Email from the New York Times:
The Morning: 115 degrees Fahrenheit
Today, New Orleans will reach 113 degrees in the heat index. Houston will reach 111. Mobile, Ala., and Jackson, Miss., will also surpass 110. And those are only a few of the places that will experience dangerous heat this week.
In New Orleans, the heat index will hit 111 degrees today, climb to 115 by Thursday and remain above 110 for the week.
From the Google:
Whether the high temp this week will be 98 or 115, I hope that our brothers, sisters, and binary-resisters in New Orleans can find a way to stay comfortable.
Troubling that Google gave new home for climate denialists. Its cover to act like a tribune of ESG, left and Democratic party will not save it from the party wrath on the long run
Google still reports in pre-Biden Fahrenheit.
Weather.com says “New Orleans – current: 96, feels like: 111” (due to humidity? Extreme UV?)
The “feels like” temperature is a function of the dew point.
According to my iPhone, the “feels like” temp on Miami Beach right now (5:00pm, 6/27) is 97 deg. F, with a dew point of 76.
Any chance they could get DeSantis to fly them to Martha’s Vineyard?
We need photos of Greenspun with the shirt off.
Thanks, lion, but last time I tried that the neighbors called Marine Mammal Rescue.
Interesting.
MSY is 97f with a heat index of 109f. Dewpoint 75f, humidity 49%.
PHX is 107f with a heat index of only 99f. Dewpoint 17f, humidity 3%.
Proving that a dry heat is better. You can take a frozen bottle of water outside and not get condensation.
I know this is common wisdom and I know people move to Arizona for dry air but I and people I travel with feel better in humid hot climate, particularly in Florida, then in humid dry weather. In tropical climate major difference between summer and winter is increased humidity in the summer. I guess it keeps overall summer air temperatures down. For me summer weather in Florida feels much better then hot summer day in NYC or generally in North East.
Phoenix (the 5th largest city in the US) is forecasted to get up to 114° on Sunday, July 2:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/phoenix/85003/daily-weather-forecast/346935
Climate change is very real, but no one’s going to do anything about it, so hopefully you have a powerful air conditioner (or heat pump) and reliable electricity. A solar panel installation that can run independently of the grid would probably be ideal. You wouldn’t have any power at night, but most of the cooling needs would be during the day.
Ryan: What’s exciting about 114 in PHX? 120 degrees is a normal max temp for a year in Phoenix.
Sure, that’s normal *now*.
https://www.axios.com/local/phoenix/2023/06/12/phoenix-summers-hotter-2023
> By the numbers: Average summer temperatures in Phoenix increased 2.9°F between 1970 and 2022, per a new analysis by climate research group Climate Central.
> Average temperatures were 94.8°F in 2022, compared to 91.9°F in 1970.
It’s expected to be even warmer in the future. As the average temperatures go up, so do the maximums reached during heat waves. I missed this news from earlier this month but apparently the city has started limiting construction due to lack of water:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/01/climate/arizona-phoenix-permits-housing-water.html
Lack of water could be a big problem for the southwestern US in coming years. Arizona can’t even desalinate because it’s landlocked. The federal government would need to work out a deal with California or Mexico.
You build a vast city in the desert and there’s a shortage of water. Who could have expected that?
The temperature readings we see today existed in the 80’s, 60’s, 40’s 20’s 00’s …
High-temperature readings, health index, air quality, etc. did not exist in the 80’s, 60’s, 40’s, 00’s
People dying from heat stock (and cold) existed in the 80’s, 60’s, 40’s, 20’s, 00’s …
Weather reporting, 24×7, and being pumped into your smartphone by the minute, did not exist in the 80’s, 60’s, 40’s, 20’s, 00’s …
Overreporting and overplaying of today’s events by “experts” need to stop, NOW!
It is ironic that there are too many folks out there who think the planet will cease to exist in their lifetime and that we are all doomed in a few decades. But those same folks are OK with the fact — and there are hard data to back this up — that our education system is failing and creating dumb, dumb next-generation Americans. Those next-generation dumb, dumb, Americans will die not because of “climate change”, but because of their own stupidity.
Ryan: if PHX is hotter than it was 100 years ago couldn’t that be simply due to the fact that a vast area has been paved with black asphalt and a huge amount of heat-spewing A/C is being operated? (Also lots of heat-spewing cars and trucks!)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_heat_island
The highways in PHX are mostly concrete rather than asphalt (and quite gentle w/o any frost heaves).
That said, the warming is almost entirely urban heat island as concrete structures retain heat better than loose desert sand. I normally snicker at such things, but PHX is one of the few places where I could see requiring people to paint their roofs white.
As for ‘global warming’ I would look for a largely unpopulated weather station (perhaps Death Valley) and assess the large term temperature trends in the sticks.
“if PHX is hotter than it was 100 years ago”
Thermometers weren’t as accurate 100 years ago (or even 50 years ago) as they are today. Maybe the margin of error explains much of the alleged increase in temps today.
> Thermometers weren’t as accurate 100 years ago (or even 50 years ago) as they are today. Maybe the margin of error explains much of the alleged increase in temps today.
From Tom Skilling, who had been a meteorologist for 42 years at the time of writing:
https://wgntv.com/weather/weather-blog/when-often-we-talk-of-temperature-taken-in-the-1800s-how-accurate-were-they/
> Temperatures taken from mercury thermometers by the U.S. Weather Bureau in the late 1800s were actually more accurate than the readings from today’s electronic thermometers. Once calibrated, a mercury-in-glass thermometer requires no additional adjustment, if undisturbed, and those readings were generally accurate to one- or two-tenths of a degree Fahrenheit. However, they had to be obtained manually, whereas digital readouts from today’s electronic thermometers are continuously available and can be remoted. The tradeoff for this convenience is accuracy. Most electronic thermometers are considered to be accurate within plus or minus 2 degrees F and occasionally require maintenance when they drift out of calibration.
Fun, so we have 2% reading error and 3 degrees statistical error on 1.5 degrees of temperature raise forecast. This is Fahrenheit, 1 degree Fahrenheit = 5/9 degree of Celsius.
In my remote childhood I lived in place located on longitude of Labrador and southern Labrador and recall scorching (for me) July and August months with air temperatures nearing 95 Fahrenheit. Imho it got colder since than.
Ryan: There will never be better scientific instruments than what was built for https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelson%E2%80%93Morley_experiment
@philg, before were great experiments to measure gravitational force of Earth and electric and magnetic forces. Seems that Michelson-Morley was last of great experiments, and the best known due to popularity of Nobel prizes. Nowadays is just throw it at CERN and forget about special relativity. https://www.science.org/content/article/once-again-physicists-debunk-faster-light-neutrinos Dumber then a GPS device
philg: The Michelson–Morley experiment setup was very cool and impactful, but there have been some other very accurate experiment setups in recent years to test general relativity, e.g.: Gravity Probe B, in operation from 2004–2010:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_Probe_B
> The Gravity Probe B experiment comprised four London moment gyroscopes and a reference telescope sighted on IM Pegasi, a binary star in the constellation Pegasus. In polar orbit, with the gyro spin directions also pointing toward IM Pegasi, the frame-dragging and geodetic effects came out at right angles, each gyroscope measuring both.
> The gyroscopes were housed in a dewar of superfluid helium, maintaining a temperature of under 2 kelvins (−271 °C; −456 °F). Near-absolute zero temperatures were required to minimize molecular interference, and enable the lead and niobium components of the gyroscope mechanisms to become superconductive.
> At the time of their manufacture, the gyroscopes were the most nearly spherical objects ever made (two gyroscopes still hold that record, but third place has been taken by the silicon spheres made by the Avogadro project). Approximately the size of ping pong balls, they were perfectly round to within forty atoms (less than 10 nm). If one of these spheres were scaled to the size of the Earth, the tallest mountains and deepest ocean trench would measure only 2.4 m (8 ft) high.[24] The spheres were made of fused quartz and coated with an extremely thin layer of niobium. A primary concern was minimizing any influence on their spin, so the gyroscopes could never touch their containing compartment. They were held suspended with electric fields, spun up using a flow of helium gas, and their spin axes were sensed by monitoring the magnetic field of the superconductive niobium layer with SQUIDs. (A spinning superconductor generates a magnetic field precisely aligned with the rotation axis; see London moment.)
and LIGO which detected gravitational waves in 2016:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LIGO
> Based on current models of astronomical events, and the predictions of the general theory of relativity,[72][73][74] gravitational waves that originate tens of millions of light years from Earth are expected to distort the 4-kilometre (2.5 mi) mirror spacing by about 10^−18 m, less than one-thousandth the charge diameter of a proton. Equivalently, this is a relative change in distance of approximately one part in 10^21. A typical event which might cause a detection event would be the late stage inspiral and merger of two 10-solar-mass black holes, not necessarily located in the Milky Way galaxy, which is expected to result in a very specific sequence of signals often summarized by the slogan chirp, burst, quasi-normal mode ringing, exponential decay.
> In their fourth Science Run at the end of 2004, the LIGO detectors demonstrated sensitivities in measuring these displacements to within a factor of two of their design.
> During LIGO’s fifth Science Run in November 2005, sensitivity reached the primary design specification of a detectable strain of one part in 10^21 over a 100 Hz bandwidth.
I love the climate change graphs with 3 degree margin of error predicting a 1.5 degree increase to panic about
@Jan, thanks to our leaders in NYC climate change will be no more: “A proposal to slice emissions from coal and wood-burning pizza ovens in New York City by 75% has left a bad taste in the mouths of some locals.” [1]
[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66027038