Donald Trump proves the “white male privilege” theory?

With women already serving as CEOs of some of our nation’s largest corporations, e.g., IBM and HP, and soon to be serving as CEO of the federal government, one might argue that the era of white male privilege is behind us. But on the other hand, Donald Trump seems to be getting a lot of press. Aside from the fact that he is a white guy, why would Americans care to hear about what he is doing/saying?

Trump is pretty rich, of course, but he would probably have been richer if he had taken the money he got from his successful dad and parked it in an S&P 500 index fund (analysis). And he has used the U.S. bankruptcy court system to skip out on paying back creditors four times (Forbes). We scold the Greeks for not paying their debts but we celebrate Trump despite his abuse of bondholders. We look for business tips from a guy who could have been richer by staying home, smoking dope, watching TV, and playing Xbox. Does Trump’s success prove the wisdom of the movie Being There?

Louise (the former housekeeper, watching Chance on television): It’s for sure a white man’s world in America. Look here: I raised that boy since he was the size of a piss-ant. And I’ll say right now, he never learned to read and write. No, sir. Had no brains at all. Was stuffed with rice pudding between th’ ears. Shortchanged by the Lord, and dumb as a jackass. Look at him now! Yes, sir, all you’ve gotta be is white in America, to get whatever you want. Gobbledy-gook!

Guide to estimating the fraud factor in whatever you hear about Trump:

[Separately, maybe Trump’s four bankruptcies support the idea that Greece shouldn’t keep begging for bailouts from the IMF and Europe. Stiff the fools who lent the cash, but keep the fun stuff that the cash paid for!]

Finally, could it be that Americans love watching Trump parade on TV because they say “That’s exactly what I would do if I had a rich dad”?

 

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Miscellaneous Aviation News

The latest AOPA Pilot magazine arrived today. Some interesting stuff…

The Icon A5 seaplane gets a good review as a flying machine. I want serial number 500!

An Atlanta-based doctor explains why he likes to fly a little airplane to Haiti and treat patients:

There are no insurance companies or hospital administrators to deal with, no reports to write, and no forms to fill out. There are only patients in need of care, and the focus is on healing. “This is what drew me to medicine in the first place,” Rizor said. “At home, it’s easy to forget that.”

Bell Helicopter is laying off 1,100 employees, “more than 15 percent of the workforce.” This announcement comes shortly after United Technologies said that they wanted to unload Sikorsky. Bell and Sikorsky got fat off U.S. military contracts while Airbus Helicopters, formerly “Eurocopter”, invested in new designs and is now the worldwide market leader (with a big recent push into China). If you want to stay competitive in the global economy, it is important to remember that the French and Germans do more than simply shovel cash into the Greek furnace!

Unlike Obamacare, where state and federal governments run web sites that have a monopoly on customers in particular states (at a cost of $2 billion/year?), the FAA has for decades had a system in which at least two private companies could interface to their computer systems and offer weather briefings and flight plan filing to pilots. The FAA would pay each company according to how many weather briefings it delivered because each one saved the Feds from answering a phone call. The contracts came up for renewal recently. When the dust settled, the FAA pulled the interface from the smallest company, Data Transformation Corporation, left the interface in place with the 70,000-employee Computer Sciences Corporation, and added an interface for Lockheed Martin, the 112,000-employee government contractor (Lockheed Martin previously won a contract to become the monopoly provider of telephone weather briefings, taking over work that had been done by civil servants). Lesson: Go Big or Go Home if you’re working with the federal government!

As is typical, a portion of the magazine is devoted to the “Charlie-Foxtrot” of getting planes converted to comply with ADS-B. The glorious plan is to have everyone in the system in 2020, almost exactly 25 years after it would have been technically feasible (GPS became “fully operational” in 1995). Personally I think the most exciting product in this area is the Lynx NGT-9000 transponder, about $10,000 installed. It has a little screen to show nearby traffic and weather, pulled from the ADS-B In feed. If this can fit in the same panel space as the standard Garmin transponders in older Cirrus aircraft then it seems as though it would be the best way to move into the 2020s.

Note: Oshkosh starts on Monday and that’s traditionally when a flood of product announcements occurs.

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Potentially interesting: Halle Berry child support trial

“Halle Berry faces ex-boyfriend Gabriel Aubry in secret trial over child support” is a potentially interesting family law case. The Toronto Sun notes:

In the filing, her lawyer stated, “There is no case, no law, no logic that says a healthy, active man gets to simply live off child support that the wealthier mother earns.”

The child currently yields $192,000 per year in tax-free profits for the father (nearly all of the child’s actual expenses are paid for directly by the mother), which would be $3.46 million over 18 years.

There are a few questions raised by this event:

  • When this much cash is at stake, why is the trial secret? Shouldn’t young people have an opportunity to learn about this part of the law and how it works? (“When young people ask me about the law as a career,” said one litigator, “I tell them that in this country whom they choose to have sex with and where they have sex will have a bigger effect on their income than whether they attend college and what they choose as a career.” — Introduction chapter)
  • Is being a man a bar to working as a child support profiteer? Lawyers we interviewed for the California chapter didn’t think that a woman would have any trouble collecting $192,000 per year after a one-night encounter with a high-income man. It was easy to find courthouse records in Massachusetts for similar outcomes where a “healthy, active woman” was collecting roughly the same amount (an Ivy League grad got about $144,000/year plus free housing and all child-related expenses paid)
  • If the judge rules that the male child support profiteer can’t collect $3+ million tax-free, and it holds up through the inevitable appeal, will female child support profiteers in California be at risk?
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What other currencies besides Bitcoin have experienced inverse debasement? (“basement”?)

I’m reading Digital Gold: Bitcoin and the Inside Story of the Misfits and Millionaires Trying to Reinvent Money and one thing that is striking is the rise in the value of the currency. Just five years ago, a guy paid 10,000 Bitcoin for a pizza delivery. That’s nearly $3 million at current rates.

The typical non-gold-backed currency moves in the opposite direction. The BLS says that a $1 item in 1913, for example, would cost $24 today due to what a politician would call “healthy inflation” or “currency debasement” depending on whether his or her party happened to be in power.

What are other examples of currencies that have done something similar to Bitcoin?

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Change the way that we do military recruiting?

The Chattanooga shooting leads me to wonder if it would make sense to change the way that we do military recruiting. Most U.S. government installations these days are fortress-like due to a fear that U.S. citizens (or recently welcomed immigrants) will walk in and start killing federal workers. Since the purpose of the center is to meet with the public, there is no way to make a military recruitment center as secure as a military base (surrounded by fences, open grass, and accessible only through one or two gates). For a U.S. citizen, such as Mohammad Youssef Abdulazeez, the easiest soldiers to find and kill will be the ones who work in a recruiting center.

Why not then use civilian contractors to handle recruiting? Bring in veterans to speak from time to time about what it was like in the military (let’s assume that a veteran is not as attractive target to guys like Mohammad Youssef Abdulazeez). Bring in veterans who are collecting disability benefits so that potential recruits can see what 45 percent of outcomes are like (Boston Globe).

What is the evidence that a private company couldn’t do as well or better at recruiting compared to using active-duty military personnel?

Related:

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Could Greece design a government based around the taxes that it is able to collect?

One of the most common scolds directed at the insolvent Greeks is that their government should become better at collecting taxes. I wonder if that is likely to be any more effective than shouting at an out-of-shape 50-year-old to “get better at running a marathon.”

Heritage Foundation says that currently Greece collects 34 percent of GDP as tax revenue (compare to 44 percent for Sweden, which we can assume is close to the maximum achievable). Why not assume that is as much as can be collected and design a government around that? Singapore shows that it is possible to run an excellent government with 14.4 percent of GDP.

The Greeks supposedly are accustomed to evading taxes? The country could rely primarily on a VAT, which is difficult to dodge (hence its popularity in Europe). Greece could lower its corporate tax rate from 26 percent (much lower than the U.S. (about 40 percent including state taxes)) to 10 percent (compare to 12.5 percent in Ireland), thus encouraging companies to locate in Greece. Greece could just get rid of the taxes that people cheat on, such as personal income tax, and replace them with payroll taxes and property taxes.

Once the government figures out how much it can get residents to hand over reliably, the government can then size itself accordingly (presumably stiffing the Europeans who were dumb enough to extend hundreds of billions of dollars in credit).

In other words, instead of starting from “We need to run all of these programs and spend all of this money,” why not start from “Given that anyone money and people can quickly emigrate to elsewhere in the EU, how much money can we sustainably collect in taxes?”

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New Horizons Pluto Mission for Camera Nerds: Ralph

“Ralph: A Visible/Infrared Imager for the New Horizons Pluto/Kuiper Belt Mission” is a paper describing the camera that has been feeding us pictures of Pluto.

How does it compare to a Canon, Nikon, or Sony? The thing weighs 10.5 kg and consumes 7 watts of power. A Nikon D810 weighs about 2 kg with a pro lens and has a 2 amp-hour battery at 7 volts. The Nikon battery lasts for about two hours of heavy use so the power consumption is roughly comparable.

Ralph looks through a 658mm lens at a fixed aperture of f/8.7. Nikon makes a nice 600mm f/4.0, but most people wouldn’t use it for everyday snaphots.

The Nikon D810 can take a 7000 x 5000 pixel image in an instant using a CMOS sensor (go Sony!). Ralph captures 5024 x 32 pixels at a time using a CCD sensor, purchased from E2v, an English company. What if you don’t want a little ribbon photo? The spacecraft sweeps through a range of attitudes (spinning, basically) until a picture with a more normal aspect ratio is obtained.

Wikipedia says that the whole mission is supposed to cost about $700 million, about 50,000X the cost of a Nikon D810 and 600/4.

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Parallel politics in U.S. and Zimbabwe: Marriage to leader is first step to becoming the leader

According to The Week (UK) Some things that Grace Mugabe and Hillary Clinton have in common:

Related:

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Book wrap-up: Look Who’s Back

I have finished Look Who’s Back, a book in which Hitler wakes up in 2011 (previous post). It is a slight work, but provokes some reflections on the extent to which the worlds of politics and the media have changed.

Hitler is stunned by what has turned out to be popular on television:

So this was a modern-day television set. It was black, with no switches or knobs, nothing. Holding the box in my left hand I pressed button number one, and the apparatus started up. The result was disappointing. The picture was of a chef, finely chopping vegetables. Unbelievable! Having developed such an advanced piece of technology, all they could feature on it was a cook! Admittedly, the Olympic Games could not take place every year, nor at every hour of the day, but surely something of greater import must be happening somewhere in Germany, or even in the world! Providence had presented the German Volk with this wonderful, magnificent opportunity for propaganda, and it was being squandered on the production of leek rings.

He struggles with a party at the TV production company:

What I find disagreeable about these informal yet important gatherings is that one cannot simply retire when one would like, unless one is waging war at the same time. If one is busy executing the Manstein Plan in northern France, or if one is launching a surprise attack to occupy Norway, then everybody is full of understanding, quite naturally. As they are if one retires to one’s study after the toast to look over U-boat designs or help develop high-speed bombers crucial to our final victory. In peacetime, however, one just stands around wasting one’s time drinking fruit pulp.

He is surprised at the comparatively easy life of a 21st century politician:

I have even read that a German war minister was recently photographed with a wench in a swimming pool. While his troops were in the field, or at least preparing for deployment. Had I been in charge, this would have been the gentleman’s last day in office. I wouldn’t have bothered with a letter of resignation—you lay a pistol on his desk, a bullet in the chamber, you leave the room, and if the blackguard has an ounce of decency he knows what he has to do. And if not, the following morning the bullet’s in his brain, and he’s facedown in the pool. Then everyone else in the ministry knows what to expect if you stab your troops in the back while wearing swimming trunks.

…. as well as the changed circumstances of the jobless:

The thought did occur to me that the German Volk might have shrunk, with the result that all these extra people simply didn’t exist. The statistics, however, showed that there were 81 million living Germans. I expect you are wondering why I had not considered the possibility of unemployment. The reason being that my mind had a very different recollection of what unemployed men looked like. The jobless man I remembered from the past went out onto the street with a placard around his neck that read “Looking for any type of work.” When he’d had enough of drifting fruitlessly around in this manner, he would remove the placard, grab a red flag handed to him by a loitering Bolshevist, and return to the street. An army of millions of angry jobless men was fertile ground for any radical party, and I was fortunate enough to have led the most radical of them all. But in the streets of today I could not see any unemployed men. Nor was there any evidence to substantiate the hypothesis that they had been rounded up for some labor service or sent to a camp. Instead, as I later discovered, the country had chosen the capricious solution of a certain Herr Hartz. At Volkswagen, this gentleman had established that one does not earn the favor of the workers only through higher wages and the like, but also by supplying their representatives with financial inducements and Brazilian lovers. Then, as an adviser to the government, Herr Hartz had extended this formula to the workers themselves, albeit with lesser enticements, of course. Rather than running to the millions, the sums were considerably more modest, and rather than real Brazilians, the workers had to make do with pictures of Hungarian or Romanian ladies of pleasure on the Internetwork, which presupposed that every jobless man was in possession of one or more computer. In this way, Herr Rossmann and Herr Müller were able to go on filling their pockets in their staff-less and razorblade-less trade without having to fear that the unemployed might smash their shop windows. The whole scheme was paid for out of the taxes of the small man from the munitions factory. And for the experienced National Socialist, everything pointed to a conspiracy of capital, of Jewish finance.

Hitler is gratified to find that German opinion regarding the Jews seems to have changed little:

“There’s just one thing I want to get straight,” Frau Bellini [TV producer, shortly before Hitler goes on the air] said, suddenly looking at me very seriously. “What is that?” “We’re all agreed that the Jews are no laughing matter.” “You are absolutely right,” I concurred, almost relieved. At last here was someone who knew what she was talking about.

Only one thing was gratifying: German Jewry remained decimated, even after sixty years. Around 100,000 Jews were left, a fifth of the 1933 figure—public regret over this fact was moderate, which seemed to me perfectly logical but not entirely predictable. In view of the uproar that accompanies the disappearance of German woodland, one might have imagined a sort of Semitic “reforestation” to be possible, too.

The book does raise some interesting questions. What kind of appeal would the real Adolf Hitler have today? In terms of telling people what they want to hear, it would seem that he is behind Hugo Chavez and other modern success stories, though if you look at the 1920 Nazi Party 25-point program, there are many parallels with what American politicians are promising. The middle class will be expanded; wealth will be redistributed, e.g., through expropriation of landholdings, confiscation of profits, and nationalization of trusts. The rich won’t be able to sit back and collect dividends and interest due to the “abolition of unearned incomes.” Immigration will be reformed. [The program also demands a return to the German common law that is the basis of English and American law, rather than the civil law that Germany had adopted (see this chapter for how those two systems differ when it comes to divorce, custody, and child support).] Like many politicians around the country, Hitler promised enhanced pension benefits (“an expansion on a large scale of old age welfare”).

What do readers think? After recasting it into modern language, how much of Hitler’s 1920 program could be sold to American voters right now?

[Shortly after this posting went live, Hillary Clinton announced a plan to encourage corporate profit-sharing (TIME), thus aligning with Hitler’s “We demand a division of profits of all heavy industries.”]

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What can we do with all of our new knowledge about Pluto?

As an individual I’m excited that we have so much new information about Pluto from New Horizons. As an engineer, though, I’m wondering what we can do with it.

A Google Pluto or Google Maps-Pluto program that lets us fly around and explore the topography seems like an obvious first step. What happens after that, though? Does knowing about Pluto help us look for and understand exoplanets? Something else?

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