Female-to-male gender transition is a smart move for a 17-year-old applying to college?

by philg

A friend’s 17-year-old asserts a male gender ID (I refrained from pointing out that a room packed with cosmetics is not traditionally part of the male teenager lifestyle). The incomplete and non-surgical/non-hormonal transition is from heterosexual female to homosexual male.

Given that this gender-fluid person will soon be applying to colleges, I’m wondering if the new gender ID will be helpful. Except for elite schools, I think that admissions standards are lower for students identifying as “men” (the majority of college students identify as “women” and schools seek to avoid a gender ID imbalance).

Readers: What do you think? Is this 17-year-old best-off applying as (1) simply male, (2) transgender, or (3) gay male? College admission forms are heavy on race-related questions, but do they even ask if someone falls into an unusual gender or sexual-preference category?

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A new film camera system introduced in 2001

by philg

Digging through some old content I found this article on the Contax N1 system, a film SLR system to compete with Canon EOS and Nikon. It was introduced in 2001! (The Kodak (/Nikon) DCS digital SLR came out in 1991. The Canon D30 came out in May 2000; the professional EOS 1D in 2001)

There were a lot of bright people at Kyocera and Zeiss behind this. Let’s forgive ourselves next time we miss a trend that seems obvious in retrospect!

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Experiments with a new camera mount system for aircraft

by philg

One of the best things that I saw at Oshkosh was Flight Flix, a vibration-isolation system for mounting an action camera on an airplane or helicopter. I purchased mounts for the Cirrus SR20’s tie-down ring and the tow ball underneath the R44 and have begun testing these with the Drift action camera that the company favors due to its long battery life and easily rotated lens for proper “horizon up” orientation. I’m wondering if readers can help with critiques on a couple of tests from the SR20 under-wing mount:

Which one seems better? (“better” = “more stable”) Thanks in advance!

(It was a slightly challenging day for a “stable video” test, with winds gusting up to 18 knots and bumpy air through about 3,000′.)

Dream #1 is to get footage from a $199/hour airplane that looks as good as footage from a $199 drone. Dream #2 will be to get footage from a $369/hour helicopter that looks as good as footage from a $369 drone!

[So far I am not loving the Drift camera. The connection between the camera and the Drift app on an iPhone X is tenuous and I have found it tough to make the settings stick or even start and stop the camera reliably. By contrast, the integration between a phone and the DJI Osmo camera is so tight that feels like using a regular camera’s electronic viewfinder. Support from Flight Flix has been excellent, on the other hand, and they seem to have thought of almost everything. Flight Flix has produced some inspiring sample videos with the Drift, so I know that it can be done even if not by me! And the four-hour battery life (Wi-Fi off; bigger battery option) seems realistic.]

One thing that strikes me as odd is that airframe manufacturers haven’t added mounts for action cameras, both inside and outside, on their latest versions. Wouldn’t most people who spend $800,000+ on a new Cirrus want the option of making a recording without hanging something off a tie-down ring?

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Finding meaning in Academia

by philg

From a tenured (non-STEM) academic friend on Facebook:

What a great turnout at the session”And Yet She Persisted : Tools to Succeed as a Woman Academic”. I, along with 8 other female academics, shared stories of persistence. … probably the most personally meaningful session I ever participated in,

(A friend previously asked if a book titled “She Persisted” was about Massachusetts divorce plaintiffs.)

This was over a photo of a room filled with people… all of them appearing to identify as “female” (would it be okay to run a “Tools to Succeed as a Male Academic” session with an all-male audience? Women receive more than 50 percent of PhDs so men building careers are now in the minority.).

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Oshkosh Reflections and Tips for Next Time

by philg

EAA’s AirVenture (“Oshkosh”) was packed in 2018, no mean feat in what is supposedly a dying industry. Airplane parking at KOSH and general aviation camping were both full by Monday afternoon, the first official day of the event (a lot of folks arrive early).

My companions laughed at me for making an IFR reservation for our arrival. After we landed we heard about people who had been forced to hold for literally hours trying to get in on Saturday or Sunday (a lot of marginal VFR weather resulted in bottlenecks). IFR reservations via STMP aren’t that tough to get, even same-day, due to the fact that people make them and don’t confirm. We went out IFR as well.

If flying in and camping, my advice would be to arrive Wednesday evening or Thursday morning. By then a lot of campers have departed and some prime spots become available. You would still have four full days to enjoy the event. Make sure not to miss the night airshow, which is Wednesday and Saturday evenings. We were awed by Nathan Hammond doing aerobatics in an LED-festooned fireworks-launching Super Chipmunk. Like Burning Man, but without the dust storms!

One question that we couldn’t answer from EAA’s web site was “How do we park a car if we’re airplane camping at Oshkosh?” A friend drove in from Chicago and met us in our tent site. It turned out that the folks collecting the money for our camp site asked “Do you need a parking space for a car?” and for $10/day we got one right next to the beginning of the North 40. This was helpful for escaping “show food” at Manila and Gardina’s. It was also a pleasant way to get to the seaplane base.

We met several people who’d had mobile phones stolen from the charging stations distributed around the camp sites. The smart folks (i.e., not us) arrived with portable phone chargers so that they could charge a battery and keep their phones with them. Another dumb thing that we did was bring our own payload-robbing tie-down kit. EAA rents far better ones for use at the show for $20 ($30 minus $10 when returned). (The tie-down guys will also graciously let you charge a phone inside their shack, secure from the roving thieves!)

EAA does a remarkable job of keeping traffic moving during the show. Nonetheless, given the vagaries of flying in and the hassles of getting to and from the show by private car, I think the most sensible approach might be to stay in a University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh dorm room and catch the bus or an Uber to the center of EAA. Given that there are nonstop flights from everywhere in the U.S. to Chicago, it is a 2.5-hour drive from O’Hare Airport, and it is kind of nice to have a car at Oshkosh, there is no great argument to be made for flying in unless you’ve got an unusual plane to show off (our Avidyne-equipped Cirrus turns out to be one of 4,000 built!).

We paid up for the EAA Aviators Club (about $135 per day), which serves meals in an air-conditioned super-tent. We figured that it would be a necessary escape from the 95-degree heat and the crush of show crowds. 2018 turned out to be a relatively cool and comfortable year, however, and we got sick of the club buffet food pretty quickly. It was noisy inside the tent and it wasn’t difficult to get equally good seats for the airshow (if you were willing to carry folding chairs!). The owners’ lounge that Cirrus ran within its pavilion was actually a much better place to chill out, though it had no view of the flight line. On the third hand, it was nice to be able to charge our phones at the Aviators Club without worrying about having them stolen! And it was a convenient place to meet, pick up a cold seltzer, etc.

Interesting destinations we learned about…

  • National WASP Museum in Sweetwater, Texas (unfortunately no parking on their ramp; why can’t there be more fly-in museums?)
  • Dakota Territory Air Museum in Minot, North Dakota (some interesting warbirds that rotate through, plus a large permanent collection)

Interesting products that we saw…

  • aural angle of attack project
  • Flight Flix camera mounts. The example videos are impressively stable. The isolation is provided via an elastomer mount.
  • Nulite ring lights that replace the hideous and uneven post lights in steam gauge aircraft such as Pipers and Robinsons (though I’m sure that Robinson would rip them right back out during a factory overhaul!)
  • Dynon D3 Pocket Panel ($995 glass panel that does nearly everything that a $50,000 Garmin option package on a VFR-only Robinson R44 will do, and with essentially equivalent safety or that a $350,000 retrofit King AeroVue glass cockpit does in a King Air)

If the success of EAA AirVenture proves that general aviation isn’t dead, the pace of innovations for products on display proves that the general aviation industry is more or less dead. BendixKing is a great example of corporate suicide. They have an enormous installed base of transponders. Do they make a plug-compatible ADS-B IN/OUT replacement? No. They make a transponder that is ADS-B OUT only. So all of their customers are getting avionics shops to rewire for the Garmin 345. Why couldn’t BendixKing read the full ADS-B spec and implement it? Something that the portable electronics folks have managed to do for a few hundred dollars? Their folks at the show had no answer to this, though they acknowledged that they were losing customers every day to Garmin.

Avidyne is another good example of corporate suicide. They made roughly 4,000 PFD/MFD glass cockpits for Cirrus aircraft until the OEM switched to the Garmin G1000. Do they have an “in-the-box” solution for -G2 Cirrus owners that will put synthetic vision into the PFD and some ADS-B capabilities on the MFD? No. What are their customers doing? Converting to Garmin in a piecemeal fashion (soon it will be as tough to get maintenance for a Cirrus as for an old Cessna or Piper because the shop won’t have any idea what to expect for panel contents and wiring).

Speaking of suicide, how dangerous is it when 10,000 aircraft fly into a handful of airports in a small region for a week? KOSH supposedly saw 19,588 operations during an 11-day period (roughly 135 per hour during the 13 hours per day of official open time, so fairly close to a normal day at five-runway KATL (2,460 operations/day on average)). The NTSB database shows only four accidents in all of Wisconsin from July 1 through August 1, 2018. One of them was fatal, that of a 1950s DeHavilland Venom fighter jet. Some planes crashed before reaching Wisconsin, of course, but considering how many homebuilts and antiques gather it seems remarkably safe.

Airshow acts that I especially enjoyed:

  • David Martin in a Beechcraft Baron (amazing to see what can be done without exceeding the limits of a normal-category airplane)
  • Jim Peitz in an F33C Bonanza (amazing to see what can be done in a four-seat family airplane that was beefed up at the factory for aerobatics)
  • Jeff Boerboon in a “Yak-110” (two Yak-55s glued together… with a turbojet engine stuck in the middle)
  • Aaron Fitzgerald in the Red Bull Bo 105 helicopter (loops and rolls that you can do only once in a Robinson or Bell!)
  • Patty Wagstaff in an Extra 330S
  • Mike Goulian from our KBED home in an Extra 330SC
  • Philipp Steinbach in the GB1 GameBird (see previous post)
  • pair of Grumman F7F Tigercats (beautiful on the ground as well)

Least favorite airshow act: a synchronized drone array. These stayed pretty far from the crowd so it was essentially a bunch of lights that could have been replicated with a big TV (it is possible to project 3D onto 2D!). Unless the drones are all around a crowd I don’t understand why a 3D array of drones is more compelling to watch than a big TV (or your phone held up close to your eyes).

[Separately, would it still be fun to watch one of these aerobatics acts if entirely flown by computer? I couldn’t find anyone who thought it would be difficult to have software replicate the maneuvers, including adjusting for wind, of the aerobatic champions.]

The craziest people I met? A couple from Texas who spent 15 years building a turbine-powered Rotorway helicopter. He is a helicopter CFI so he plainly knows about the existence of used Robinson R22s! He now has 43 hours on the machine (half as many as one of our flight school’s R44s might fly in a busy summer month) and is already thinking about selling it to begin another project. Runner-ups: Essentially anyone who builds a kit airplane. The world is drowning in certified airframes. Why not take one, convert it to Experimental, and then do whatever is desired?

[Actually, the founder of EAA, Paul Poberezny, was a good example of this kind of craziness. He flew all kinds of high-performance aircraft in the USAF, including the P-51 Mustang. Then he came home to Wisconsin to build low-performance slab-sided airplanes and fly them. Imagine if a Ferrari race car driver decided to build dune buggies for fun.]

I’ve resolved to go to Oshkosh more frequently. In a world where almost everyone thinks it is crazy/stupid to fly light aircraft (why not buy a JetBlue ticket for $69 instead?), it is nice to be in an asylum for 100,000+ folks who love to fly despite the irrationality of it all.

Related:

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Foreigners toiling in the hot Cape Cod summer

by philg

We just had a family vacation at a hotel just over the bridge into Cape Cod (“Work is the best vacation,” was Senior Management’s summary after breaking up sand fights between the 4.5- and 3-year-old). Our hotel and the restaurants in Falmouth, Massachusetts were staffed primarily with Eastern Europeans and folks from the Caribbean.

“They’re here from May through September,” explained one of the rare local waitresses. “I’ve learned all of the Serbian swear words.”

Our hotel was within a reasonable commute from the unemployment capitals of Massachusetts (Fall River and New Bedford). Rather than paying all of the bureaucrats and paper-shufflers to get these foreigners here on temporary visas, wouldn’t it make more sense to hire jobless natives to clean rooms and bus tables?

“They’re all on Section 8 [free housing] and MassHealth [Medicaid; free healthcare],” explained a manager, “so they’re happy to work for cash, but we have to pay W-2 so it doesn’t make sense for them to take a temporary job and risk losing their benefits.”

Given that the $75/night motel rooms on the Cape are now renting for $500+/night, why wouldn’t some of the foreigners seek to profit from Massachusetts’s unlimited child support system? I asked a few of the H-2B guest workers what they thought would be the maximum financial windfall from a brief interlude with a hypothetical dentist visiting from the Boston suburbs. They typically estimated annual cashflow of $5,000 per year (the correct answer for a sexual encounter in Germany), with a maximum estimate of $10,000 per year for 18 years (in fact, the guidelines provide for $40,000 per year for 23 years with additional judge-set amounts when a defendant earns more than $250,000 per year). They were aware that it was possible to collect child support without having been married, but not aware that it was possible to collect it while residing back in Eastern Europe, nor that a state-run bureaucracy existed to collect the money for them.

What did the guest workers like best about the Cape? Those from the Caribbean said “the cool dry weather.” Those from Eastern Europe said “the chance to improve my English.”

The H2-B workers seemed to be doing all of the jobs except management. There were Eastern Europeans checking guests in and out at the front desk. There were Caribbeans waiting tables as well as busing them.

While I was there a #Resisting friend posted this on Facebook:

I was going to get on Facebook to rant that we should all ignore the white supremacist march in D.C., but it seems that we (on my FB feed) are already all ignoring it. Excellent. But I will rant anyhow: 400 people wouldn’t even make the news if there were no counter-protestors (I know, from having been in marches that size). By comparison, there are probably more than 50000 tourists in D.C. right now. “Real” rallies in D.C. have at least 100000 people.

Her friends responded that it was actually only a gathering of 10 to 30 haters and thousands of righteous folks who hate the haters (plus thousands of overtime-collecting police officers?). My response, which garnered 0 “likes”:

Today I attended a gathering of roughly 200,000 white people. Traffic was slowed to a crawl and local services were overwhelmed. A handful of counter-protesters had been brought in from Eastern Europe and the Caribbean. The white supremacists said that they called their movement “Cape Cod.” (Census data regarding the 93% whiteness)

Our best tip for Falmouth with kids: Flying Bridge Restaurant, from which everyone can watch boats in the marina. If the food is slow to arrive the kids can walk up and down the edge of the marina. Maison Villatte is a great/authentic French bakery, though not a great choice for kids due to long lines in the summer (waiting to be served by an authentic Russian H2-B visa holder!).

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Meet for breakfast in Denver (Golden) on Tuesday morning?

by philg

Folks:

I’ll be in Denver (Golden, actually) from Monday morning through Thursday morning. Would anyone like to meet for breakfast at the Table Mountain Inn on Tuesday morning (August 21)? 0800? Alternatively…

  • the Wings over the Rockies Museum on Monday morning
  • the Morrison Natural History Museum on Tuesday or dinner before Rodrigo y Gabriela
  • Boulder on Wednesday
  • Thursday morning breakfast at the Table Mountain Inn
  • Beaver Creek on Saturday or Sunday

Let me know! Email philg@mit.edu or text me at 617-864-6832.

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Sony continues to crush Canon and Nikon

by philg

This press release from Sony says that they are now #1 in sales of full-frame digital cameras in the U.S. The Alpha mirrorless system was launched only in 2010 (photography history timeline). The first Nikon-brand camera was produced in 1948. The first Canons go back to the mid-1930s (dpreview).

Sony is not all that gracious when it comes to their competition:

As DSLRs fade into the history books of photography,

but maybe that’s because the competition was not sufficiently diverse to survive?

The “Be Alpha” campaign will also feature programs that are designed to foster growth in both the current and next generations of imaging professionals, the most notable of which being the flagship “Alpha Female” program. This multi-tiered, female exclusive program is Sony’s thoughtful response to the imaging industry’s well-documented diversity challenges. It will include a variety of grants and mentorship opportunities for female photographers and videographers, as well as the production of several large-scale industry events.

[If the program is “female exclusive” and the opportunities are limited to “female photographers and videographers”, does it exclude the gender non-conforming? (see UC Berkeley list of terms)]

How did Canon and Nikon let this market get away from them? Ford and GM were eventually able to bounce back and meet the new competition (okay, it took $70 billion in taxpayer funds to prop up GM, but Ford didn’t get a bailout).

Can it be that these companies were locked into obsolete technology? The Nikon F lens mount (1959?) has some well-known deficiencies (so they scrapped it for their own late-to-the-market mirrorless effort), but Canon’s EOS mount was new in 1987. What does it lack compared to the Sony E-mount other than the short flange focal distance? What would have stopped Canon from making a mirrorless mount (they already did a half-assed APS-C one, EF-M) and throwing in a bunch of adapters for legacy lenses?

It can’t be that these companies lacked the ability to engineer a “mirrorless” digital system. They were making “mirrorless” rangefinder cameras with interchangeable lenses back in the 1950s. The compact digital cameras that they’ve been making for nearly 20 years are essentially the same as a Sony mirrorless body plus lens, but without mount/unmount capability.

It can’t be that making high quality sensors is impossible for anyone but Sony. Toshiba makes some excellent high-dynamic range sensors. Nikon was able to buy sensors from both Sony and Toshiba. I think that Samsung makes its own sensors for cameras such as the NX500 and DxOMark testing shows that these have excellent dynamic range. Presumably Canon could have partnered with Samsung if they couldn’t figure out how to tune up their own sensor design.

Readers: What’s the answer? How does Sony walk away with it all?

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My tuition-free MIT idea gets implemented… by NYU

by philg

“Surprise Gift: Free Tuition for All N.Y.U. Medical Students” (nytimes):

The New York University School of Medicine announced on Thursday that it would cover the tuition of all its students, regardless of merit or need, citing concerns about the “overwhelming financial debt” facing graduates.

N.Y.U. said that it had raised more than $450 million of the $600 million that it anticipates will be necessary to finance the tuition plan. About $100 million of that has been contributed by Kenneth G. Langone, the founder of Home Depot, and his wife, Elaine, for whom the medical school is named.

I proposed this idea for MIT back in 1998 (article), not because of a grand moral imperative but because I thought MIT wouldn’t be able to compete with Harvard for the best students. It was also an easy time to raise money due to the (first) dotcom boom/bubble that was then inflating.

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With a cap on Ubers they will mostly hang out in the richest neighborhoods?

by philg

In “New York restrictions on Uber will increase inequality?” I wondered about how the profits from this new government regulation would be distributed.

Now I’m wondering about the cars themselves. Taxis were capped in NYC for decades (leading to the $1 million medallion price). The result was that taxis were plentiful in rich parts of Manhattan and scarce in poorer and outlying neighborhoods. I wonder if the same thing will happen with Ubers now that they’re capped. Manhattan and hipster Brooklyn will be packed with Ubers while folks who live elsewhere… can walk.

Readers: Does the above make sense?

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