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Some of my Facebook friends are celebrating the death of Phyllis Schlafly, most famous for her opposition to the Equal Rights Amendment:

Section 1. Equality of rights under the law shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any State on account of sex.

Section 2. The Congress shall have the power to enforce, by appropriate legislation, the provisions of this article.

Section 3. This amendment shall take effect two years after the date of ratification

Here’s a question for readers then… How would our world be different if the Equal Rights Amendment had passed? Most of these Constitutional provisions don’t have much effect until lawsuits are filed. Therefore we could ask “What litigation would have been spawned by this amendment?”

Related:

• “Why America Needs More Housewives Like Phyllis Schlafly” (Atlantic)

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Finishing up the Labor Day roundup…

Last month I got the Honda Odyssey (review) cleaned out at the beyond-awesome Allston Car Wash. It was about 95 degrees outside. One hundred percent of the folks whom I saw actually doing the cleaning were men. They were toiling with vacuum cleaners at the entrance. They were cleaning interior glass at the exit like the Karate Kid. There were only two women whom I encountered at the operation that 95-degree day. They were sitting behind the counter in an air-conditioned shop collecting money from customers.

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Another Labor Day posting…

Three years ago I wrote about how the tourist industry in Bar Harbor, Maine seems to depend on Eastern Europeans who come over for the summer (August 2013 posting). I was back on MDI this summer and the situation doesn’t seem to have changed. In my quest for restaurant meals, ice cream, etc., I encountered eager young workers from Moldova, Lithuania, Romania, Bulgaria, Poland, etc. I’m still kind of surprised that Americans don’t want to take these jobs, though I guess the author of the Redistribution Recession wouldn’t be (falling labor force participation rate). Even if you’re comfortably collecting welfare in the South or Texas, why not escape the heat for a few months in Maine?

[The majority of the Eastern European summer workers seemed to be young women. As the typical visitor to Bar Harbor is fairly prosperous, why weren’t they having sex with visitors and then returning home to harvest 18 years of child support at a minimum of $24,024 per year (see the Maine child support guidelines; if one were to have sex with a visitor from Boston and sue under Massachusetts family law the profit potential would be 23 years times $40,000)? The average monthly wage in Moldova is about $262 (source then converted with Google) or $3,144 per year. A pregnancy established in Maine with a high-income visitor would thus be 7.6X more lucrative than a full-time job in Moldova. I asked a few of the workers and they all expressed surprise that it was possible to collect child support at the Maine rates while back in Eastern Europe (see “Child Support Litigation without a Marriage” for more on the mechanics). They estimated the practical revenue available from a U.S. pregnancy at $0. Based on a hypothetical of a sexual encounter with a rich Wall Street visitor, their estimate of the maximum revenue obtainable by an American from an out-of-wedlock pregnancy was roughly $5,000/year (not too different from the actual German maximum).]

Aside from the fact that they took jobs that Americans, if motivated by a lack of available Welfare benefits, might have wanted, these immigrants seemed to be having a purely positive impact on the economy. They were showing up for 3-4 months, working hard, spending some of their wages on the local economy, and looking forward to returning home at the end of the season (between mid-September and October 1, depending on the worker). “I like it here but I miss my family,” said a Lithuanian. Maybe the secret to a successful guest worker program is to have it in a place where the customers disappear on a predictable date and the temperature drops well below zero.

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Happy Labor Day!

“Graduate Students Clear Hurdle in Effort to Form Union” (nytimes) says that graduate students, at least at Columbia, will be paying a fraction of their starvation wages to the United Automobile Workers, which the correct-thinking Democrats running the university will now be forced to recognize (university faculty and administrators have historically supported Democrats and unions everywhere except in this one little area of their own employees).

Given the glut of PhDs and the low cost of adjuncts I’m wondering if the unionization of graduate student labor will result in a heavier reliance on post-docs and adjuncts with PhDs. Why deal with the UAW when you can hire a fully trained PhD for less than a grad student?

Readers: What do you think? Will this lead to some restructuring?

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Chaos Monkeys: Obscene Fortune and Random Failure in Silicon Valley by Antonio Garcia Martinez contains an explanation of the H-1B visa system:

Skilled immigrant tech workers in the United States have effectively one method of entry: the famous H-1B visa. Capped at a small yearly number, it’s the ticket to the American Dream for a few tens of thousands of foreigners per year. Lasting anywhere from three to six years, the H-1B allows foreigners to prove themselves and eventually apply for permanent residency, the colloquial “green card.” Like the masters of old buying servants off the ship, tech companies are required to spend nontrivial sums for foreign hires. Many companies, particularly smaller startups, don’t want the hassle, and hire only American citizens, an imposed nativism nobody talks about, and which is possibly illegal. Big companies, which know they’ll be around for the years it will take to recoup their investment, are the real beneficiaries of this peonage system. Large but unexciting tech outfits like Oracle, Intel, Qualcomm, and IBM that have trouble recruiting the best American talent hire foreign engineers by the boatload. Consultancy firms that bill inflated project costs by the man-hour, such as Accenture and Deloitte, shanghai their foreign laborers, who can’t quit without being eventually deported. By paying them relatively slim H-1B-stipulated salaries while eating the fat consultancy fees, such companies get rich off the artificial employment monopoly created by the visa barrier. It’s a shit deal for the immigrant visa holders, but they put up with the five or so years of stultifying, exploitive labor as an admissions ticket to the tech First World. After that, they’re free. Everyone abandons his or her place at the oar inside the Intel war galley immediately, but there’s always someone waiting to take over.

Strictly speaking, H-1B visas are nonimmigrant and temporary, and so this hazing ritual of immigrant initiation is unlawful. Yet everyone’s on the take, including the government, which charges thousands in filing fees. The entire system is so riven with institutionalized lies, political intrigue, and illegal but overlooked manipulation, it’s a wonder the American tech industry exists at all. So into this bustling slave market, echoing with the clink of leg irons and the auctioneer’s cry, did we ignorantly wade. If Argyris was to join our as-yet-unnamed company, he’d need a work visa. In fact, forget working: he couldn’t even legally stay in the United States once Adchemy terminated him. Immigration law stipulates a former H-1 holder must leave the country within days. Thanks for building our tech industry, you dirty foreigner, now beat it. Was there a way out? Argyris, a proud Greek with an admirable display of Southern European enterprise and skill at sniffing out legal loopholes, found a solution. His longtime Turkish girlfriend, Simla, was studying for a PhD at Stanford under an F-1 student visa. Were they to marry, Argyris would qualify for an F-2 student spouse visa. This wouldn’t let him officially work in the States, but it would let him remain there.

More: read Chaos Monkeys: Obscene Fortune and Random Failure in Silicon Valley

Related:

• Shift of power from publishers to advertisers

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How much would you pay me to take you on a tour of most of the countries hit hardest by the Zika virus? Unless your job is public health or biomedical research, I’m guessing the answer is “not much.” Yet isn’t this precisely the offer made by Caribbean cruise lines? The cruises are planned out a couple of years in advance so at this point I guess they are locked into the route. But wouldn’t it make sense for everyone who is currently going to the Caribbean to instead cruise around the Indian Ocean or South Pacific?

Related:

• “Baltic Sea on Royal Caribbean’s Serenade of the Seas”

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Aside from the fact that my vote doesn’t count, I refuse to get excited about the Hillary v. Trump contest because it seems to me that the laws with the biggest effect on Americans’ lives are local and/or state. I’m wondering if the Internet, the Death of Print, and the Death of Local is responsible for Americans over-focusing on national elections. My friends on Facebook treat the Hillary v. Trump choice as a life-or-death decision. Yet if asked “What bad thing might happen to you if Trump were elected?” the best that they can come up with is that Trump would start a nuclear war (why would someone with extensive real estate interests in the U.S. want a nuclear war?).

Absent that forecast nuclear war, I cling to my belief that local/state laws are more relevant to citizens. Let’s work through a few Massachusetts examples.

State legislative level: our Legislature recently considered a bill to suggest (but not require) that family court judges assign children to shared parenting in the event that biological parents are divorced and/or were never married. I wrote about this in “Men in Massachusetts should simply not show up to defend restraining orders, divorces, and other family law matters?” Note that “shared parenting” might be simply every-other-weekend plus a few extra days here and there as opposed to every-other-weekend. State Senator Will Brownsberger, however, managed to kill the bill in committee (story) by expressing concerns about what happens when there is “high conflict” between the parties. As explained in our Massachusetts chapter, this means that any plaintiff wishing to win sole custody of a child can simply manufacture conflict by starting fights with the defendant (women have a 97-percent statistical chance of winning custody in Massachusetts, according to Census data from 2014; one lawyer noted that “This is a good state in which to work your mind and education, but it is a great state in which to work your body and child.”).

What were the stakes? Suppose that judges interpreted the new law to encourage actual 50/50 shared parenting like they have in some other states (e.g., Arizona). Assume two parents who each earn $125,000 per year and have a single joint child. Neither has been previously sued for alimony or child support. Assume that the mother sues the father (a 75-percent probability, according to our statistical study of a Massachusetts courthouse) and wins the current standard 70/30 schedule with the child. Under the Massachusetts guidelines, as the winner parent she gets $20,072/year tax-free plus perhaps the child’s actual expenses paid by the loser parent. Had the new law passed and had a judge been influenced by the new statute’s language, she would take care of the child 50 percent of the time and get… nothing. Over 23 years, she is approximately $461,656 poorer in after-tax dollars (her real estate costs will be the same whether the child lives with her 70 percent or 50 percent of the time; any reduction in food expenses will be minimal). All of this plays out regardless of who is in the White House. [Imagine the dislocation if Massachusetts adopted a German-style system! A plaintiff could have sex with the richest person in the state and collect only $6,000 per year in child support. There would be no alimony for the able-bodied. Legal fees would be a percentage of the amount in dispute. This would shut down one of the state’s largest industries and it wouldn’t matter what anyone in Washington, D.C. said.]

Thus, from a successful plaintiff’s point of view, the reelection of Will Brownsberger to the state legislature is much more important than who wins the White House.

Local laws and decisions in Massachusetts can also be more significant than the typical federal law. Do you care about your child’s education? The quality of that education is mostly determined at the town level here. Want your child to go to a charter school? There is apparently a state law that caps the number of charter schools and a current ballot question that seeks to work around the cap (the union for public school teachers opposes the ballot initiative). This fight goes on independent of who is giving speeches from the White House.

Would you prefer to go through life being totally stoned 24/7? Question 4 on our ballot will make that legal (Barney Frank supports this). Stoned versus straight makes a bigger difference to most people than most Supreme Court decisions, as does “imprisoned for smoking weed” versus “not being arrested in the first place.” (Note: If you are passionate about marijuana, vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson. New Yorker says that he was formerly CEO of ” Cannabis Sativa, Inc., a marijuana-branding company that hopes to benefit as legalization spreads.”)

Consider simpler pleasures. What if an American city were to build Copenhagen-style bicycle infrastructure? That would change the day-to-day experience for hundreds of thousands of people, possibly have a huge impact on public health, improve the environment, etc., and it could be done regardless of whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump was President.

There are, of course, federal programs that matter even if federal individuals may not. If you’re one of the 10+ million Americans collecting SSDI, for example, you would care about what happens in D.C. But the program dates back to 1956 (history) and it doesn’t seem likely that a new President will persuade Congress to drop it.

Readers: What do you think? Are your friends overinvolved with national elections that have little relevance to their personal situations?

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From Peter the Great: His Life and World, about which I will write more later, …

Since the earliest times, Russians had calculated the year not from the birth of Christ but from the moment when they believed the world had been created. Accordingly, by their reckoning, Peter returned from the West not in the year 1698 but in the year 7206. Similarly, Russians began the New Year not on January 1, but on September 1. This stemmed from their belief that the world was created in autumn when the grain and other fruits of the earth had ripened to perfection and were ready to pluck, rather than in the middle of winter when the earth was covered with snow. Traditionally, New Year’s Day, September 1, was celebrated with great ceremony, with the tsar and the patriarch seated on two thrones in a courtyard of the Kremlin surrounded by crowds of boyars and people. Peter had suspended these rites as obsolete, but September 1 still remained the beginning of the New Year.

But to blunt the argument of those who said that God could not have made the earth in the depth of winter, Peter invited them “to view the map of the globe, and, in a pleasant temper, gave them to understand that Russia was not all the world and that what was winter with them was, at the same time, always summer in those places beyond the equator.” To celebrate the change and impress the new day on the Muscovites, Peter ordered special New Year’s services held in all the churches on January 1. Further, he instructed that festive evergreen branches be used to decorate the doorposts in interiors of houses, and he commanded that all citizens of Moscow should “display their happiness by loudly congratulating” one another on the New Year. All houses were to be illuminated and open for feasting for seven days.

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I applied for Global Entry in the spring of 2016 and, absent a willingness to travel hundreds of miles from home, the first interview that I was able to get was in August. At that point no interviews were available at Logan Airport until April 2017.

I arrived at Logan Airport and found a Customs agent behind an inch-thick bulletproof glass screen. She directed me to a different office within Terminal E, next to the Dunkin’ Donuts. There is no reception area for this office, just a door with a lot of signs saying not to knock but instead to wait in the hallway until one’s time is called. My appointment was for 10:45 and at about 11:15 our group was called in. After looking at my passport and driver’s license, the agent looked at some records on a computer, offered the names of some countries that I had visited, and then asked if I had visited Canada or Mexico within the past five years. I told her that I had just recently returned from Canada (pilot convention in Quebec City!) and dredged up a distant memory of a Mexico trip. She also asked if I’d ever been arrested (no). Then she took my fingerprints, which is about the 10th time the government has done this (the previous 9 were associated with applications for various airport security badges; see USA Today for some information on this program, which is per-airport).

At all times the agent talking to me wore a thick bulletproof vest. Added to the bulletproof glass at the beginning of the process, I began to wonder if there had ever been attack on a Customs or Immigration agent at a U.S. airport. If they don’t have any cash, why would someone bother to go this deep into the airport? If the answer is the all-purpose “because, terrorism” then why would a terrorist want to go to an office containing just one person instead of the check-in area where hundreds of people congregate?

A few minutes after walking out the door I received an email notification from DHS (“via usdhs.onmicrosoft.com” indicating that these folks are proud customers of the Microsoft cloud?) saying that my application had been approved.

Given that what they need to do is mostly the same as what they do when people enter the U.S. (aren’t foreigners fingerprinted?), i.e., ask some questions and verify documents, I wonder if the backlog couldn’t be cleared by having Global Entry “interviews” done on-the-spot when Americans return to the U.S. and there isn’t a huge line. There is already a DHS agent talking to the American. There is already a fingerprint machine. The traveler already has his or her driver’s license and passport in nearly all cases.

Related:

• Clearing immigration and customs at Logan Airport

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The headline of the dpreview article is more encouraging than the full text… “Canon 5D Mark IV brings dramatic dynamic range improvements to the 5D line” ends up saying that the Nikon D810 and the Sony a7R II, both of which use Sony sensors, handle dynamic range much better than the new Canon.

For folks with a chest full of EOS lenses and a strong back to carry them all, perhaps this camera is worth the trip to Amazon. Meanwhile Sony is not resting. They’ve released a 50/2.8 Macro lens that can take a picture down to 1:1 magnification (i.e., a 24x36mm object will fill the frame of an a7). Press release on dpreview.com.

Perhaps it is worth a trip to Cologne this year for Photokina!

Related:

• What do folks think of the Canon EOS 5D Mark IV?

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