell with the WiFi Govee lights after an Omada outdoor access point failed and we let the TP-Link tech support folks in to change a bunch of roaming settings. The Govee lights don’t work well if the WiFi network is trying to be clever about supporting roaming and optimizing the access point selection for each device. Probably it is smarter to user Matter over Thread or Zigbee (Philips Hue) and thus have just one hub that is a WiFi client. Many of the Govee devices are compatible with Thread, though not fully controllable using their app via Thread.

Our neighbor’s awesome house, mostly done with inexpensive non-WiFi stick-in-the-ground 12V lights (handheld RGB control):

Our house, using primarily the sockets it was built with (we can’t take credit for the lion statues; they were installed by a previous owner!):

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