Starbucks is responsible for building a hierarchy of victimhood?

“Starbucks drops Jewish group from anti-bias training session” (The Hill):

The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) will no longer work on Starbucks’s anti-bias training sessions next month after the company faced backlash from activists, the company told Politico on Monday.

Activists criticized Starbucks for involving the ADL, citing the organization’s support for Israel and failure to endorse the Black Lives Matter movement. The group announced in 2016 that it would not fully endorse the movement over some leaders’ “anti-Israel — and at times anti-Semitic — positions.”
Tamika Mallory, an organizer of the Women’s March, posted on Twitter that the ADL is “constantly attacking black and brown people,” and criticized Starbucks as “tone deaf” for involving the group.

Mallory came under fire earlier this year for attending an event where Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan made anti-Semitic remarks. Those remarks drew widespread criticism, including from the ADL.

It seems that not every group within the U.S. claiming victim status can be accommodated in any particular training event. Does Starbucks need to develop an official hierarchy of victimhood for the May 29 training and going forward? If so, what would it look like? And would it change with the year or the season?

(Is this a more general illustration of the problem that arises when there are many groups, some as large as 51 percent of the population, claiming victim status? If people have a limited sympathy budget, devoting sympathy to Group A will necessarily reduce sympathy for the victimization of Group B?)

Readers: Have you been going to Starbucks more or less since hearing the news of their passion for racism?

Related:

Full post, including comments

AI master’s thesis project: automatic parking of aircraft within a hangar

Hangar space at busier airports in the U.S. is scarce. Hiring people who are competent to move aircraft without smacking them into each other (creating “hangar rash,” potentially a multi-million dollar issue on a jet) is getting tougher every year (the American workforce skews to either white collar desk jobs or SSDI/Xbox, leaving a big shortage of competent blue collar workers). There are some innovative tug technologies that can substantially increase the density of packing (see mototok.com, for example).

How about this for an AI master’s thesis: put a few cameras in the ceiling of a big hangar and then provide assistance to humans driving the Mototok? Back in 2011 there was a company with a laser-based “warning system” for wall contact (article). But airplanes should not be hard to see in a well-lit hangar, especially from a ceiling-mounted vantage point. Why not a system that can run on a mobile phone and be suitable for use in a small hangar with, e.g., just two or three aircraft?

[Why is hangar space scarce? There are the usual permitting costs plus high construction costs that make it tough for the U.S. to build infrastructure quickly or cheaply. But mostly the scarcity is unique to airports. The public pays aviation fuel taxes that the FAA uses to build runways and taxiways, but the land around those federally-funded resources is controlled, usually, by a municipality. The municipality will restrict construction of FBOs and hangars to one or two chosen cronies, thus creating artificial scarcity for fuel and hangar space. Fuel prices may be boosted by 1.5-2X and hangar prices by 3X compared to nearby less busy airports. If a new FBO tries to get in, the incumbent(s) will lobby politicians (usually successfully) to prevent vacant land at the airport from being used for an aviation purpose.]

Full post, including comments

The Colorado baker case at the Supreme Court

“The Colorado Wedding Cake Case: A Gay Couple Versus A Principled Baker” (WGBH), by Harvey Silverglate:

The Supreme Court soon will issue its opinion in one of the most contentious, but least understood cases on that court’s docket, the clash between gay rights advocates on the one hand, and a merchant’s claim that his religious conscience forbids him from selling to a gay couple the same services and product (a custom-made wedding cake) that he readily provides to straight couples.

The legal analysis is sort of interesting. In a country that is ever more packed with people, do we want to allow someone to get off and stay off the reservation when the standards for correct thought change?

What continues to baffle me about this case and similar is why there are people who consider civil marriage to be a sacred institution from which same-sex couples, threesomes, or person-cat unions should be excluded. “America, Home of the Transactional Marriage” (Atlantic) says that Americans marry based on cash incentives. Colorado family law, which covers the baker’s region, provides for on-demand unilateral (“no-fault”) divorce. Maybe it would be logically reasonable (albeit morally deplorable) for the baker to object to a same-sex religious marriage in his church. But if a civil marriage is primarily about giving one partner the right to sue the other, possibly as soon as the day after the wedding, why did the baker get his panties in a twist? (and keep them twisted all the way to the U.S. Supreme Court!)

From one of my smart friends (who happens to be gay):

First, an observation: whatever legal and ethical principle applies to gay weddings also applies to, say, interracial or Jewish weddings, if particular vendors have religious or philosophical objections to those.

I strongly support free speech even for views I consider despicable. And free speech has to include not only being able to express one’s views, but also not being forced to express view one disagrees with.

However, merely having to provide services to someone (when those services are offered to the public) does not reasonably constitute having to express any particular view, whether the services are in the form of a cake, or other food, or renting out a hall or chairs, or whatever. If it did, why draw the line at the wedding itself? Why not permit refusing certain couples when they try to rent apartments or hotel rooms, or be served dinner together at a restaurant, etc.?

If the baker had been asked to create artwork on the cake that explicitly championed a form of marriage he disapproved of, there would at least start to be a legitimate competing interest (though the artistic contribution would be so minimal that I’m still skeptical that consideration should prevail, particularly since the baker’s own views would not plausibly be inferred by anyone from his providing that service, at least no more than if he had merely provided bagels for the wedding).

And in the case at hand, my understanding is that the baker turned the customers away before even discussing what the cake would look like. If it was just to be a generic wedding cake, then denying it to a gay (or interracial or Jewish) couple would be no different than refusing to sell them beer or napkins for the wedding, no different from refusing to rent them an apartment or serve them together at a restaurant.

I followed up with him by asking

So let’s say that A goes into a cake shop and asks B to make a cake and B says “I won’t do it.” If there is a law against B refusing to bake cakes for certain reasons then the court system is trying to sort out what B’s internal feelings are. Why did B refuse to do this? Too busy at the time? Did not think the project was interesting? Disliked A because A belonged to some protected class?

His response:

There’s a curious, selectively-invoked conservative myth that taking account of the intent behind an action is somehow establishing a novel kind of thought-crime.

In fact, at least as far back as the Hammurabi Code, it has been recognized that ascertaining an act’s intent is a crucial aspect of justice. Common sense concurs. If I sell someone a product I’ve misrepresented, whether there’s criminal fraud depends on whether I knowingly and intentionally deceived them. Possession of lock-picks may be legal or not depending on intent to use them for a burglary. If I knock someone over and they fall off a ledge, the extent of my culpability depends on whether I meant to collide with them at all, and if so whether I intended to shove them off the ledge (or even knew it was there). Etc.

Determining intent is also, of course, a key element of antidiscrimination law. It’s one of many practical problems that must be solved in enforcing most laws. Like all the other elements of establishing guilt (was the defendant even present at the scene?; did the victim shoot first?; etc.), the task can be difficult but is not necessarily insurmountable. The practical difficulty of proving intent certainly does not warrant a 4,000-year rollback in civilization’s understanding of justice.

In the case before the Supreme Court, intent is easy to establish because it’s openly acknowledged. In other cases–for example, landlords refusing to rent to blacks or Jews, but hiding behind a pretext–it’s sometimes necessary to show a pattern by comparing a sufficiently large sample of otherwise-similar applicants who are systematically approved or rejected consistently with a proscribed criterion.

He cited a New York Times article that says that this particular case is not about free expression:

Although Phillips’s cakes are undeniably quite artistic, he did not reject a particular design option, such as a topper with two grooms — in which case, his First Amendment argument would be more compelling. Instead, he flatly told Craig and Mullins that he would not sell them a wedding cake.

Readers: Who wants to bet on how the Supreme Court rules?

[My bet is that they rule in favor of the baker. My first reason is that the justices are super old. They grew up in a country of 150 million with plenty of elbow room and haven’t thought about how when the U.S. hits 400 million in population there is a high cost to having an outlier/throwback/Neanderthal such as the baker running around loose. Second, they will be concerned about a slippery slope. If this baker can be fined or imprisoned due to his irrational (see above) thoughtcrime, how far does the government have to go to stamp out non-violent dissent from the latest and greatest official thinking on social issues? Finally, the justices know that about half of Americans are at least sort of religious (Pew). They won’t want these 165 million people to see the Supreme Court as illegitimate so it would make sense to throw religious Americans a bone of some sort. (Based on their selection of people for stories on furniture-, house-, or car-shopping, our media suggests that at least 30 percent of married couples are same-sex, so the typical business owner will not want to alienate this group of consumers.)]

There is a separate economics angle to this. Back in December 2017, I wrote to my friend as part of the above exchange

The U.S. spends about $300 billion per year on lawyers and for every $1 spent on a lawyer there are probably $2 spent on non-lawyer time and money worrying about litigation, being deposed, trying to avoid litigation, trying to comply with various regulations, etc. (see http://www.realworlddivorce.com/InOurEconomy for the source of the numbers on the total legal spend).

The NYT piece you referenced sounds reasonable, but it is not cost-free to have a legal system figure out what happened. Figure a minimum of $500,000 in legal fees, depositions, etc. to figure out whether a dispute was about the message on the cake or the customer. And you won’t know the “truth” after this. You will just maybe have a better idea of what most likely happened. Just having Americans print and then read that article shrinks the GDP. Americans could have been learning a skill instead with that time.

Same deal with all of the arguments about who had sex with whom and in exchange for how much cash or career advancement 20 years ago. The GDP shrinks every time people are contemplating Kevin Spacey or Harvey Weinstein and their various sex partners.

Full post, including comments

Southwest 1380 depressurization and single-engine landing happened in 1971 as well

It turns out that the doubters who have commented on “Southwest 1380: think about the flight attendants” have come up with something more interesting than what any journalists have found: National Airlines Flight 27. See Wikipedia and AviationSafetyNetwork for details on this 1971 uncontained engine failure on a DC-10. From ASN:

National Airlines Flight 27 departed Houston for Las Vegas and climbed to FL390. Suddenly the No. 3 engine fan assembly disintegrated and fragments penetrated the fuselage the Nos. 1 and 2 engine nacelles, and the right wing area. As a result, the cabin depressurized and one cabin window, which was struck by a fragment of the fan assembly, separated from the fuselage. The passenger who was sitting next to that window was forced through the opening and ejected from the aircraft. The flightcrew initiated an emergency descent, and the aircraft landed safely at Albuquerque International Airport 19 minutes after [the] engine failed.

From Wikipedia:

One passenger, G.F. Gardner of Beaumont, Texas,[4] was partially forced into the opening made by a failed cabin window, after it too was struck by engine fragments. He was temporarily retained in that position by his seatbelt. “Efforts to pull the passenger back into the airplane by another passenger were unsuccessful, and the occupant of seat 17H was forced entirely through the cabin window.”[5]

The flight crew initiated an emergency descent, and the aircraft was landed safely at Albuquerque International Sunport 19 minutes after the engine failed. 115 passengers and 12 crew members exited the aircraft by using the evacuation slides. Of those, 24 people were treated for smoke inhalation, ear problems, and minor abrasions. The plane was repaired and was later flown by Pan Am (as Clipper Meteor).

This was a more serious incident than Southwest 1380 due to the higher altitude (39,000′ versus 32,500′; time of useful consciousness is much less) and the fact that the passenger who was killed did not remain stuck within (therefore blocking) the window.

Another difference is that the flight crew, rather than being celebrated as heroic, was castigated for monkeying with the auto-throttle system.

To the extent that anyone might doubt the news reports on Southwest 1380, I read this 1971 story as confirmatory. It seems like more or less the same chain of events started by the same root cause (piece of engine comes flying out). But, interestingly, the 1971 incident is ready by the doubters as confirming their doubts.

Related:

  • United Airlines 232, where the uncontained engine failure destroyed the DC-10’s flight controls and the flight crew nonetheless was able to save 185 people.
  • Boeing 767 loses engine 400 feet after takeoff, but the pilots aren’t heroes (newsworthy because Leonardo DiCaprio was in the back)
  • United Airlines 811, a 747 whose cargo door blew out over the Pacific Ocean and “The debris ejected from the airplane during the explosive decompression damaged the Number 3 and 4 engines … The N1 reading of engine number 4 soon fell to almost zero, its EGT reading was high, and it was emitting flames, so they shut it down as well. … The flaps could only be partially deployed as a result of damage sustained following the decompression. This necessitated a higher than normal landing speed of around 190–200 knots.” (the pilots did not become media stars, however)
Full post, including comments

How to deal with unauthorized purchases on Google Play?

I set up a child with a Chromebook and made the child a member of a Google Play “Family Group”. I then set the child account to require approval for in-app purchases. The credit card associated with the family group was a United Mileage Plus card from Chase.

I thought that everything was going well because the “order history” page on Google Play shows the family group and does not show any unfamiliar purchases. It shows that the approval required for in-app purchases setting remains in place.

Then it was tax time so I looked at my end-of-year Visa card summary. Whoa! Hundreds of dollars in spending on in-app purchases (the card was on autopay and I don’t use it for much else so I hadn’t looked) in small amounts, e.g., $1.99 to $9.99. As there had never been any activity like this on the card for 10+ years I would have thought that it would have triggered a fraud warning, but it did not. These purchases show up only in the child account, not on the page belonging to the owner of the Family Group who entered in the credit card info.

I called up the Chase folks and they’ve temporarily reversed all of the charges. Google Play doesn’t seem to offer a customer service phone number. I’m wondering if anyone else has dealt with a similar situation.

It seems like a terrible design feature to have the only way to monitor spending on a linked Google Play account be to check in with the credit card bank every few days.

Does Apple deal with this in a smarter/better way?

Full post, including comments

Can the refugee caravan at the U.S. border simply fly up to Canada?

Back in January 2017 I asked “Why accept any refugees to the U.S. if they are welcome in Canada?” in response to Justin Trudeau’s promise to take anyone whom the U.S. rejects. From the Independent article cited in that post:

Justin Trudeau has responded to Donald Trump’s immigration ban by saying Canada welcomes refugees who have been rejected from the US.

“To those fleeing persecution, terror & war, Canadians will welcome you, regardless of your faith. Diversity is our strength #WelcomeToCanada,” he tweeted.

From this weekend: “Migrant Caravan, After Grueling Trip, Reaches U.S. Border. Now the Really Hard Part.” (New York Times):

A long, grueling journey gave way to what could be a long, uncertain asylum process Sunday as a caravan of immigrants finally reached the border between the United States and Mexico, setting up a dramatic moment and a test of President Trump’s anti-immigrant politics.

More than 150 migrants, part of a caravan that once numbered about 1,200 and headed north in March from Mexico’s border with Guatemala, were prepared to seek asylum from United States immigration officials.

With the migrants on the doorstep of the United States, Mr. Trump, in a tweet last week, ratcheted up his rhetoric, vowing “not to let these large Caravans of people into our Country.”

These folks have been rejected by the President of the U.S. Thus they would appear to be eligible for the Canadian Prime Minister’s offer. What is the practical obstacle to these 150 folks being welcomed in Vancouver?

Hipmunk says that AeroMexico will fly them one-way on May 7, for example, at $337 per person via Mexico City ($50,000 total). A chartered Boeing 757 would presumably be cheaper and I’m assuming that there are a sufficient number of good-hearted people who will fund the flight. It is only 1037 nautical miles between the two airports, about 2.5 hours of flight time, so roughly $15,000 in hourly operating costs.

In fact, let this blog post serve as my personal commitment to pay up to $50,000 either to charter an Airbus or Boeing or to fund airline tickets at up to $337 per refugee. I would love to be able to tell my friends in Cambridge that I personally rescued 150 asylum-seekers from, not only the persecution that they faced as Latin Americans in Latin America, but also from crime and prejudice in the U.S., from living under the cruel dictatorship of Donald Trump, from income inequality, etc.

Philip says #WelcomeToCanada!

Related:

Full post, including comments

Analysis of the second Bill Cosby trial from a criminal defense lawyer

If you hadn’t been following the details of the second Bill Cosby trial, you might be interested to read an analysis from Norm Pattis. It is a quick way to catch up on the issues remaining in the matter. (Thanks to a reader for pointing out this article; I hadn’t followed the second trial because I assumed that the prosecutors and judge were doing whatever would be necessary to obtain a conviction and avoid a second highly publicized failure.)

Related:

Full post, including comments

Support for the death penalty will increase with the cost of imprisonment?

Two sectors of the economy that are inflating at a rapid rate: building infrastructure and hiring government workers. Yet these are precisely the two things that we need to do if the American gulag (more than 2 million inmates) is to continue expanding at the same rate as our population grows. “California prison compared to Harvard” describes the current cost of imprisoning an unwanted resident of the U.S. as $75,560 per year. Over the 50 years that someone might serve for a serious crime, that’s $3.8 million. The retail cost of euthanasia and cremation for a dog is about $500. If the cost of building and running prisons continues to rise I wonder at what point public support for the death penalty, purely on economic grounds, will rise (currently it is on a downward trend).

Are people willing to pay $250 million in taxes, for example, to keep a convicted murderer or rapist in prison for “life without parole”? (more than the cost of a Boeing 787) Presumably not. So somewhere between $3.8 million and $250 million is the point at which the public will say “We can’t do this anymore”?

If reducing penalties for crime convictions is not acceptable and lifetime incarceration becomes unacceptably expensive, what alternative is there to executing people convicted of serious crimes?

Full post, including comments

How hard would it be to get a good answer to “Siri: What should I do?”

Alexa, Siri, the Google Assistant, and similar, are capable of handling simple tasks, but these are usually tasks that are also simple to accomplish with a mouse and keyboard or a touch on a phone.

I’m wondering how hard it would be to get Siri to give a good answer to “Siri: What should I do?” In other words, could Siri function as a life coach, enabling the owner of the device to be more productive (maybe even sufficiently more productive to pay for a new iPhone every year!) as well as to live a more accomplished, social, and satisfying life?

What if Siri could be smart enough to know when was a great time to work on that important, but not urgent, project? If Siri knew everything that is in the book How to Get Control of Your Time and Your Life (a time-management classic by Lakein) plus all of the information about the phone owner necessary to implement the Lakein method?

Within this overall challenge there are a lot of concrete sub-challenges:

  1. understanding the customer’s schedule (start with the obvious, e.g., the electronic calendar)
  2. understanding the customer’s short-term and long-term goals, both personal and professional (maybe interface with existing todo list managers as a crude starting point, but also can infer from activity on phone/web)
  3. understanding the customer’s social network (the real network, not just the Facebook friends) and professional network
  4. understanding the schedules of others within social and professional networks (otherwise tough to arrange meetings and phone calls)
  5. understanding everything that is happening within a geographic locale, e.g., social and professional events

Siri can see all of a phone owner’s emails, right? And calendar events. And also the actual phone calls (Siri would conclude from this that I am desperate to lower my credit card interest rates and also somewhat interested in rooftop solar).

Even if Siri can’t coach me to finish the Great American Novel, what about something humble such as arranging a gathering with friends. If you want to get six people together for dinner+movie:

a) call/text/email 15 friends in order to find 5 who are free on the same evening

b) search for a reasonably central movie theater that has 6 seats available that evening

c) search for a restaurant that is close to the movie theater that has a table for 6 that evening

d) buy tickets to movie from a movie ticket web site

e) actually reserve the table at the restaurant on Open Table or similar

f) maybe collect money from some of the people

g) call Uber or Lyft at the right times with the right To/From addresses

That’s at least one hour of effort, right? Why can’t Siri do all of the above, especially if all of the participants are iPhone users (and why would you want to be friends with anyone who isn’t?).

What’s the motivation for an Amazon, Apple, or Google to build this? Consider the lock-in effect. Would you ever abandon iPhone for Android if Siri were your personal coach and already knew your life goals? Also, sometimes the correct answer to “What should I do now?” is “shop for X” or “buy plane tickets and book hotel rooms”. There are transaction fees and commissions to be had when cash is flowing.

Readers: Which company is closest to doing this now? How hard would it be to make something that would give users a real benefit?

Full post, including comments

HP acquired Palm for $1.2 billion in 2010

Here’s one of the most bizarre things that I’ve learned recently… HP paid $1.2 billion for Palm roughly 8 years ago. A USA Today story from April 28, 2010:

“This is a transformational deal” in an increasingly mobile world, said Todd Bradley, the former Palm CEO who is now executive vice president of HP’s Personal Systems Group.

Palm’s WebOS operating system, which runs the Pre and Pixi phones, gives HP a competitive edge in the fast-growing market for Internet-connected mobile devices, Bradley says.

The acquisition qualifies as a “no-brainer” for HP, which used to be strong in mobile computing but did not make a strong transition to the smartphone arena, says Michael Gartenberg, an analyst at Altimeter Group. Despite the hefty price, HP made a prudent decision, he says. It needs a strong presence in the mobile market without relying too much on the technology of Microsoft or Google, which also compete. “For WebOS to survive, it needs an operation on the scale of an HP,” he says.

Here’s a guy from whom you want to take stock tips:

Still, Forrester Research analyst Charles Golvin says HP made the right move but with the wrong company. “I don’t think the WebOS platform is viable long term in the face of its competition,” he says, noting that developers are more likely to create applications for iPhone and Droid.

The iPhone was launched in 2007, three years prior to this deal. Android was released to consumers in 2008, roughly 1.5 years prior to this deal.

Full post, including comments