Department of Poor Timing: Flying Across Russia cover story

Cover story in the March 2022 issue of a printed-and-mailed magazine for Cirrus pilots: “Flying Across Russia”.

Here’s the route that John R. Bone, a Florida-based pilot retired from Delta Airlines, took in July 2021:

(the trip from Florida to Iqaluit and Iceland was a mere prelude) The SR22 has enough range that there was no need to install ferry tanks for the over-water legs.

Captain Bone describes a Russian general aviation community that is well-integrated with the rest of the world and where everyone is friendly to Americans.

At press time, the author/editor added “given the current situation in the Ukraine, you should consult with the U.S. State Department for any trip in the region.”

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Asset price inflation + inflation = demotivation for successful people?

Although quite a few people of modest means enjoy aviation as a hobby, those of us who fly small aircraft often encounter the financially comfortable ($10-100 million in savings; when a house in Palm Beach costs $210 million, a centimillionaire can’t be considered “rich”). U.S. government coronapanic policies made these folks quite a bit wealthier, sometimes doubling their net worth in nominal dollars. At the same time, what they’re able to charge for working hasn’t changed too much and the Trump tax law changes caused their marginal tax rate to go up (state income tax no longer deductible from federal).

All of these people have enough savings to retire, but many continued to work when a year of hard work could increase their net worth by 5 percent. Quite a few of them have said that they’ve scaled back their efforts ever since asset prices took off. A year of hard work will now bump the net worth by only 2 percent and the typical person I’m writing about is in his 50s or early 60s. He might have only 10 more years of reliably good health. Why spend that final decade of vigor at a desk and starting at a computer if it won’t move the wealth needle significantly? These people already own a house, a vacation house, and a reasonably new fleet of vehicles. They don’t have a landlord demanding a 40 percent rent increase. Why not play tennis, kiteboard, hit the golf course, ski every day, or travel?

Does it matter to an economy when more of the most successful people retire younger? If we assume that their financial success can be attributed to luck, then it might be good. More positions will be open at the top of various enterprises, which will motivate people in their 40s to work harder. If, on the other hand, we assume that hard work, skill, and intelligence were primarily responsible for success, the American workforce is losing a lot of its best people.

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Refugees from Justin Trudeau’s Canada staying in Florida

We’ve been seeing cars with Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick license plates here in Florida. A surprising number say that they won’t be going back to Canada unless forced to. They cite the Canadian government’s lockdowns, mask orders, vaccine coercion, and dissent suppression as reasons for staying in the Florida Free State. As with the Science-following states of the Northeast, Canada made it easy for taxpayers to leave. It was illegal to work or study in person, for example, and every possible activity that could be moved to Zoom was moved to Zoom. This allowed a Canadian we met to enroll in an athletic training program here in Florida while simultaneously continuing his Canadian college education via Zoom. His parents followed him to Florida so now they’ll all here, paying Florida’s 6 percent sales tax instead of Canada’s 15 percent and, indirectly (via rent), paying Florida property tax.

This is straight out of Exit, Voice, and Loyalty (1970):

The basic concept is as follows: members of an organization, whether a business, a nation or any other form of human grouping, have essentially two possible responses when they perceive that the organization is demonstrating a decrease in quality or benefit to the member: they can exit (withdraw from the relationship); or, they can voice (attempt to repair or improve the relationship through communication of the complaint, grievance or proposal for change). For example, the citizens of a country may respond to increasing political repression in two ways: emigrate or protest.

If the northern border were as open as the southern border and Canadians could therefore migrate freely, I wonder how many would choose the comparative freedom of the U.S. states that remained mostly free during coronapanic (ranking).

Loosely related, some beachgoers on Sanibel Island who are as free as birds…

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Porn for Californians

From Lost River Road in Stuart, Florida:

(the “lost river” runs right along Interstate 95 and features a Marriott as well as a Cracker Barrel)

The $4.20 price for gasoline is actually not the lowest that we’ve recently seen in Florida. One station had it for $3.98. By contrast, the Google shows that the Chevron gas station where I used to fill up near HP Labs in Palo Alto is at $6.16.

Related:

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Waiting 18+ months to get 15 mpg in a Ford Bronco

From what I have observed, there is no better way to tackle the perfectly smooth roads between a suburban Florida house and the perfectly smooth paved parking lot next to the beach than in an off-road vehicle equipped with monster mud-tread tires. The neighborhood elite seem to have been acquiring Ford Broncos for this purpose. I talked to a Ford dealer about what would be entailed in getting an Everglades edition Bronco. No orders can be placed currently. There is no waiting list. When ordering is restarted at some unknown future date, the wait to buy one at MSRP will be approximately 18 months.

Here are the steel tube doors “for off-road use only” that the neighbors are using on the street:

In typical driving, I think this machine would be lucky to get 15 mpg and it is on target for delivery at the same time that gasoline reaches $10 per gallon. How can that be justified? Friends on Facebook who are passionate Democrats have been posting the following meme:

I think that the idea is that nobody should be upset with Presidents Biden and Harris regarding the high price of gasoline ($2.30/gallon in January 2021, at the end of the hated dictator’s rule). But we could also use the above meme to toss aside all concerns regarding climate change. As long as we have the money to buy a pavement-melting Bronco and fill it with dinosaur blood we should be “thankful” and not worry about what is happening to Mother Earth, to those who don’t have the money, etc.

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Update children’s cartoons to meet today’s propaganda challenges?

While visiting the new Peppa Pig Theme Park, I researched the glorious history of this cartoon. Wikipedia:

Peppa Pig is a British preschool animated television series by Astley Baker Davies. The show revolves around Peppa, an anthropomorphic female piglet and her family and her peers are other animals. The show first aired on 31 May 2004. The seventh season began broadcasting on 5 March 2021. Peppa Pig has been broadcast in over 180 countries.

Peppa and her family did not wear seat belts in cars in the first two series. After receiving several complaints, Astley Baker Davies announced that all future animation would include characters wearing seat belts, and that the relevant scenes in the first two series would be re-animated to include them. Similar changes were also made to add cycle helmets to early episodes with characters riding bicycles.

The main propaganda challenge of the past couple of years has been getting children to worry about a disease that kills 82-year-olds. Depending on the whims of Science at any given moment, we need to convince children to wear masks, give up school and social life, meekly accept injections of emergency use authorized vaccines, etc.

There has been some original propaganda produced in this genre, e.g., Disney’s Goofy series that includes “How to Wear a Mask”:

(Directed by Whoopi Goldberg‘s cousin Eric Goldberg?)

But why not go back and rewrite history, as the New York Times did with the history of mRNA vaccines? Break into the cryptomines and steal enough GPUs to digitally update all of the beloved animated movies and TV shows going back to the 1930s.

Snow White, kissed without consent (because she was as unconscious as a typical American college student on a Friday night), could be approached by a prince in an N95 mask. WALL-E could vaccinate EVE as soon as she arrives on a poisoned-by-SARS-CoV-2 Earth. Timothy Q. Mouse could cooperate with a TSA search and wear a mask at all times, except when eating and drinking, while flying on Dumbo:

Depending on the current CDC guidance and community transmission levels, the masked or unmasked versions of cartoons could be shown/streamed to kids depending on their physical location.

Readers: What do you think about the idea of content that adapts to the latest advice regarding mask-wearing?

Separately, you might ask how the Peppa Pig Park is. The rides are not too exciting, so it isn’t worth going on a crowded day.

As long as we’re talking about COVID-19, it is tough to understand how so many Americans were killed by a virus that attacks the obese:

(Thank you, Apple, for the 13mm-equivalent lens that enables everyone to fit into the frame.)

There is an air-conditioned TV-watching room:

The line to get lunch at the sole in-park restaurant was epic, but this was a Sunday just a week after the park opened and, in fact, they were turning away anyone without pre-purchased tickets or annual passes. Children 2-4 can probably be entertained for hours in the playground, splash park, etc. Our kids wanted to walk across the street to Legoland after about 1.5 hours and said that they wouldn’t go back unless there were no lines.

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The special challenge of being a Jewish wartime leader

Tucker Carlson took a break today from spreading Russian disinformation and Covid misinformation to interview Rymma Zelenska, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s mother.

Fox News: Mrs. Zaxby’s, the whole world admires your son Voldemort for his
personal courage, determination, and brave leadership. You must be very proud.

Rymma Zelenska: My other son is a doctor.

(The above makes me wish that there was a web page that would generate a Facebook fact check PNG to add to non-Facebook pages. The kinds of images that we see in “Facebook versus the BMJ: when fact checking goes wrong” for example (note that folks at the 180-year-old medical journal claim to know more about medicine than Facebook’s independent fact checkers). Fact checking myself, I can’t find any Internet source suggesting that Volodymyr Zelenskyy has a brother.)

Meanwhile… Shabbat Shalom! (and I hope this is not too soon)

Related:

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Philip’s Book Club: Bubble in the Sun (about the Florida real estate boom 1895-1926ish)

The latest book… Bubble in the Sun: The Florida Boom of the 1920s and How It Brought on the Great Depression (Christopher Knowlton). I’m enjoying it so far (listening via Audible). Timely, considering that home prices in the decent neighborhoods of Florida have roughly doubled since the lockdowns began in the Northeast and California.

The author notes that at some point in the 1920s, Florida had 60 million single-family house lots mapped out and ready to sell.

Chart of Florida population growth from 1900-1930 (source):

For context, here’s Maskachusetts v. Florida over 120 years:

Note that 1947 is highlighted as an important year for window air conditioners and the 1960s as when home central A/C become standard (energy.gov).

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Medical School, Year 4, Week 6 (Cardiothoracic Surgery, Week 2)

I’ve now done enough coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgeries to learn the typical sequence:

  1. Surgeon arrives for “time out” (checklist review to prevent, e.g., wrong side operation), then leaves the room for the physician assistant to harvest the saphenous vein. The anesthesiologist performs a trans-esophageal echocardiogram to visualize pre-graft cardiac function.
  2. Surgeon reappears for scrub-in.
  3. I struggle to find space for myself between the perfusionist console and the surgical tech table while the surgeon and PA make the incision and perform the sternotomy.
  4. I watch from behind as the surgeon harvests the left internal mammary artery (“LIMA”, however the latest term: “left internal thoracic artery”)
  5. Surgeon has me switch with the physician assistant (PA). Surg tech hands me the cannulation equipment
  6. Surgeon tells me where to pick up the pericardium with the DeBakeys (non traumatizing forceps) to apply tension. The surgeon incises and throws sutures into the pericardium. We grab the sutures to fold back the each side of pericardium for better visualization of the beating heart.
  7. Cannulation time: the surgeon throws circular sutures (one or two, depending on preference) into the aorta and right atrial appendage. The heart is beating so the surgeon times the throws (needle push through tissue) based upon the relaxation of the heart. Once thrown, I grab each suture, cut the needle, and thread the suture through a rubber tube. I hand the surgeon the venous cannula, and he punctures the right atrium in the marked circle. I then pull the suture tight while pushing on the rubber tube. This tightens the suture around the cannula to create a seal. Repeat on the aorta. Every time I touch the heart, the screen shows an ectopic beat.
  8. We clear the air from the tubes and clamp the aorta proximal to the aorta cannulation site. The surgeon announces to the perfusionist to go “on pump”. The surgeon will tell the perfusionist to infuse cardioplegia (cold solution of high potassium) that paralyzes the heart. Blood pressure flatlines at around 90mm of mercury (as opposed to the usual rise and fall with the heartbeat).
  9. Anastomosis: The surgeon identifies areas to bypass the blockages. While he looks, I ask to make sure I know what vessel he is thinking about. “That’s the Left Anterior Descending artery?” He responds, “No, he has a small LAD, this is actually the OM1.” The surgeon and PA wear loupes to see the 6-0 suture (0.33mm diameter) to bring the vessels together. First is the graft-coronary anastomosis, then the aorta-graft anastomosis. The PA “follows” the surgeon’s throws to prevent “locking” the suture. I use the “blower” to blow a thin stream of air into the field to provide better visualization of the vessels (one attending barks at me: “it takes forever to de-air the left ventricle”). I am also in charge of squirting water onto the surgeon’s hands while he or she ties the suture. Each anastomosis takes about 10 minutes and is done in a quiet OR.
  10. Anastomosis is complete. Surgeon uses a doppler to confirm patency and good flow.
  11. Anesthesiologist reports on cardiac function. Frequently, there will be immediate improvements in the regions that were impaired. 
  12. Surgeon inserts ventricle and atrial pacer wires and pushes them out through the skin. 
  13. Surgeon inserts drains (“chest tubes”) into the pericardial and pleural spaces. The nurse connects them to suction.
  14. Perfusionist stops cardioplegia, and warms the blood. The heart begins to beat slowly, then goes into ventricular fibrillation. The surgeon takes the paddles and defibrillate the heart into sinus rhythm.
  15. Surgeon closes the sternum with stainless steel wire and scrubs out.
  16. Time to close. Usually I work with the 45-year-old head surgical PA, who patiently tries to teach me all of her chest-closing tricks. “We close differently than downstairs [in general surgery]. In the thorax, no space is allowed or it could blow up into a raging infection.” She instructs me, “Take smaller bites.” We close in multiple layers, typically 3-4 to ensure there is no potential space for fluid to accumulate. After the second operation, I am able to close three inches of the 10-inch incision before the PA meets me in the middle. “Good job, you are teachable.” (on the first two, she redid my sutures because they were too far apart)

Medical students are required to skip cases on Thursday to attend a Dean’s session highlighting a “medical topic of critical importance,” one of three each year. The topic this week is “LGBTQ myths and medical miracles” and the speaker (“Dr. Castro”) is an internist from San Francisco. “How many of you have heard of Stonewall Inn? This is recognized as kicking off the Gay Pride and fighting for gay rights. I went to medical school in the 1980s. We had a psych lecture titled, ‘Homosexuals, pedophiles, and beastiality.’ I give this timeline to highlight the challenges people have overcome, and the amazing change in perspective in such a short amount of time. I want to remind everyone that this fight is still ongoing. Look at Pulse Nightclub, an evil that should shake every American. Look at Trump trying to say sex is not gender identity, and that anti-discrimination laws do not apply to us.”

[Editor: Why would LGBTQIA+ community members want anti-discrimination laws to apply to them? Generally these laws cover classes of workers whom employers regard as inferior, e.g., older or disabled workers, racial groups with low academic achievement, etc. Would it help gay physicians, for example, if the government officially says “Because of their evening sexual activities, these doctors will not be able to treat patients as well and therefore you shouldn’t hire them unless you’re forced to”?]

He pauses. “How many of you are in a target group?” Half of the hands go up. Dr. Castro: “Every single one of you should raise your arm. Every woman should raise your hand, you don’t get equal pay for equal work. If you have any degree of pigmentation in your skin, raise your hand; you are a victim.”

The first slide contains only the text, “If we can get to sensitive.” Dr. Castro asks the class, “Let’s say a close friend came out as gay. How would you feel?” The first answer, “I would not care,” turns out to be wrong. “Embarrassed he did not tell me sooner,” and “Proud they trusted me” were received with approval.

Nobody was willing to go on record with an anti-gay sentiment, so the speaker had to step in and play the role of the prejudiced. His stereotypical anti-gay sentiments included “They walk around in Speedos at Pride festivals,” and “Are children raised by gay couples at a disadvantage?”

[Editor: “Growing up with gay parents: What is the big deal?” (Linacre Quarterly 2015, a bioethics journals) reviews the research on the last topic. Sample:

A 2013 Canadian study (Allen 2013), which analyzed data from a very large population-based sample, revealed that the children of gay and lesbian couples are only about 65 percent as likely to have graduated from high school as are the children of married, opposite-sex couples. The girls are more apt to struggle academically than the boys. Daughters of lesbian “parents” displayed dramatically lower graduation rates. Three key findings stood out in this study: children of married, opposite-sex parents have a high graduation rate compared to the others; children of lesbian families have a very low graduation rate compared to the others; and children in the other four types of living arrangements (common law marriage, gay couple, single mother, and single father) are similar to each other and fall between the extremes of married heterosexual parents and lesbian couples.

]

Dr. Castro explains, “One of the critiques from last year’s session was that there wasn’t enough medicine in this talk. So let’s talk about some of the medical treatments available for gender dysphoria.” Slide with two columns:

Gigolo Georgio asks, “Does insurance cover these treatments?” Dr. Castro: “Right now typically not, but we can get around this sometimes by using a different diagnosis. For example, a patient may have a fibroid that wouldn’t typically be an indication for a hysterectomy, but under this situation it can be. Or if the patient has a questionable breast mass, we decide that it should be removed.” The big event recently is we now have a DSM code for gender dysphoria. If we as advocates continue to persist, insurance companies will eventually pay for treatments with this DSM code.”

[Editor: “Long-Term Follow-Up of Transsexual Persons Undergoing Sex Reassignment Surgery: Cohort Study in Sweden” (2011): “Persons with transsexualism, after sex reassignment, have considerably higher risks for mortality, suicidal behaviour, and psychiatric morbidity than the general population. Our findings suggest that sex reassignment, although alleviating gender dysphoria, may not suffice as treatment for transsexualism, and should inspire improved psychiatric and somatic care after sex reassignment for this patient group.”]

Dr. Castro talks about the challenges faced by his transgender patients: “My patients usually shy away from the spotlight.  They work night jobs, or at a call center. Several are truck drivers. All transgenders are marginalized early which leads to distrust in systems, including the medical system. Many were kicked out by their family, had trouble finding a job, many drop out of school due to bullying. One in four attempt suicide by 25. One in five who come out are kicked out by their PCP. There is no way to reverse this overnight.” Type-A Anita is the first to respond. “How do we fix this?” Dr. Castro: “It will take concerted effort. For example, educating medical staff on proper pronouns, and redesigning medical forms and EMRs into gender neutral forms.”

Statistics for the week… Study: 6 hours. Sleep: 7 hours/night; Fun: 1 night. Example fun. Jane, Luke, Samantha, and I grab beers and burgers. Samantha gets $5,000 per year for CME at her HCA hospital job. She and a colleague (also a PA) just returned from a hospitalist conference in Oregon.

Over dinner, we discuss media coverage of hospitals taking poor patients to court and garnishing wages. A large academic center (University of Virginia) was featured for pursuing patients whereas the for-profit HCA hospital was more charitable. Samantha: “HCA doesn’t divert. We will accept any patient even if our hospital is full. It is so bad right now that each hospitalist has 27-30 patients.” Jane, “I can’t even keep my 2-3 patients straight.” Jane continues, “The ED is full, we have patients being admitted, treated, and discharged all in an ED bed. It got so bad once that we converted the cath lab into beds. I have 17 patients. The hospitalists who are in charge and technically sign orders and notes for billing don’t ever see my patients.”

The rest of the book: http://fifthchance.com/MedicalSchool2020

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Italian funeral customs

A suburbanite came to Boston’s North End, the historic Italian neighborhood, and was enjoying cannoli and espresso at Mike’s Pastry, which opened in 1946. He noticed a funeral procession down Hanover Street. A black hearse was followed by a second black hearse. Behind the second hearse was a solitary man wearing a Juventus jersey walking a dog on a green, white, and red Italian-flag leash. Behind him, keeping a respectful distance, were nearly 200 men walking in single file.

The suburbanite couldn’t stand the curiosity. He respectfully approached the Italian man walking the dog and said, “I am so sorry for your loss, and I know that this is a bad time to disturb you, but I’ve never seen an Italian funeral and I’m trying to understand the protocol. First, whose funeral is it?”

“Mia moglie. Scusi. My wife’s.”

”What happened to her?”

“She-a yelled at me and my-a dog attacked and killed her.”

The suburbanite was horrified, but still curious. “Why is there a second hearse?”

“Mia suocera… I’m sorry. My mother-in-law. She-a came to help my wife and the dog turned on her and-a killed her also.”

In a poignant and touching moment of fellowship and brotherhood, silence passed between the two men.

After a decent interval, the suburbanite lowered his voice almost to a whisper and asked, “Can I borrow the dog?”

The Italian man replied, “Get in line.”

North End of Boston (mid-ground), during Month 3 of 14 Days to Flatten the Curve (May 2020; Tony Cammarata behind the camera and me behind the cyclic):

Mini-Goldendoodle with the heart of a lion in Stuart, Florida last month:

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