Why wasn’t the government running Silk Road?

The Silk Road web site resulted in a life-without-parole sentence for its developer.

Here are questions for readers:

  1. would the operator of a site such as Silk Road have an edge in finding out the identities, locations, addresses, etc. of people buying and selling illegal drugs?
  2. if the answer to 1 is “yes,” why wasn’t something like Silk Road set up by the FBI and DEA, run for a few years, and then the database used to round up people who’d been breaking the law?

 

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All-Asian bad; half-Asian good

“Harvard’s Chinese Exclusion Act” is a Wall Street Journal article about how Harvard discriminates against Asian applicants. Here are a few excerpts:

How much harder is it for an Asian-American applicant? Mr. Zhao and the complaint cite 2009 research by Princeton sociologist Thomas Espenshade that found an Asian-American student must earn an SAT score 140 points higher than a white student, 270 points higher than a Hispanic and 450 points higher than an African-American, all else being equal.

“Our children have to study much harder,” Mr. Zhao said late last month at a news conference. For young Asian-Americans, the perception that they must strive more than others only intensifies the competition for college admission. Then come the complaints from colleges that Asian-Americans focus too much on academics, and the cycle goes on.

But being half-Asian might be an advantage. Last fall I toured a prestigious liberal arts college campus with two friends (very comfortably retired from the financial services industry; dad is white and mom is Chinese-American) and their son. A student assured the boy that “there are a lot of special programs here for science students of color.” He checked “mixed race” on the application and was not only admitted, but was invited to an all-expense-paid summer program for “mixed race students.”

Is “never put down ‘full Asian'” a variation of the Tropic Thunder principle?

Kirk Lazarus: Everybody knows you never go full retard.
Tugg Speedman: What do you mean?
Kirk Lazarus: Check it out. Dustin Hoffman, ‘Rain Man,’ look retarded, act retarded, not retarded. Counted toothpicks, cheated cards. Autistic, sho’. Not retarded. You know Tom Hanks, ‘Forrest Gump.’ Slow, yes. Retarded, maybe. Braces on his legs. But he charmed the pants off Nixon and won a ping-pong competition. That ain’t retarded. Peter Sellers, “Being There.” Infantile, yes. Retarded, no. You went full retard, man. Never go full retard. You don’t buy that? Ask Sean Penn, 2001, “I Am Sam.” Remember? Went full retard, went home empty handed…

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Could a first lady (or gentleman) have a job?

Now that we know that being President is good for a family’s bottom line after leaving the White House (see previous posting citing the Clintons’ income), I’m wondering if there is anything that stops the family from earning money while still in the White House. Unless you’re listening to an argument to win alimony in Family Court, two-career partnerships are now conventional in the U.S. Why would the Obamas wait until 2016 to start cashing in on their political success? Why couldn’t, for example, Michelle Obama get paid by Apple to promote the company’s watch and fitness apps? If Hillary Clinton were elected, given Bill’s experience with foreign policy, why couldn’t Bill Clinton get a $20 million/year consulting job from Vladimir Putin?

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Sony a7R II

I tested out the Sony a7R mirrorless full-frame camera about 1.5 years ago. It was a disappointment due to the feeble autofocus (posting 1; posting 2).

Sony has revised the camera, this time with a hybrid sensor that should enable competitive autofocus. The marketing geniuses have come up with a new name: Sony a7R II. See the Adorama page for details, the most notable of which are the improved autofocus, an in-camera image stabilization system, and the ability to capture 4K video.

Separately, Sony has also updated the world’s best point-and-shoot camera, the RX100. This new model has the exciting name of RX100 IV. This also can capture 4K video. Maybe somebody can educate me on this subject, but what is the point of awesome video capture if there is no external mic input?

Separately, Leica has decide to introduce a camera that is not completely laughable: the $4250 full-frame Leica Q, which has a fixed 28/1.7 lens. I admit to being in love with the simple user interface for setting aperture and shutter speed, a throwback to cameras from 20-30 years ago (no “mode dial”).

What do readers think? Who is tempted to buy a Leica finally?

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Book review: Aquarium by David Vann

I recently finished Aquarium, a novel by David Vann that has gotten good reviews. *** spoiler alert ***

The book has a realistic style but is set in an alternative version of the U.S. in which there is no welfare system. Thus when a teenage girl’s mother gets sick and the father abandons the family there is no Medicaid to provide a nurse for the dying mother; the teenage girl has to function as the nurse for several years and then, since there is also no financial aid for low-income college students, cannot go to college after the mother dies. (Nor in this alternative version of the world are there any of the community organizations that existing prior to the Welfare State, or even just neighbors helping neighbors. If the father leaves and mom is sick the entire burden falls on the 14-year-old girl.)

The book takes place about twenty years later. The teenage girl has grown up to become a single mother. As there is no welfare system in this version of the U.S. she doesn’t receive any assistance from the government nor does she get any child support from the father of her own daughter. (The book is set in Seattle, which, as explained in the relevant chapter of Real World Divorce, is a bad place for an adult hoping to live off a child; practical maximum child support revenue is about $20,000 per year per child.)

Life is not comfortable:

My mother drove an old Thunderbird. Apparently she had imagined a freer life before I came along. The front hood was half the length of the car. An enormous engine that galloped high and low at the curb. It could die at any moment, but it was going to finish off all the gas in the world first.

We lived in a shitty place. A shack on the highway, water dripping through the ceiling. I’m not going to say more. But next door, sharing the same dirt, we had a family from Japan. Asians are supposed to be rich, but these ones weren’t. I don’t know what went wrong. But the man dug a pit, and we thought he was going to roast a pig. We thought he might be Hawaiian. But he lined it with plastic and rocks and some plants and made a pond, and had four koi carps in there. That sounds nice, Steve said. A pearl in a toilet, my mother said. One of the koi was orange and white, the colors swirled together, and I named her Angel. And the man put an old wooden chair beside the pond so that I could sit. He never used it. He always stood. But he left this chair for me.

Everything bad in this world comes from men, my mother said. You have to know that. All violence, all fear, all slavery. Everything that crushes us.

Author Nell Zink said, “I thought what people like is race and gender—I’m gonna give them race and gender! I’m gonna give them race and gender until their heads spin!” and apparently Mr. Vann agrees. The 12-year-old protagonist is a lesbian and the reaction to this fact by other characters is either immediate 100% condemnation or immediately 100% acceptance. The girl’s 12-year-old lover is an Indian-American schoolmate from a successful family. It is never explained why the parents of the Indian girl allow their daughter to sleep over at the house of a single mother.

The action of the book comes from the grandfather trying to integrate himself into his daughter’s and granddaughter’s lives. Consistent with our “everyone can be a victim” culture, it turns out that the grandfather abandoned his wife due to PTSD from serving in the U.S. military. Now he is magically all better but his daughter won’t forgive him. Maybe it was the therapy industry that healed him because he suggests to his daughter that if she becomes a therapy industry customer she will discard 20 years of anger.

I was impressed with the writing style but a lot of the plot elements seemed unmotivated. What do readers think who read the book?

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King Bush III condemns unwed mothers (but gives them cash)

I promised not to pay attention to any Republican Presidential candidate on the grounds that none have any chance of winning. However, friends on Facebook (i.e., not any of my actual friends!) have been linking to “Jeb Bush In 1995: Unwed Mothers Should Be Publicly Shamed” (Huff Post, June 9, 2015). The quoted passage doesn’t support the headline:

One of the reasons more young women are giving birth out of wedlock and more young men are walking away from their paternal obligations is that there is no longer a stigma attached to this behavior, no reason to feel shame. Many of these young women and young men look around and see their friends engaged in the same irresponsible conduct. Their parents and neighbors have become ineffective at attaching some sense of ridicule to this behavior. There was a time when neighbors and communities would frown on out of wedlock births and when public condemnation was enough of a stimulus for one to be careful.

In other words, the would-be King Bush III condemned both young men and women for their respective roles in generating out-of-wedlock children. Presumably the editors behind the headline thought that readers would be more shocked at a verbal attack on “single mothers” or “unwed mothers” or simply “mothers” than on young parents of both sexes.

[Note that Bush was writing in 1995, shortly after implementation of the Federal Family Support Act of 1988, which required states to codify the profit potential of obtaining custody of out-of-wedlock children via child support guideline formulae (see the “History of Divorce” chapter for how this changed Americans’ incentives).]

One reason to throw rocks at Jeb Bush for this idea is that it isn’t clear how it could be put into practice. What if the “unwed mother” is a cash-minded foreigner who reads realworlddivorce.com, comes over here as a tourist, has sex with a dentist, and takes the $2 million baby back with her to Eastern Europe (for example)? How does she become aware that the Americans who are wiring her money every week are also publicly shaming her?

Another strange angle is that Bush was governor of Florida for 8 years. According to the research that we did for http://www.realworlddivorce.com/Florida, the state offers unlimited child support profits ($17,244/year plus 5% of the target’s pre-tax income above $120,000/year). Unless Bush changed his views while in office, he was simultaneously presiding over a system to hand out billions of dollars for Behavior X while believing that people who engage in Behavior X should be publicly shamed. As noted in our chapter, a Floridian who can have children with two different co-parents, each of whom earns at least $120,000/year, can earn more from child support than from going to college and working. As noted in The Redistribution Recession, a Floridian having children with co-parents at the bottom end of the income distribution would be better off collecting welfare than working at a low-wage job. If there were any shame in the Florida single parent lifestyle it would be the kind of shame that one could take all the way to the bank.

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Electrical Engineering: Less exciting that Bruce Jenner’s new gender?

Tomorrow is the anniversary of Benjamin Franklin’s kite-in-a-thunderstorm experiment. Ohio University (the Athens of Ohio, minus the immediate insolvency) has prepared a fancy poster showing the most exciting electrical engineering experiments of all time.

What do readers think? Will this get young Americans excited about EE?

[And, separately, why is Bruce Jenner becoming a woman more newsworthy than Bruce Jenner allegedly causing the death of a woman with his/her (his and hers?) Cadillac Escalade and trailer (helped by another California driver in a Hummer H2)?]

Personally I am excited about EE right now. This weekend a friend criticized my clunky 17″ HP laptop (with 16 GB of RAM!) and asked when I would be buying a sleek $3000 Apple MacBook so that I could have a smaller screen but more street cred. I told him that I would buy a new laptop when there was a gallium nitride-based internal power converter so that I didn’t have to lug around a power brick. (See Cambridge Electronics web site for an explanation of GaN.) And I guess I’ll buy an electric car when GaN components bring the price down and push the range up.

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Why are Americans so bad at driving?

The accident rate in the U.S. per 100,000 people is pretty high but I had always thought that was due to the fact that we drive so many miles per person per year. However, sorting the table in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate shows that we may simply be incompetent and/or be afflicted with poorly engineered roads. The fatality rate per billion vehicle-kilometers is 7.6 in the U.S., higher than countries that don’t have our divided highways and that have reputations for chaos in the streets. Israel, for example, is at 5.2. France at 6.3. Ireland at 3.4. Why isn’t pushing our fatality rate down to the Irish or Swedish (3.7) level an attainable goal? Is it because Google Cars will save us from ourselves soon enough?

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Legal marijuana questions: (1) why does it cost more than spinach? …

Folks:

Can someone explain to me why marijuana, in states where it is legal, costs so much? If it is a weed, isn’t it cheap to grow? (Maybe it is labor-intensive? As Jack Handey liked to tell children “You will never know what it’s like to work on a farm until your hands are raw, just so people can have fresh marijuana.”) This Web site says that marijuana costs $100-200 per ounce in Colorado. Why isn’t it closer to the price of spinach? I don’t think the explanation can be taxes because the Tax Foundation says that Colorado marijuana taxes are a percentage of revenue.

Second question: Is it legal for Colorado employers to screen for marijuana use and reject job applicants on that basis? Aside from jobs where federal laws require rejecting marijuana users (see my 2011 posting on FAA drug testing), why does occasional (legal) weekend marijuana use preclude a person from getting a paycheck?

Update: On June 15, 2015 the Colorado state Supreme Court ruled that an employer could fire an employee for off-duty marijuana use (WSJ). So you can enjoy recreational marijuana… as long as you don’t also want to have a paycheck from a private employer:

Colorado’s constitutional amendment that legalized recreational marijuana expressly states that employers wouldn’t be restricted from having policies that ban pot use by workers.

Some 23 states and the District of Columbia have legalized medical marijuana. Colorado and Washington state also permit recreational pot use. Legal experts, however, say it has remained unclear how such laws affect employers and whether they can fire a worker who uses the drug while off the job.

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Our Haitian relief effort put into perspective

Back in 2010 I helped get tents for 300 people down to Haiti (see “Personal Haitian Relief Operation”). This was about 10 days after the earthquake hit Port-au-Prince.

At the time I questioned the people running the tent city: “How can you guys possible make a difference when the Red Cross is here in full force?”

“How the Red Cross Raised Half a Billion Dollars for Haiti ­and Built Six Homes” provides an answer.

An interesting angle is the intense publicity around a crisis and the need for donations and then a long delay before anyone can find out how money was spent or what was accomplished.

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