Move to a state where people aren’t upset about the election result?

In response to “How was your weekend?” my neighbors here in Massachusetts are responding with “sad”. Why sad? They’re in mourning for Hillary Clinton’s loss, which they feel personally. Massachusetts residents were already down at #30 (out of 50) in this state-by-state happiness ranking. As the smartest people on the planet we tend to take it personally when we’re not consulted by those in power down in New York and D.C. I don’t see King Donald the First calling up Harvard professors to ask for advice. Thus it is going to be a dark and moody 4-8 years.

Why not move to a state that ranked higher to begin with and one where we don’t think Hillary’s loss will sadden people, either because (a) the majority of voters in that state supported Trump, or (b) voters in that state don’t expect to have substantial influence in a country of 325 million.

Number 1 on the list is Hawaii, which voted for Hillary but is so far from D.C. it is tough to imagine folks there feeling responsible for what the Trumpenfuhrer does.

Number 2 is Alaska, which voted for Trump and where global warming may not be feared. Bonus: no income tax. Double bonus: permanent fund dividend (more of which you’ll get to keep under Trump’s proposed lower federal income tax rates).

Number 3 is Montana, another Trump state. Colorado is #4 and the vote was narrowly divided. Perhaps stay away from Boulder and people will be in a good mood?

Wyoming has no state income tax, supported Trump, and was #5 in happiness prior to the election. Texas and Florida have no state income tax, rank #11 and #12, and voted for Trump.

What do folks think? If the post-election malaise will be prolonged for Hillary Clinton supporters, why not move away from it to a state that ranked higher in happiness to begin with? Why choose to live around the grumpy?

[Be sure to check Real World Divorce before moving! The alimony and child support plaintiff who gets $10 million in Massachusetts would be entitled to $400,000 in Texas. The custody plaintiff entitled to sole custody (“winner parent” status) in New York would be forced into shared 50/50 parenting in Alaska.]

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Medical School 2020, Year 1, Week 7

From our anonymous insider…

One week before exams; my classmates are nervous.

Lectures introduced the immune system, both the innate and the marvelous adaptive immune system. All of our immune cells start their lives as bone marrow stem cells. These stem cells undergo education, either in the thymus or bone, to ensure they do not attack healthy cells yet can potentially attack foreign antigens. I had always thought during an infection our adaptive immune system would create a new immune cell against this foreign structure. Instead, the diversity of potential antigens to which our body can respond is determined within the first few years of life by a process of “student” immune cells randomly self-mutating their antigen receptors (see VDJ recombination). Only about 1-2 percent of the total cells graduate from self-mutation school; the remainder kill themselves. The textbook says that our immune system ends up with roughly 1,000 billion cells that can recognize 10 million different antigens. When an unknown invader arrives, if it is among the 10 million antigens that we’ve prepared to fight since early childhood, we’re in great shape. Otherwise we will need antibiotics or a trip to the hospital.

A doctor from the world’s only hospital that does thymus transplantation came in. As mentioned above, the thymus is the schoolhouse of the immune system, educating immune cells to not attack self. Transplanting a donor thymus, typically obtained from a young child whose thymus got in the way of cardiac surgery, could theoretically eliminate the issue of organ transplant rejection. If a diabetic needed a new kidney, immunosuppressors would be used to destroy the patient’s immune system and then the donor kidney and a donor-matched thymus would be transplanted. The regenerating immune system would be educated to not attack the patient nor the matched donor organ — thymus education is additive! The challenge is to generate a comprehensive thymus donor database or even engineer a biosynthetic thymus.

We dissected the arm from the shoulder to the elbow joint. I was amazed by the vasculature (arteries and veins) as it branches from the major vessels in the thorax and the interweaving nerve structures (see brachial plexus). We saw the funny bone, a.k.a. the ulnar nerve, as it passes between the medial epicondyle of the humerus and the olecranon, or elbow bump, of the ulna. I also discovered my favorite joint: the radiohumeral joint with the annular ligament of the radius. The radial humeral joint allows rotation of the forearm (supination, palm up, and pronation, palm down). The radial head, a spherical protrusion at the proximal end of the radius, is encapsulated in a sheath that allows it to rotate around a fixed point. Listening to the PhD medical researchers who come in as lecturers, I am coming to appreciate the amazing opportunity of anatomy lab. The researchers are experts on test tube experiments, but haven’t had time to look at the circulatory system or liver anatomy, for example.

Statistics for the week… Study: 18 hours; Sleep: 6 hours/night; Fun: 2 nights out. Example Fun: Friday after-class soccer followed by a repeat of the Week 4 jam session. More than half the class showed up and most of them sang along, despite any lack of formal musical training.

The Whole Book: http://tinyurl.com/MedicalSchool2020

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Smartphone plus teenager = bad babysitter?

We decided to escape our kids for one recent evening and ventured out into the adult world of restaurant dining and conversation. To take some of the load off the older generation without our household we brought in an 8th-grade babysitter whose job was to entertain a 3-year-old. When we returned home, still stunned from the novelty of a dinner without having once had to say “Alex, let go of her lips!” or “Don’t pull her tail”, the babushkas provided an unfavorable report: “She was on her phone the whole time and didn’t play games with Alex.” When the babysitter’s father showed up there was a discussion about said phone being at only 1 percent charge, thus lending credence to the babushkas’ tale.

Folks: Is there any hope for teenage babysitters in the smartphone age? If you hire one should you make sure to give the young kids their own devices so at least each person can have his or her own screen?

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Why I still like Facebook

Here’s why I still like Facebook. A friend shared a posting by Piaw Na, regarding the new MacBook laptop computers:

First they came for the optical drive, and I said nothing, because I didn’t need it. Then they came for the removable battery, upgradeable RAM, and upgradeable Mass Storage, and I said nothing, because work paid for my computer and they replaced it every 2 years anyway. Then they came for my ethernet port, and I said nothing, because I had great WiFi. When they finally came for my magsafe connector, USB-A port, and SD Card slot, there was no one to speak up for me, because only fashionistas were in my market segment. (With apologies to MARTIN NIEMÖLLER). (Note I’m not a Mac user, and don’t really care — Apple does not cater to me with ANY of their devices. I’m just watching the blow-back with mild interest, like a cyclist riding around a massive car crash that’s caused a massive backup for the car drivers stuck behind it)

Related:

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Is Canada a lower-tax environment for rich people than the U.S.?

Folks:

Before the last election, a friend (white, but married to someone who identifies as “mixed race”) posted the following to Facebook:

The rise of The Donald has brought a lot of racists and haters out into the open, and he’s to squarely to blame. It baffles me that the good and generous people I know can support him. Even in NYC I see these hate crimes happening, and it puts my family and loved ones in danger. His racism, sexism, bullying, vengeful nature, illegal acts, etc. is not leadership for a UNITED States of America; he is tearing us apart. A vote for him is a direct assault on my family.

I tried to figure out whether there were any limits on this “direct assault.” I asked “What about a person who had been promised a lucrative, interesting, and rewarding job within the Trump Administration? What if she shared all of your political beliefs and was going to work to implement them within whatever department Trump was planning to park her? Could she vote for Trump in hopes of actually getting this job and yet not be directly assaulting your family?” The answer was a simple “no”.

Then I posed the following hypothetical: “What about a woman who was born in the U.S. but emigrated to Canada as a child? She was successful in business in Canada, accumulating a fortune of $50 million. All of the money was earned in Canada and she has no connection to the U.S. other than the childhood citizenship, which she never gave up. Upon her death, her children will get only about half of the $50 million because her estate will have to pay U.S. federal death taxes. Hillary wants to raise death taxes; Trump wants to eliminate them on the grounds that the income that led to the savings was already taxed. If this woman votes for Trump in hopes that Congress will agree with him to reduce death tax rates, is she directly assaulting your family?” The answer to that was “yes.” His female-named friends added some more:

Because heaven help those poor kids if they’re unable to make it on just 25M. In my world that’s a high class problem to have. I don’t think I know you Philip and I’m sure you’re a very nice man but I can’t believe you’re trivializing T’s thoughtful post of very valid concerns with dollar signs. Or perhaps your intent was sarcasm…?

Humanity is far more important than money, Philip.

A vote for Trump makes this land, our children, your hypothetical descendants in Canada, and ALL the other human beings on this rock far less safe.

Enough with the hypotheticals, it’s incredibly insulting to T’s original post. The issue that T raised is not hypothetical. It’s real and it’s serious and it should be of concern to everyone. I have a multitude of friends around the world who are of different ethnicities, genders, religions, & orientations and I fear for what could happen to them given the results of tomorrow’s election.

I probed a little more and it turned out that the answer was always the same. Anyone who disagreed with this group of Hillary supporters was “directly assaulting” them and/or their families.

As part of my researching the hypothetical Canadian I discovered that Canada has no death taxes, neither inheritance nor estate (TurboTax), though they do collect capital gains tax on any unrealized capital gains.

I’m wondering if this tips the balance and makes Canada a lower-tax environment for wealthy people than the U.S. (where total tax rates, for those who are working to accumulate assets for their children, are close to 90 percent). A lot of rich people own stock in corporations. Like other OECD countries, Canada has a much lower corporate tax rate than the U.S. (Tax Foundation). Personal income tax rates also seem to be lower (Canada Revenue Agency). Sales taxes are higher in Canada, of course, but a wealthy person who wants to save, invest, and pass down to future generations won’t be buying a lot of Teslas and other toys.

Canadian readers: What am I missing?

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Community meeting with the child psychologist regarding the Trumpenfuhrer

In an earlier post I mentioned that the school superintendent here in a rich suburb of Boston had emailed about a meeting with a child psychologist regarding “How to talk with your children about the election and its aftermath”.

I went to the meeting!

First, what had kids actually learned at school?

  • a first-grader heard that Trump would be rounding up women and then shooting them
  • a second-grader thought that four of her classmates (children of legal immigrants, I believe, and one of them Muslim) would be deported by Trump
  • a father overhead third-grade girls say “My mom said the President is a racist.” (children in Happy Valley cannot be dumped off at the curb; parents who are serious about parenting walk them into school and assist them with locker operations)
  • a fifth-grade boy saw a plane overhead (probably a Gulfstream off KBED heading 250 bound for Teterboro with one rich bastard in the back) after school and wanted to go straight home out of fear that the plane would be dropping bombs

There was a broad spectrum of political opinion represented at the meeting: Trump’s victory ranged from being characterized as a “crisis” to a “catastrophe”. The therapist herself admitted to going on a long angry rant (to a friend) about Trump in front of her 7-year-old: “We’re scared and they know it.”

One challenge at the meeting was keeping the focus on children. Adults kept wanting to talk about their own grief and how could they be healed. When the discussion would circle back to the kids, the therapist recommended telling children “I’m really upset” or “I’m worried about this because it is not the way I want the country to go.” A father who is a member of the town School Committee said “My mood is down, but I don’t hide it from the kids [11 and 13]. I don’t believe in putting on a false face.” He then compared us to Germany in the 1930s (but without the high quality carpentry?).

A woman who had sued her husband talked about the challenge presented by the middle school boy learning (during occasional visits with the father) that the defendant had supported Trump. She presented her passionate support for Hillary and his vote for Trump as a vast moral gulf that the child was having trouble navigating. This prompted the therapist to remind the group that not all Trump voters were racists and sexists. Some people voted for Trump for “reasons that came out of their own pain” (i.e., the difference in voting behavior could not be explained by the fact that the person who is not subject to income tax (child support is tax-free) voted for a Democrat while the person who pays taxes voted for a Republican in hopes of facing lower tax rates).

I dumbfounded the group by asking “Would it make sense to try to point out some things that might be better for them under a Trump Administration compared to what they experienced in the last few years?” Jaws literally dropped.

The most practical-sounding advice from the therapist was to throw questions back at children. If a child says “X told me that Trump is a racist” then ask “What do you understand a racist to be?” This way the adult response is calibrated to what the child actually cares about.

The therapist noted that, although the walls of every school may be plastered with posters about tolerance, love, acceptance, etc., there remains aggression, a lot of which was let loose during the campaign. It is this aggression that is upsetting to children. She recommended reminding them repeatedly that they are safe (but see above for how she doesn’t truly believe it), kind of like the message to MIT undergraduates. “Model calm and confidence. Show them where is the strong place, the safe place.”

Bonus image of a non-deplorable’s car (taken the weekend following the election):

2016-11-12-14-27-19

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Why doesn’t your desktop PC or carrier-supplied router complain to the broadband carrier when the network is broken?

After two years of working well, my Verizon FiOS 75/75 service flaked out on a Sunday afternoon. Packets were dropped, even before it was possible to resolve host names via DNS. I managed to do an Ookla Speedtest from my phone and got 25/0.05 as the result.

Thus began a two-hour phone odyssey with Verizon tech support that began with a heavily accented person seemingly in a distant foreign land who was plainly reading from a script. He had ideas that were absurd if you thought about it for a few minutes, e.g., rebooting the wired desktop PC after a report that all devices connected either wirelessly or wired were unable to get Internet access. He ideas that were absurd if you thought it for 5 seconds, e.g., unplugging and checking the coax cable (untouched for two years since the install) going into the ActionTec router to see if it was “in good condition” (how would a consumer know?). He was preparing to send a service technician to the house later in the week, warning that if the problem turned out to be my PC rather than Verizon’s gear, we would be charged (amount unspecified). I asked “Do you have anyone there who is familiar with computer networking?”

The networking person (who asked me to tell him what was shown by a tracert) concluded that it was likely a problem with Verizon’s network and filed a trouble ticket. He also shipped out a new router in case the problem did turn out to be the router. By the next morning whoever had looked at the trouble ticket got everything working again.

As we talk about artificial intelligence and the glorious future of self-driving cars where we will be entrusting our lives to software, I wonder why it is a human job to look at network quality. Verizon actually supplied me with the ActionTec router. The router runs, I think, a full Unix operating system. Why doesn’t the router periodically measure network quality and, if there is a problem, use its last few packets of connectivity to alert Verizon tech support automatically? (Or maybe use the landline channel, which continued to work throughout this debacle.)

One of the great things about paying taxes to support the Great Father in Washington’s antitrust bureaucracy is that we get to choose from either 1 or 2 broadband Internet vendors in any given U.S. location. We also get to choose from device operating systems made by one of three companies: Microsoft, Google, and Apple. Why is it my job to sit at a Windows 10 browser and notice that web pages can’t be viewed? Why isn’t it Windows 10’s job to be able to detect a near-total network failure and send out UDP packets to the relevant monopoly broadband supplier? It is a pretty short list of vendors with whom Microsoft would need to agree on a protocol.

[And, separately, as long as we’re talking about AI, why can’t Microsoft Word notice that there is a bunch of non-bold small text interspersed with bold larger text and conclude from this that the large bold items are headings and should be “kept with next” automatically? Or at least prompt the author “Do you want to keep this with the next paragraph?”]

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My Dolphin Joke was NOT FUNNY?

A few days ago I posted a three-second video on Facebook (equivalent YouTube version) with the following caption: We met this dolphin in Sarasota. He said that he voted for Trump because he is enthusiastic about global warming and sea level rise. Why, we asked? “I want to move into a third floor condo in Miami,” he replied.

My Facebook friends, nearly all of whom supported Hillary Clinton, did not think this was funny! Is that because (a) it is in fact not funny, (b) they have a poor sense of humor, or (c) they’re still using up all of their emotions mourning the loss of President Hillary?

[Note that, as an engineer, I think that any solution to problems caused by atmospheric CO2 will be engineering and infrastructure solutions. The U.S. is a shrinking percentage of global CO2 output. We tend to be led by politicians with no technical or scientific background (see Why would anyone expect the U.S. to be a leader in dealing with CO2 emissions, climate change, etc.?). We are no longer great at engineering and we’re terrible at building infrastructure (see U.S. versus German infrastructure spending and results and High-speed Rail in California versus China). If the Earth does need to be saved from humans, I think that it will be Chinese and Germans who do the saving and therefore the American public’s choice of a president is not relevant.]

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Bed tents are the solution to Chinese-style population density?

U.S. population keeps growing (going forward, 88 percent due to immigration). Real estate in desirable locations keeps getting more expensive. It seems that the inevitable result will be an ever-higher percentage of Americans living in apartments where there are more unrelated adults than bedrooms, kind of like migrant workers already do in Chinese cities and young Americans already do in New York City (and San Francisco/Silicon Valley?). Could this bed tent be the wave of the future? What if it were upgraded with much thicker and multi-layer material for soundproofing?

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Best asphalt shingles?

Some choices are even tougher than Hillary Clinton v. Donald Trump…

We’re using a conventional wood-frame house as a combination of office and home. It was built in the late 1960s with perhaps 10 inches of fiberglass between the rafters. There are cathedral ceilings everywhere, hence no possibility of insulating an attic (no attic! Also no basement; architects back then were smart enough to foresee that America would become less cluttered and there would be no need to store anything). The basic shape of the house is the same as a double-wide trailer home. (But of course Zillow estimates the value at about $1 million due to the proximity to Boston and the general impracticality of building anything new in Massachusetts.)

A local architect suggested putting nail-base foam panels on top of the existing roof deck. This gives 3.5 inches of foam and and then another 0.5″ of OSB to which shingles can be nailed. Apparently this is a fairly common retrofit insulation technique for old-yet-modern-style houses like this one. There would be some foam injected into any gaps between the panels.

We then have a choice of whether to do ice-and-water shield over the entire roof or just the lower 6′. The advantage of not doing the whole thing is that maybe water vapor would have a better chance to escape?

On top of the ice-and-water shield we then have to pick shingles. This is where I am hoping to get answers from readers! Consumer Reports tested shingles in 2009 and found that high-end Owens Corning Berkshire Collection and CertainTeed Grand Manor were the best (strongest). Owens Corning Oakridge and CertainTeed Landmark were pretty good at about one third the price. The roof is only about 3750 square feet including budgeted waste, so I don’t think that the shingle price difference will be that large in the overall context of the project.

What do folks who’ve been through this recently have to say? How did you choose a shingle and what did you choose?

One more idea: Should we try to hold out for another year and get the Tesla solar energy tiles? It looks like a good product, but I wonder if it will be shipped within my lifetime. Also you probably wouldn’t want to do the north side of your house with these, right? So then you are supposed to find matching non-solar shingles for the north side?

[Note that this continues the theme of why you want to rent rather than buy; the brain of the homeowner is entirely filled up with boring stuff.]

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