Isn’t anyone ashamed of having wimpy enemies?

The head of Malaysia complained that the world’s handful of Jews (estimated population 13 million) were keeping 1.3 billion Muslims worldwide in a state of ignorance, poverty, and illiteracy.  Leaders from Islamic states around the world gave him a standing ovation.  Most news coverage of the event have focussed on the Jew-hatred angle, which is hardly new.  What to me is remarkable is that these guys aren’t ashamed at having such wimpy enemies.  Muslims are at least 100 times more numerous than the world’s Jews and, thanks to some of the world’s highest growth rates, destined to be 200 times more numerous rather soon.  Muslims control vast territories underneath which are half of the world’s petroleum reserves.  By contrast the Jews have a resource-poor little territory the size of New Jersey.


Do we live in an age of wimpy enemies?  In place of Ronald Reagan’s terrifying Soviet Union, George W. has a huge military bristling with modern weapons to wield against… Osama and Saddam.

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Reflections from the land of defragging

Today’s New York Times carries a story called “Seductive Electronic Gadgets Are Soon Forgotten” about how people generally are defeated by the complex user interface of the widgets that they purchase.  I spent about 15 hours over the weekend checking, repairing, and defragmenting the hard drives on desktop and laptop PCs (both about 1.5 years old and apparently overdue for some treatment).  What if there is a fixed percentage of human life that people are willing to devote to reading owner’s manuals, learning new interfaces, and remembering which button does what?  If true, that places a limit on the growth of the electronics industry.  Until there are natural speech interfaces to gadgets (“hey, this DVD is in 16:9 mode; compress the image please” to the TV; “turn on all the lights” to the house), how can people buy more?


A good example of this is navigation systems for cars.  You’d think that everyone would want a moving-map GPS in his or her car.  Certainly it would be nice to say “I’m going to Joel’s house” and have the navigation system pull his address from a cell phone or PDA and then provide voice and map guidance.  What if, however, it is a 10-minute trip and you’re pretty sure you know how to get there and you don’t have that natural speech interface?  Are you willing to spend 2 minutes programming today’s clumsy GPS units with Joel’s address?  Will you accept a 20% increase in your travel time to avoid the risk of getting lost?


Are we ready for another boom in Artificial Intelligence research, this time funded by car and gizmo companies?

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Housing on both coasts

Today’s New York Times carries a couple of stories about housing, illustrating the contrast between the Coasts.



Story 1:  a four-bedroom apartment in Manhattan now averages $5.7 million


Story 2:  for a paltry $3 million you can build an all-steel germ-free 11,000 square foot mansion in Simi Valley, California, right next to the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library


Should you need to travel back and forth between these residences, another story on the booming luxury goods market talks about the private jets for sale in this year’s Neiman Marcus Christmas catalog.


[Apparently none of these home buyers read the August 11 blog entry here on Chinese-built prefab houses, to be sold at Walmart.]

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Stay alive on the job by sitting at a desk

In this CNN report of America’s most dangerous jobs it seems that computer programmer and other desk jobs don’t carry too much risk of death, even if you’re a hip modern coder practicing “Extreme Programming”.  Flying an aircraft is the third most dangerous job with 70 annual deaths per 100,000 workers.  This is a sobering statistic when one reflects on the huge number of pilots who fly jets for airlines, a remarkably safe endeavor.  Imagine how dangerous the non-airline flying jobs must be to result in such a terrible average.  Indeed the spokesman for the National Institute for Occupational Health and Safety (NIOSH) notes that “Alaskan pilots have a one in eight chance of dying during a 30-year career.”


Those crazy drivers who deliver Domino’s pizza?  They hold the 5th most dangerous job in America, dying in accidents at an annual rate of 38 per 100,000.

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Patent System Applied to Computers

Just finished Who Invented the Computer, a recent book by Alice Rowe Burks.  For those of us who assumed that the modern digital computer, having been primarily funded by the U.S. and British governments, was a public domain idea, there are some eye-opening facts.  Here’s the chronology:



1939-42:  John V. Atanasoff, a physicist at Iowa State College, works with Clifford Berry, a master’s student, to build a digital vacuum tube computer (Atanasoff-Berry Computer or “ABC”).  The project has only paltry funding and is abandoned due to a problem with the punch card input/output system.  Atanasoff and Berry wander off to tackle projects related to America’s war with Germany, Italy, and Japan.


1941:  John Mauchly, who has been working on weather calculations using analog computers, drives out to Iowa to visit Atanasoff and gets a good look at how digital circuits can be built from analog components.  He reads Atanasoff’s big design document and goes home after five days of continuous meetings with Atanasoff and Berry.


1943:  vacuum tube Colossus code-breaking computer starts operating at Bletchley Park in England, workplace of Alan Turing, the father of Computer Science


1945:  Eckert and Mauchly’s ENIAC is operational, using many of Atanasoff’s ideas without credit


1947:  Eckert and Mauchly apply for a patent on fundamental ideas in electronic computing (“ENIAC patent”)


1964: ENIAC patent is issued by the U.S. Patent Office, running through 1981.


1965: Sperry Rand, the owner of the Ecker-Mauchly patents, demands approximately $1 billion in royalties from other computer vendors.  IBM is exempt from these demands due to an earlier cross-licensing agreement with Sperry.


1971: Honeywell sues Sperry, asking the Federal court to invalidate Sperry’s patents on the grounds of Atanasoff’s prior art and the more than one year of delay between the customer deliveries of ENIAC and its patent application.


1973:  Judge Earl R. Larson rules that the ENIAC was derived from Atanasoff’s innovations, that Sperry’s patents are unenforceable, and that IBM has been violating the Sherman Antitrust Act (i.e., that IBM is a monopoly).  Honeywell’s legal costs are estimated to be $3.5 million or roughly 700 times the cost of building the ABC computer.


The story has a number of interesting lessons.  First it shows the terrible consequences of being a bit too early.  Nobody was interested in Atanasoff’s project in the late 1930s and it did not seem worth funding to the point that minor obstacles such as the punchcard reader problem could be overcome.  If Atanasoff had only been a few years later he might have played a major role in massive federally funded projects.


A second lesson from the story is that there isn’t all that much true innovation in the engineering world.  People working independently at disparate sites often came up with similar solutions (except for Mauchly, of course, who had the opportunity to stand directly on the shoulders of Atanasoff).  Only one team, however, can get a patent and it turned out that this one was mired at the Patent Office for about 20 years following the design of the ENIAC.


Imagine how different the world would be if Sperry had been able to control, through licensing, whether or not the first microprocessors could be built (note: 1968-70 the Air Force funded a fairly powerful 20-bit microprocessor project for the F14A fighter jet, which worked but was kept secret; Intel introduced the 4004 4-bit microprocessor in 1971 for use in desk calculators).


The last half of the book is devoted to an academic bitchfest in which Burks talks about all of the hacks who don’t credit Atanasoff.  It is interesting mostly for its discussion of exhibits at the Smithsonian and PBS documentaries.  Sperry funded these projects and the non-profits obligingly ignored or downplayed Atanasoff’s contributions in favor of Eckert and Mauchly.  The only publication that couldn’t be bought and wouldn’t be intimidated by threats of legal action was … Car and Driver magazine.  Atanasoff was a hero to Car and Driver writer Patrick Bedard because he testified that a late night high-speed drive in 1937 in a V8 Ford and a few drinks in a roadhouse in Illinois had inspired a couple of the critical designs in the ABC.  Bedard speculated “Atanasoff didn’t get nearly the credit due him because the [court] decision was issued just one day before the Watergrate-inspired ‘Saturday Night Massacre’ and it lacked the combination of inconsequentiality and putrescence necessary to compete for media attention.”

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About Schmidt–the book and movie

Just finished Louis Begley’s About Schmidt, the 1996 novel that was made into a 2002 film.  The differences between the book and the movie are remarkable.  The book is set in the Hamptons and New York.  The protagonist, Schmidt, is a 60-year-old WASP lawyer who retires from his law firm partnership when his wife becomes terminally ill.  The wife is from an old rich WASP family and works as a literary fiction editor.  Schmidt’s daughter, a Harvard-educated yuppie who does PR for a tobacco company, is planning to marry a junior partner at Schmidt’s old firm.  This horrifies Schmidt partly because his future son-in-law doesn’t read books or appreciate culture but mostly because the young lawyer is Jewish.  Much of the book centers on Schmidt’s horror at a formerly genteel world of New York law firms and Long Island beaches, now despoiled by an influx of Jews.  The last half of the book is devoted to a romance between Schmidt and a 20-year-old half-Puerto Rican waitress, complete with a Hollywood happy ending.


The screenplay transplants the action to Omaha, Nebraska.  Schmidt and his wife are middle class salt-of-the-earth types.  There are no Jews in evidence.  The daughter is living 1000 miles away and her future husband is objectionable to Schmidt because he’s a “nincompoop” and his family, rather than being successful happily married Jewish psychiatrists, consists of divorced white trash-y New Age-y folks.  The movie Schmidt, played by Jack Nicholson, is unrelievedly sad and pathetic.  There are no romances with young women for movie Schmidt (no romances with any women, actually).


So how often does Hollywood (well, actually my cousin Harry) make a movie that is substantially darker than an already fairly dark novel? 

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Why we watch the Red Sox

Male Bostonians are glued to their TVs these days thanks to a series of baseball games between our Red Sox and the New York Yankees.  This reminded me of a section from The Importance of Being Lazy, a book by Al Gini that was on my summer reading list:



Mariah Burton Nelson, athlete and author, has written a brilliant and blistering book on sexism and the culture of sports titled The Stronger Women Get, the More Men Love Football.  Nelson believes that the more power women have acquired–athletically, economically, and politically–the more threatened men feel, and the more they cling to football and other manly sports…  Men may have to deal with assertive wives and daughters and take a back seat to a female boss, but football remains the last bastion of mythical male domination.


Gini proceeds to trace the fantastic growth in attendance, player salaries, and the general budgets for macho gruntfests from the 1960s, when feminism took hold, and the present.  He also notes that attempts to hook females into becoming massive consumers of professional sports have been failures.  It is the guys who like sports and they especially like the ones where women aren’t competitive.


So do we believe this?  It seems plausible.  Horse racing, for example, which has no feminism-backlash angle, doesn’t seem to be substantially more popular than it was prior to World War II.


[People often seem curious to know my personal preferences in these areas.  In this case it seems that I must be gay because instead of watching the Red Sox (I attend one game every 10 years and never watch on TV) I watched the last season of Absolutely Fabulous on DVD (from netflix.com).  It is funny that we value movies more highly as culture than TV shows.  All of my friends surveyed agreed that they’d much rather own AbFab on DVD and watch episodes repeatedly than own Lawrence of Arabia or Citizen Kane.]

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The preferred vehicle of rapists and lawyers…

An Associated Press story today describes accused rapist Kobe Bryant “[arriving at the courthouse] with his lawyers amid tight security in a caravan of three SUVs”.


A little Google News searching for SUVs brought up this summary of California news from October 7



A 6-year-old boy was shot in the head as he sat with his parents and brothers in an SUV…


A man was arrested and charged with attempted homicide after he allegedly ran over another man twice with a sport utility vehicle following a raucous house party in Palo Alto.


In Florida SUV owners are hitting bicyclists (story) and also in Minnesota (story).


On Long Island SUV drivers are killing and robbing people (story).

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The Party is Over for Books on the Web

Two publishers have approached us wanting to do a hardcopy version of http://philip.greenspun.com/internet-application-workbook/ (the textbook for 6.171 at MIT).  Both have lost interest when we said that we wanted to keep the text online.  To a traditional publisher the Web is a place for stuff that isn’t quite good enough to sell.  If the manuscript ever does become good enough to sell it should be made inaccessible to anyone who isn’t able to scratch up the $40.  An amusing side note is that one of the publishers who felt that it was critical to make every last dime possible from the sale of our book was Microsoft Press, whose working capital is $40 billion.


This dovetails slightly with http://www.publiclibraryofscience.org/, a quixotic effort to fight every academic journal publisher and all professional societies.  (In my own little field, for example, ACM and IEEE do their best to deny access to computer science research results to anyone who is not working at a university, a member of their orgs, or willing to pay $$$.  I.e., if you’re a kid in Africa wanting to learn something about computer science you’re not going to do it by looking at these folks’ journals on the Web.)


Economic growth comes from scientific and technical innovation.  Scientific and technical innovation depends to a large extent on innovators having access to each others’ published results.  It is thus a shame that the only way that an author can get money or tenure is by turning over his or her work to an organization whose primary goal is artificially restricting access to that work.

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Bizarre Helicopter Crash Story

Authorities have spent two days searching for a crashed helicopter Columbia, Missouri based on a 911 call.  Here are some details from a TV station’s story:



He told the dispatcher his name was Larry Bishop and they were flying from North Carolina to Kansas City.

He also said there were six others on board and the pilot was dead.

Towards the end of the conversation Larry repeatedly said he could not feel his feet. Just before the phone line went dead, he was calling out a female’s name.


This is a very strange incident.  From RDU to Kansas City is nearly 800 nautical miles, well beyond the range of any helicopter ever manufactured.  You’d probably have to make two refueling stops to make it from North Carolina to Kansas City, an all-day ordeal at the sluggish cruising speeds of even the most expensive helicopters (pushing into a typical west-to-east headwing slowing the machine down even further).  Anyone rich enough to charter a helicopter would be rich enough to charter a jet or turboprop instead and fly non-stop in a tiny fraction of the time.


A helicopter that can carry 7 people is at least a $2 million machine that requires a substantial support crew.  One of them would very likely have noticed the pilots’ failure to report arriving in Kansas City.


Anyone who can afford to charter a $2 million, $1000/hour helicopter ought to be someone with, if not a lot of friends, at least a lot of dependants.  You’d think one of them would have noticed his boss’s disappearance.


If this story proves to be true it will be almost as amazing as the U.S. Navy’s failure to notice the sinking of the 1,100-person cruiser Indianapolis during World War II (see the book In Harm’s Way).


[Update:  Manila seems to be failing to post the comments that have been placed on this article.  The most interesting is a link to the audio recording of the 911 call:  http://www.thekansascitychannel.com/news/2538847/detail.html]

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