Airbus A380 more fuel-efficient than a Toyota Prius

The A380 arrived in the U.S. today. The plane can carry 81,890 gallons of fuel and flies 8000 nautical miles, i.e., it burns approximately 10 gallons of fuel per nautical mile or 9 gallons per statute mile. The plane can seat 850 people if configured as an all-economy ship, so the mpg per person is approximately 95 (assuming the plane is fully loaded, which most planes seem to be these days). The Prius gets around 45 mpg in real-world driving and, though it can seat 5, is typically occupied by one person.

[I once saw an analysis of overall per-passenger-mile transportation cost, including capital investment and labor costs. The Boeing 747 was the cheapest form of transportation, period.]

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University of Maryland

I’m attending a meeting at the University of Maryland. Some of its top bureaucrats reminded us that Maryland was ranked 18th in the world in social sciences and 15th in engineering. That’s pretty good for a school that gives bright Maryland kids a free ride through their honors program (they even pay for textbooks).

A bigger difference between U. Maryland and schools in Massachusetts is the connection to government. The campus is punctuated by U.S. military personnel in uniform. The meeting here is attended by ministers of telecom from diverse countries in Africa as well as officials from the U.S. Department of State and US AID. A U. Maryland graduate will learn about opportunities in government that would never occur to an undergraduate at a school outside of the Washington, D.C. area.

Warts: The Quality Inn, College Park (5 kbps Internet access); the post-9/11 security provisions that have rendered the College Park airport essentially useless.

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Opportunities for HIV contrarians

The New Yorker’s March 12 issue carries an article entitled “The Denialists–AIDS mavericks and the damage they do” about folks, mostly in Africa, who say that HIV does not cause AIDS and is in fact basically harmless. The article tries to cover all sides of the issue, but leaves out what to me is the most powerful evidence that HIV is something you don’t want to have in your system.

If you know that HIV is harmless and most people think HIV is deadly, that opens up an opportunity to make near-infinite money. You simply write life insurance policies for the HIV-positive, a group that other insurers shun. If an African politician says “HIV doesn’t cause AIDS”, all you need to ask is “How come you’re not investing in life insurance for HIV-positive folks?”

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Official MIT opinion on Korean-Americans

From the March 9, 2007 Tech. The story is about a Chinese kid, Jian Li, who has asked the U.S. Department of Education to review Princeton’s race-based admissions system. The fun part is from 1998, when Henry Park, a top student from a top prep school, applied to a bunch of high-priced colleges, including MIT, and was rejected. The MIT Dean of Admissions, Marilee Jones, said, never having met the guy, “It’s possible that Henry Park looked like a thousand other Korean kids… yet another textureless math grind.”

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Weight Loss service: obese people who will join you at dinner

Conversation turned the other day to Tony Packo’s, the Hungarian restaurant in Toledo, Ohio that Klinger talked about on the TV show MASH. I only finished about half of my meal there because there were so many corpulent people at nearby tables.

This led to a new idea for a weight loss service: rent out obese people to those who wish to lose weight. Every time you sit down for a meal, your new 300 lb. friends will join you at the table. It won’t be a struggle to leave something on your plate.

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“Search is not a business” — Nathan Myhrvold

One of the funny parts of Founders at Work is Nathan Myhrvold, paid to be the smartest guy at Microsoft, saying “Search is not a business” to the founders of Excite in 1995 (page 68). Joe Kraus goes on to say “By 1997, everybody was diversifying into portal stragies, because nobody knew how to make money from search. Search was viewed as the traffic director to other more profitable businesses…”

More wisdom from Kraus:

I see way too many people give up in the startup world. … Recruiting is a classic example. I don’t even hear the first “no” that somebody says. … It’s hard to identify talent, but great people don’t look for jobs, great people are sold on jobs. And if they’re sold they’re going to say no at first. You have to win them over.

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Don’t try to shoot people from a helicopter

The exciting social life of a helicopter instructor… clearing off the desk on a Saturday night. Before I throw out the February 2007 Rotor and Wing magazine, I thought it worth relating the results of an experiment by a police department SWAT team. They loaded a bunch of sharpshooters and their rifles into a helicopter, went up, and tried to shoot some person-sized (stationary) paper targets on the ground. Unlike in the movies, the guys in the helicopter were not able to hit anything on the ground. Meanwhile, despite wearing earplugs and a helmet, the pilot was getting a terrible headache from the noise of the sniper rifle firing. They do shoot goats from helicopters in the Galapagos, but somehow it doesn’t work here. The author concluded that nothing less than an Apache would suffice for the police to use against perpetrators…

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Kirby Chambliss, air racer

Disagreeing with Carnegie on the virtue of leisure, Kirby Chambliss, champion air racer, explains how he answers those who ask what it costs to race: Everything. “It takes all you have,” says Kirby. “If you’re trying to be the best in the world at something, no matter what it is, you need to dedicate your life to it. You can be sure your competitors will.”

Is it dangerous to fly under bridges going 200 mph? “You live and learn, or you die and you don’t. … You may forget the danger, but every few months, one of your buddies reminds you by killing himself.”

[March/April 2007 Pilot Journal]

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Andrew Carnegie

I finally finished the 800-page biography of Andrew Carnegie, which perhaps is a sign of having too much time on my hands.

The strongest impression that I get from the book is that Carnegie was the Bill Gates of his day. Carnegie became the richest man in the world through a combination of intelligence, hard work at an early age, a certain amount of what we today would regard as illegal insider trading, and connections. Once he was the richest guy in the world, everyone listened to everything he said very carefully. He looked around and decided that the greatest evil facing the world was war. War did not provide who was right, only who was stronger. After concluding that he was, in addition to being the richest guy in the world, probably one of the smartest, he invested much of his money and most of his energy in achieving peace among nations. Folks such as Teddy Roosevelt privately thought that he was an old fool, but nobody would say it to his face. Carnegie pushed for peace and mediation among nations and spent four of the last five years of his life watching World War I sweep through Europe.

[The analogy with Bill Gates is that, after becoming both the richest and smartest guy in the world, he decided that he could solve the problems of poverty and disease in Africa that had defied attempts by the world’s biggest governments and NGOs.]

Some parts of the book that stuck out for me…

Page 113: In December 1868, Carnegie was 33 years old and had accumulated a fortune of $400,000, equivalent to $75 million today. He decided that this was sufficient for a comfortable lifestyle and whatever he earned on top of the $75 million would be spent on charity. Carnegie is well known for believing that, since wealth was only possible in an advanced society, accumulated wealth should be returned to the community. What is not well known is that he thought it was only incumbent upon men to start doing this once they’d risen out of the middle class lifestyle that $75 million would provide!

Page 133: Carnegie retired at age 37, the same age that Rossini retired (and the author of this Weblog).

Page 141: Much of Carnegie’s wealth was owed to tariffs, proving then as now that lobbying the federal government is the best investment that any business can make. The free trade advocates in the 1870s were the Democrats, though. Carnegie was a Republican and it was the pro-business Republicans who stuck it to American consumers with big tariffs that prevented efficient British steel manufacturers from dominating the U.S. market.

Page 150: “Carnegie was, it appeared, as he approached age forty, beginning to advertise his availability as an eligible bachelor.”

Page 197: “Carnegie, who [age 44] was only two years younger than Louise’s father would have been, appeared at first a most unlikely suitor for the 23-year-old woman. He was tiny, white-bearded, devoted to and living with his mother, and growing stouter by the day.”

Carnegie did not preach hard work. He believed that wealth came from having the right connections and capable subordinates.

Page 203: “Your always busy man accomplishes little; the great doer is he who has plenty of leisure.” It was the height of foolishness, he had found, to delay gratification and put off retirement until one was too old to enjoy it. … “Among the saddest of spectacles to me is that of an elderly man occupying his last years grasping for more dollars.” Americans, Carnegie declared, were of all the world’s peoples the most victimized by a work ethic gone mad. … “Americans were the saddest looking race we had seen. LIfe is so terribly earnest here. Ambition spurs us all on, from him who handles the spade to him who employes thousands.” … Americans, Carnegie was convinced, worked harder than was necessary and much harder than the British. [some things never change!] “No toilers, rich or poor, like the Americans!” he remarked.

Page 257: “I believe the day is coming when a man who leaves more than a million at his death, except for public uses, will be regarded as not having properly administered that for which he was only the trust.” [$1 million back in 1885 was probably more like the $75 million figure we got earlier, so don’t feel bad if you are leaving the McMansion to the kids…]

Carnegie thought that giving big $$ to children was a bad idea.

Page 352: Poverty, he claimed, not wealth, was the “only school capable of producing the supremely great, the genius.” Inherited wealth robbed the inheritors of their self-respect and blocked the “fittest” from advancing. No society could reach its highest potential if it gave the rich an advantage over the poor in attaining positions of leadership and responsbility.

Page 363: In 1888, the unskilled mill workers, mostly recent immigrants from Eastern Europe, earned 14 cents/hour, equivalent to $3/hour in today’s money. [This compares to $5-11/hour for unskilled recent immigrants working in the U.S. today]

Carnegie wanted to be respected as a writer and tapered down his work responsibilities so that he would have more time to write. The less he needed to do, though, the less he was able to do.

Page 399: “It does not seem possible for me to get down to work,” he wrote Champlin; “really I don’t feel able to sit down and apply myself.”

Page 662: “I think the Scotch a pretty smart people, but I must say I think the Jews are smarter. I think I’m a little afraid of them.” [quoted by the New York Times]

Page 695: “The time is coming, much more rapidly than we dream when war will be a thing of the past.” [1907, Carnegie aged 72]

Page 707: “Those who want to start on their own account without capital betray a lack of judgment that will prevent them from ever being successful men.” [i.e., you’ll impress more people by raising money and underperforming the S&P 500 than you will by using your own limited resources and achieving a return on investment of 200 percent]

Page 767: Carnegie leaves his wife with all of his real estate (worth $100 million today?) and the modern equivalent of at least $25 million in today’s money in liquid assets. This was considered a minimal bequest.

Page 794: The richest man in the world, who had traveled everywhere and could have lived anywhere, chooses to spend the last years of his life at Shadowbrook, a 900-acre estate on Lake Mahkeenac, two miles west of Lenox, Massachusetts. Maybe a friend from Pittsfield was right when she observed that the Berkshires are the most beautiful place in the world.

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